TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

MLB · resolved market

Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kansas City Royalsof Los Angeles Angels, Kansas City Royals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$972,411
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$903,002

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $972,411 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 347 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Angels68c286,818$194,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194,461.994,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Kansas City Royals52c191,324$98,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92,421.3541149.1%202 W · 209 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa969…1a84backed Kansas City Royals14c117,450$15,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101,573.0417452.9%92 W · 82 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Kansas City Royals33c117,292$38,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79,152.631039%121 W · 189 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals14c47,151$6,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,386.6210,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Los Angeles Angels48c26,600$12,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,767.85862.1%36 W · 22 L+7.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Los Angeles Angels78c26,427$20,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,540.422,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f5b…d411backed Los Angeles Angels73c21,086$15,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,477.954057.5%23 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Los Angeles Angels50c16,680$8,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,304.821,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Kansas City Royals20c16,608$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,207.7185635.7%306 W · 550 L-24.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Los Angeles Angels47c13,061$6,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,138.8860451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Kansas City Royals55c13,013$7,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,834.581,68150.1%842 W · 839 L-22.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Los Angeles Angels50c11,425$5,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,683.231,52751.1%780 W · 747 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Los Angeles Angels50c10,959$5,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,534.071,72850.4%871 W · 857 L+57.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Kansas City Royals33c10,795$3,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,234.151457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+138.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Kansas City Royals41c10,504$4,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,234.5744154.2%239 W · 202 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6498…8910backed Kansas City Royals21c10,429$2,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,235.5751756.5%292 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Kansas City Royals51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,899.9712457.3%71 W · 53 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Kansas City Royals44c9,695$4,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,438.161,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70d9…a684backed Kansas City Royals40c8,413$3,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,014.17250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44b6…672abacked Los Angeles Angels48c8,073$3,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,875.23935.9%14 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Los Angeles Angels49c8,030$3,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,940.811,21855.6%677 W · 541 L+94.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Los Angeles Angels64c7,054$4,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,520.341,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Kansas City Royals26c6,624$1,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,915.0811,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Kansas City Royals28c5,803$1,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,183.646735.8%24 W · 43 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Kansas City Royals7c5,250$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,887.9240629.1%118 W · 288 L-2.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-42.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Kansas City Royals24c5,207$1,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,963.191,52059.1%899 W · 621 L+78.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Kansas City Royals34c5,098$1,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,343.9373748.4%357 W · 380 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Kansas City Royals34c5,026$1,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,323.0646239.6%183 W · 279 L-17.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Los Angeles Angels49c4,922$2,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,411.949751.5%50 W · 47 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Los Angeles Angels49c4,881$2,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,394.611,93941.2%799 W · 1,140 L-30.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kansas City Royals67c4,874$3,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,610.464,40544.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L+80.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Kansas City Royals12c4,311$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,784.519431.9%30 W · 64 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Los Angeles Angels3c3,900$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12116019.4%31 W · 129 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick16cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b07…98a7backed Los Angeles Angels60c3,850$2,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2942842.9%12 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe704…b250backed Kansas City Royals30c3,849$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,704.86841.2%28 W · 40 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Kansas City Royals29c3,823$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,707.3359549.7%296 W · 299 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed Los Angeles Angels2c3,700$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916314.3%9 W · 54 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick15cpaid+58.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3188…870bbacked Kansas City Royals30c3,700$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,598.11862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+39.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Kansas City Royals52c3,620$1,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.6333852.7%178 W · 160 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Kansas City Royals27c3,533$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,577.0836047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Los Angeles Angels48c3,480$1,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,681.0775248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Los Angeles Angels64c3,212$2,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,055.38650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Los Angeles Angels51c3,068$1,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,562.2892554.1%500 W · 425 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf9f…30b1backed Kansas City Royals27c2,506$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,829.