MLB · resolved market

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4eaf5295e75ca0a0ce8a79d78e47300cc849133b57c20095794fbff611f16a3f

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Tampa Bay Raysof Tampa Bay Rays, Cleveland Guardians
Resolved: Apr 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $532,571
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $539,604

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $532,571 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 385 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9714…76adbacked Cleveland Guardians	56c	88,327$49,463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49,463.09	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.22per pick	50cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Tampa Bay Rays	44c	46,992$20,536 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,455.41	381	48.6%185 W · 196 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99a7…fc82backed Tampa Bay Rays	44c	33,333$14,666 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,666.45	142	48.6%69 W · 73 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6498…8910backed Cleveland Guardians	53c	31,315$16,721 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,720.95	517	56.5%292 W · 225 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Tampa Bay Rays	44c	29,288$12,845 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,443.16	770	53.9%415 W · 355 L	+8.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Tampa Bay Rays	44c	22,700$9,988 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,712	274	52.6%144 W · 130 L	+9.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba81…dc35backed Cleveland Guardians	45c	22,393$10,145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,144.97	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.12per pick	51cpaid	+23%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc1…b33cbacked Cleveland Guardians	59c	20,587$12,081 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,081.21	260	56.9%148 W · 112 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Cleveland Guardians	59c	19,834$11,705 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,704.89	360	47.5%171 W · 189 L	-13.5wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Tampa Bay Rays	55c	16,995$9,270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,725.01	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Tampa Bay Rays	44c	16,623$7,314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,308.97	1,660	50.1%832 W · 828 L	-22.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Cleveland Guardians	57c	13,481$7,684 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,684.19	595	49.7%296 W · 299 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays	43c	12,877$5,529 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,347.75	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Cleveland Guardians	56c	12,271$6,895 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,895.03	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Tampa Bay Rays	42c	11,839$4,957 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,881.61	2,389	43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Cleveland Guardians	56c	11,050$6,188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,188.2	154	51.9%80 W · 74 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Cleveland Guardians	55c	9,730$5,352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,351.5	1,522	34.7%528 W · 994 L	+27.1wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Tampa Bay Rays	47c	8,727$4,077 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,649.93	488	50.2%245 W · 243 L	+5.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Cleveland Guardians	56c	8,676$4,859 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,858.54	501	53.5%268 W · 233 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41bb…26e8backed Tampa Bay Rays	42c	8,071$3,383 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,688.29	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.5wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+106%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Cleveland Guardians	55c	6,941$3,818 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,817.74	90	35.6%32 W · 58 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Tampa Bay Rays	39c	6,301$2,454 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,847.5	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Cleveland Guardians	56c	6,046$3,384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,384.14	1,515	51.1%774 W · 741 L	+7.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Tampa Bay Rays	27c	5,427$1,489 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,937.94	105	44.8%47 W · 58 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-18%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Tampa Bay Rays	44c	5,000$2,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,800	48	35.4%17 W · 31 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6368…6dc8backed Cleveland Guardians	59c	4,902$2,875 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,874.72	51	49%25 W · 26 L	-4.2wins	-0.08per pick	57cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd710…cf6fbacked Cleveland Guardians	62c	4,517$2,803 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,803.47	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-3.5wins	-0.31per pick	59cpaid	-55.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Tampa Bay Rays	44c	4,500$1,980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,520	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8161…640bbacked Tampa Bay Rays	38c	4,432$1,684 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,747.92	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.62per pick	38cpaid	+163.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcbf…d37fbacked Tampa Bay Rays	30c	4,389$1,306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,082.81	91	53.8%49 W · 42 L	+7.9wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays	50c	4,298$2,161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,137.58	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Cleveland Guardians	57c	3,566$2,032 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,032.37	217	48.4%105 W · 112 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Cleveland Guardians	80c	3,488$2,774 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,774.15	2,147	50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L	+27.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Tampa Bay Rays	50c	3,454$1,735 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,719.49	1,141	42.9%490 W · 651 L	-37.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Tampa Bay Rays	43c	2,967$1,276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,691.43	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Tampa Bay Rays	44c	2,939$1,293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,645.73	2,407	48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L	-62.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Cleveland Guardians	67c	2,933$1,957 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,956.67	2,293	48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd519…50fbbacked Tampa Bay Rays	38c	2,875$1,090 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,784.59	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Tampa Bay Rays	60c	2,405$1,443 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$961.97	310	39%121 W · 189 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb416…4588backed Tampa Bay Rays	22c	2,312$509 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,803.55	66	47%31 W · 35 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19d0…e11cbacked Tampa Bay Rays	25c	2,292$573 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,719	68	45.6%31 W · 37 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62c0…db73backed Cleveland Guardians	39c	2,227$878 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$877.58	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	63cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Tampa Bay Rays	41c	2,155$887 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,268.33	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Tampa Bay Rays	45c	2,149$967 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,181.89	262	45.8%120 W · 142 L	-17.7wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x70e9…836abacked Cleveland Guardians	1c	1,881$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.81	213	23.5%50 W · 163 L	-9.2wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Tampa Bay Rays	28c	1,846$517 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,328.97	1,865	52%970 W · 895 L	+50.8wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Tampa Bay Rays	43c	1,761$753 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,007.56	80	53.8%43 W · 37 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Tampa Bay Rays	35c	1,724$597 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,127.34	1,456	42.7%622 W · 834 L	-39.