TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$153,660
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$167,353

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,660 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed No40c59,533$23,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,807.9818352.5%96 W · 87 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes60c14,685$8,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,873.853,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes60c9,821$5,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,928.242962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes60c7,514$4,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,005.5357157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes60c6,936$4,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,774.2747756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes60c6,936$4,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,774.2741256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed No6c5,313$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.6314443.1%62 W · 82 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed No40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.982548%12 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No39c4,179$1,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6476355.6%35 W · 28 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No18c3,406$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.15,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes60c2,912$1,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.991,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes69c2,722$1,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.818,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa58f…ee1abacked Yes62c2,649$1,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.63250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes68c2,178$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.52,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No21c2,020$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.581,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked No17c1,896$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.0815945.9%73 W · 86 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes60c1,465$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.033762.2%23 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+20.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Yes72c1,426$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.57437.8%28 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-42.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No23c1,423$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.411,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe02…1204backed Yes60c1,298$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.231758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked No63c1,269$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.428268.3%56 W · 26 L+8.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+14.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe4d3…c2f0backed Yes61c1,129$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.122254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No27c1,075$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.131,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked No40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40011059.1%65 W · 45 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked No40c964$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.63633.3%12 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked No30c911.16$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.210827.8%30 W · 78 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes39c815.73$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.6828651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No38c788.31$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.551,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No38c781.91$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.1213545.2%61 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef20…c46abacked Yes67c767.84$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.993881.6%31 W · 7 L+10.2wins+0.27per pick55cpaid+44.8%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No25c730.2$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.431,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa65…1021backed Yes68c726.51$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.75850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes60c671.49$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.622853.1%121 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes71c645.03$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.9237540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x31ab…20e9backed Yes61c599.36$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.75540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed No27c575.87$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.8248922.9%112 W · 377 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes60c566.64$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.6545253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No38c523.97$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.791,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes60c522.18$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.5310846.3%50 W · 58 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2099…4a6fbacked No31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1552425%6 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No28c497.36$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.7385220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x56ca…c4f0backed Yes79c493.33$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cb3…78e9backed Yes60c488$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.2966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb234…5b9ebacked No32c449.63$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.881136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-34.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Yes60c419.68$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.874746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc51a…54fabacked Yes72c410.14$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.192100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+137.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fd6…95e3backed Yes60c409.02$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.07911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.36per pick47cpaid-81.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2e98…ae20backed Yes61c400.45$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.24560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aef…f8dfbacked No30c399.97$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.993043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes44c382.6$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.3527133.9%92 W · 179 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed No39c373.71$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.484555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes64c355.17$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.4650746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes69c354.08$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.681546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed No38c340$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.23834.2%13 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f86…ef4ebacked Yes79c337.09$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.672250%11 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34b8…81afbacked Yes60c325.33$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.133250%16 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d2a…d5d0backed Yes60c323.37$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.35580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Yes61c320.83$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.521060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+23.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes60c313.26$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.31,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes63c310.13$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.5447758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes78c307.25$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.6523254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9055…12cebacked No32c299.97$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.999428.7%27 W · 67 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes64c296.33$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6689645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf693…995ebacked No19c294.75$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.673839.5%15 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb051…2481backed Yes63c279.37$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.37560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Yes60c278.55$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.4233266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes60c275.67$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.551,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Yes72c273.11$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.472445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.276955.1%38 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x216b…1376backed Yes59c269.84$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.63450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes61c259.23$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.131349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6528…2dcebacked Yes63c257.91$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.43650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed No39c249.77$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3217143.9%75 W · 96 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4c6…502cbacked Yes64c246.89$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.883852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No41c235.27$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4631745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed Yes79c234.01$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.933941%16 W · 23 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Yes60c203.33$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.334456.8%25 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes60c203.33$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.3376951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Yes78c200.04$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0110750.5%54 W · 53 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No40c200$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3918452.2%96 W · 88 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes71c192.58$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5636339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Yes37c192.42$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.610648.1%51 W · 55 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x53fa…83f9backed Yes66c166.58$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.425062%31 W · 19 L+6.3wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+15.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x395c…0be0backed Yes60c163.68$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.47650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed Yes60c162.67$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.0716262.3%101 W · 61 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc78…c479backed Yes60c162.67$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.071758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x354f…95f8backed Yes61c160.13$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.45966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes67c158.68$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5963657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Yes61c157.96$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6113351.1%68 W · 65 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc400…21a7backed Yes62c157.61$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.89742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed No18c153.97$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.726756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0416740.1%67 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a67…5d96backed Yes76c150.18$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.751533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x00a1…df06backed Yes62c143.05$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.364454.5%24 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa64f…e598backed No18c140.2$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.597265.3%47 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes60c140.16$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.061,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed No41c132.06$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6619356%108 W · 85 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5428…e46abacked Yes76c129.68$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.121560%9 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No31c122.24$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7994848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Yes62c121.36$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.127034.3%24 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.