MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2360977b72dd87d1ba7c07c36d6f9a8ceba388b55e42741a69e56e4ded88da15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas City Royalsof Los Angeles Angels, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,450
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6498…8910backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 6,205$2,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,751.96 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 39c | 3,041$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.85 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Kansas City Royals | 61c | 2,571$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.45 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 2,205$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.71 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Los Angeles Angels | 39c | 2,092$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.81 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Kansas City Royals | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Kansas City Royals | 33c | 2,000$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.99 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 46c | 1,901$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.15 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 1,726$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.21 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Kansas City Royals | 25c | 1,627$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.61 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 61c | 1,600$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.99 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3464…8112backed Kansas City Royals | 61c | 1,473$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.45 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 1,312$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.02 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecee…2120backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 999.96$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.97 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…c3eebacked Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 958.43$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.72 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…60f7backed Kansas City Royals | 61c | 799.49$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 737.39$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.18 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 678.39$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.93 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Kansas City Royals | 61c | 479$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.02 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Kansas City Royals | 40c | 436.37$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.82 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ff…1d47backed Kansas City Royals | 62c | 423.95$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Kansas City Royals | 61c | 423.78$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.27 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Los Angeles Angels | 39c | 383.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.75 | 456 | 50.4%230 W · 226 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Los Angeles Angels | 32c | 383.68$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.78 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 360.62$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.52 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…38d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 315.23$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.44 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 284.71$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.42 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 283.42$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.07 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 241.37$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.15 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -13.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 228.08$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.29 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…6fc8backed Kansas City Royals | 61c | 212.05$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.7 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…969abacked Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 209.99$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.62 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…41d1backed Los Angeles Angels | 65c | 150.62$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 124.2$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.22 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Los Angeles Angels | 47c | 124.1$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.19 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Kansas City Royals | 63c | 107.57$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Kansas City Royals | 74c | 105.13$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 238 | 54.2%129 W · 109 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Los Angeles Angels | 37c | 103.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 799 | 43.2%345 W · 454 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 96.83$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.58 | 278 | 46.8%130 W · 148 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Los Angeles Angels | 36c | 89.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 848 | 40.2%341 W · 507 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Kansas City Royals | 56c | 87.79$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.68 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Los Angeles Angels | 39c | 78.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 419 | 36.5%153 W · 266 L | -31.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd63e…0d52backed Kansas City Royals | 65c | 77.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1c…35c6backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 67.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 60.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 778 | 52.2%406 W · 372 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeded…bfe9backed Los Angeles Angels | 37c | 52.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 51.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf82c…9c95backed Kansas City Royals | 32c | 50.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +215.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Los Angeles Angels | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…cb2bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 79c | 47.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Kansas City Royals | 67c | 46.9$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5c…e316backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 43.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 41.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 1,374 | 54.2%745 W · 629 L | +16.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Los Angeles Angels | 66c | 39.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 1,928 | 17.2%331 W · 1,597 L | -320.9wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 64c | 39.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 39.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 39.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 273 | 54.6%149 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 48c | 29.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e3…ff82backed Los Angeles Angels | 37c | 28.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…96cbbacked Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 23.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3b…0353backed Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 20.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Los Angeles Angels | 64c | 18.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Kansas City Royals | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 1,141 | 46.3%528 W · 613 L | +36.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City RoyalsKansas City Royals won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 18.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City RoyalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.