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Kansas City Royals27c2,443$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,792.04580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+96%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5954…7d41backed Los Angeles Angels70c2,332$1,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,628.211250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Kansas City Royals5c2,298$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,178.321,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20d1…d493backed Kansas City Royals52c2,220$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc322…3f23backed Los Angeles Angels71c2,110$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Kansas City Royals9c2,100$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,911.1994734.4%326 W · 621 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Los Angeles Angels48c2,019$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.1128042.1%118 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7147…0198backed Los Angeles Angels3c1,903$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Los Angeles Angels2c1,887$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.73834.8%4 W · 79 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0940…3640backed Los Angeles Angels52c1,866$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.232857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Kansas City Royals25c1,798$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.7516845.8%77 W · 91 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x013d…0574backed Los Angeles Angels2c1,750$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30756.7%5 W · 70 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick4cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xceb1…bd4fbacked Los Angeles Angels2c1,750$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30498.2%4 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick4cpaid+173.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Los Angeles Angels2c1,700$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271365.9%8 W · 128 L+0.6wins0.00per pick5cpaid-64.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Kansas City Royals28c1,682$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,210.697444.6%33 W · 41 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals51c1,588$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.996,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4de…3920backed Kansas City Royals29c1,588$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.14666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+69.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3ad…45f9backed Kansas City Royals52c1,520$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.5911741.9%49 W · 68 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Kansas City Royals9c1,512$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,374.612,04439.5%808 W · 1,236 L-24.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x800b…152abacked Los Angeles Angels65c1,499$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.21118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.8wins-0.34per pick53cpaid-69.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Los Angeles Angels73c1,497$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.7311947.9%57 W · 62 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Los Angeles Angels48c1,453$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.541,30150.2%653 W · 648 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Kansas City Royals16c1,427$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.776,30548.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kansas City Royals52c1,313$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.945,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x941f…58ecbacked Kansas City Royals45c1,309$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.38650%43 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x276b…c0c8backed Los Angeles Angels5c1,300$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71432.3%1 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-53.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Kansas City Royals16c1,257$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.4917014.1%24 W · 146 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick11cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bd9…ea45backed Kansas City Royals43c1,200$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.9814451.4%74 W · 70 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Los Angeles Angels59c1,175$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.1926545.7%121 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03fa…4911backed Kansas City Royals14c1,054$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.852123.8%5 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick19cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Kansas City Royals51c1,019$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.0925240.1%101 W · 151 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Kansas City Royals10c1,009$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90826315.6%41 W · 222 L-11.9wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-49.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2f…3531backed Los Angeles Angels60c1,006$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.581752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Kansas City Royals50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.0516248.8%79 W · 83 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x172d…36cabacked Kansas City Royals50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+33.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Kansas City Royals52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4802,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Los Angeles Angels1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011914.3%17 W · 102 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+289.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4574…f61ebacked Kansas City Royals35c1,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6501643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecee…2120backed Kansas City Royals35c1,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6502259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+28.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Los Angeles Angels56c996.6$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.611,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6076…f8fdbacked Kansas City Royals17c989.86$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.7914243%61 W · 81 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…bb62backed Kansas City Royals27c989.37$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.416543%71 W · 94 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0f6…a5eebacked Los Angeles Angels54c984.88$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.19846.9%46 W · 52 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc64…8d0fbacked Kansas City Royals5c984.81$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.671030%3 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick10cpaid+253.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x588d…a246backed Kansas City Royals39c963.4$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.67850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Kansas City Royals47c903.31$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.755143.1%22 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Kansas City Royals52c892.65$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.4727751.6%143 W · 134 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Los Angeles Angels49c833.68$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.721,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5529…86d2backed Los Angeles Angels58c822.1$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.021637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-31.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Kansas City Royals27c817.51$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.271,15342.8%494 W · 659 L-37.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5444…bbdabacked Los Angeles Angels74c814.19$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.42650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb60…137abacked Kansas City Royals23c814.03$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.689435.1%33 W · 61 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Kansas City Royals14c736.21$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.981,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed Los Angeles Angels49c727.05$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.2550860.2%306 W · 202 L+29.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Los Angeles Angels48c706.26$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3391,53848.6%747 W · 791 L-5.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.