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Cleveland Guardians	24c	1,616$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383.31	85	15.3%13 W · 72 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Tampa Bay Rays	44c	1,535$678 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$856.78	852	35.8%305 W · 547 L	-23.9wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c55…97d4backed Cleveland Guardians	21c	1,520$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317.19	136	55.1%75 W · 61 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Tampa Bay Rays	40c	1,476$590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$885.6	301	40.5%122 W · 179 L	-9.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed Tampa Bay Rays	26c	1,407$364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,042.92	141	34%48 W · 93 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Tampa Bay Rays	57c	1,370$777 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$593.32	3,208	51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L	+146.6wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tampa Bay Rays	26c	1,285$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$954.56	1,912	53%1,014 W · 898 L	+42.5wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7cb…bc54backed Tampa Bay Rays	44c	1,098$483 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$614.98	149	53%79 W · 70 L	+10.3wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Cleveland Guardians	75c	1,000$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	64	40.6%26 W · 38 L	-4.0wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Tampa Bay Rays	27c	1,000$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$730	753	44.1%332 W · 421 L	-10.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Tampa Bay Rays	44c	1,000$440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$560	149	38.3%57 W · 92 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x695d…60d5backed Tampa Bay Rays	40c	999.99$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600	31	67.7%21 W · 10 L	+5.6wins	+0.18per pick	50cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked Cleveland Guardians	59c	992.71$584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$584.43	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4738…4687backed Cleveland Guardians	57c	854.56$487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$487.1	51	49%25 W · 26 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99ca…3266backed Tampa Bay Rays	21c	805.03$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$635.98	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e39…ed5fbacked Tampa Bay Rays	44c	804.23$352 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$451.85	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	55cpaid	+20%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee0b…e9f4backed Tampa Bay Rays	45c	773.6$348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$425.48	47	57.4%27 W · 20 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Tampa Bay Rays	44c	768.73$338 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$430.49	1,708	49.9%852 W · 856 L	-17.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Tampa Bay Rays	33c	766.33$254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$512.54	1,113	49%545 W · 568 L	+22.1wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480e…71e9backed Tampa Bay Rays	65c	757.31$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$267.52	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc5a…07b6backed Tampa Bay Rays	40c	720.36$286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$434.56	62	45.2%28 W · 34 L	+5.0wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Tampa Bay Rays	39c	718.2$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$438.1	2,021	39.5%798 W · 1,223 L	-25.7wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Cleveland Guardians	48c	716.43$347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$347.47	1,173	29%340 W · 833 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cleveland Guardians	44c	667.05$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.52	940	34.3%322 W · 618 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4575…3a3fbacked Cleveland Guardians	35c	659.93$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.77	116	37.9%44 W · 72 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Tampa Bay Rays	56c	642.95$361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282.19	272	31.3%85 W · 187 L	-13.7wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Tampa Bay Rays	41c	620.86$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$369.15	123	39%48 W · 75 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d99…bf7fbacked Cleveland Guardians	56c	572.49$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.6	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Cleveland Guardians	60c	569.33$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341.6	1,213	40.5%491 W · 722 L	-32.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Tampa Bay Rays	39c	555.79$217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$339.03	124	41.1%51 W · 73 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b3…3a80backed Cleveland Guardians	64c	553.41$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353.11	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Cleveland Guardians	68c	546.02$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$371.76	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe0d2…ad14backed Cleveland Guardians	56c	525.74$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.42	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c4…3e8fbacked Tampa Bay Rays	23c	524.79$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$405.58	52	36.5%19 W · 33 L	-6.9wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Tampa Bay Rays	45c	506.69$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$278.68	418	47.6%199 W · 219 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Tampa Bay Rays	43c	500$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$285	1,010	51.2%517 W · 493 L	+36.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Cleveland Guardians	70c	498.5$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.55	192	48.4%93 W · 99 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x941f…58ecbacked Cleveland Guardians	35c	493.32$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.06	86	50%43 W · 43 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Tampa Bay Rays	80c	488$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.6	275	52.4%144 W · 131 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc217…8701backed Cleveland Guardians	50c	449.82$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.91	92	59.8%55 W · 37 L	+5.1wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0425…3c26backed Cleveland Guardians	69c	447.75$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.75	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.37per pick	70cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae51…0d08backed Tampa Bay Rays	17c	440.33$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$365.27	364	40.1%146 W · 218 L	+9.4wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Cleveland Guardians	60c	438.32$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.54	50	54%27 W · 23 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Tampa Bay Rays	45c	437.43$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$242.49	396	40.9%162 W · 234 L	-25.4wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a85…e543backed Tampa Bay Rays	68c	437.19$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.49	146	43.8%64 W · 82 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2953…5344backed Cleveland Guardians	56c	437.15$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.8	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Cleveland Guardians	56c	434.64$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.4	431	53.6%231 W · 200 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Tampa Bay Rays	43c	433.76$187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$247.24	515	47%242 W · 273 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Tampa Bay Rays	43c	423.69$184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$239.88	1,435	50%717 W · 718 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Tampa Bay Rays	75c	413.46$309 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.09	1,218	55.6%677 W · 541 L	+94.9wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Cleveland Guardians	61c	405.49$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.3	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-5.3wins	-0.19per pick	64cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9712…0c47backed Tampa Bay Rays	29c	391.82$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276.68	102	40.2%41 W · 61 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 4.5Over won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5Under won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Under won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Under won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Under won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland GuardiansNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event