TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,063
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,559

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,063 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6498…8910backed Over57c11,721$6,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,680.2151756.5%292 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over44c7,482$3,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,292.311,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc1…b33cbacked Under56c7,302$4,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,212.8826257.3%150 W · 112 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Under46c4,369$1,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,371.232,37547.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over58c3,476$2,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,006.154,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Over58c3,388$1,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,949.048447.6%40 W · 44 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over31c3,144$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.942,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under42c3,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7401,30150.2%653 W · 648 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under45c2,329$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,281.3319053.7%102 W · 88 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under44c2,316$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.732,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under54c2,031$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.919,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under42c2,006$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.422,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under42c1,959$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.081,53848.6%747 W · 791 L-5.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Over57c1,752$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.5639047.4%185 W · 205 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae51…0d08backed Over24c1,746$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.0536440.1%146 W · 218 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under66c1,412$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48110,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3449…abdfbacked Over54c1,103$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.398624.4%21 W · 65 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-23.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under43c1,033$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.255,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under63c888.12$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.4112,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Over54c781.68$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.119045.6%41 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Under43c643.24$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.5157551.7%297 W · 278 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under44c549.09$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.491,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c10…b6a4backed Under58c531.1$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.0611446.5%53 W · 61 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29061652.8%325 W · 291 L+31.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under43c499.99$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.641,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Under49c495.52$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.723857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under42c400$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2326,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under73c375.59$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.4175544.2%334 W · 421 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Over57c341.82$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.8438455.2%212 W · 172 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under43c314$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.982,32949.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over39c309.71$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9112339%48 W · 75 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c93…8967backed Over54c258.17$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.255839.7%23 W · 35 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over53c218.66$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.8978550.2%394 W · 391 L+2.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over54c215.57$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.051,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over25c201.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.445,14954.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L+231.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Under44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11221748.4%105 W · 112 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…0d90backed Under80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405429.6%16 W · 38 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over21c197.48$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.562,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Over52c196.57$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9722248.6%108 W · 114 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa807…cc2ebacked Over33c178.23$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.821450%7 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under42c150$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8771044.5%316 W · 394 L-23.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under42c130.55$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.724,51548.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L-46.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Under43c126$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.8240446.5%188 W · 216 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under76c122.17$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1867742.2%286 W · 391 L-36.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over16c120.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.86,12355.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L+346.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2798…a9c7backed Under48c119.68$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.646547.7%31 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over55c119.54$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.751,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Under79c116.39$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9551555%283 W · 232 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over21c100.02$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.961,87452%975 W · 899 L+51.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5837357.4%214 W · 159 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.527248.5%132 W · 140 L-1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under73c66.65$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.011,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under48c66.61$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6336157.9%209 W · 152 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under44c61.84$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.631,05347.3%498 W · 555 L-14.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4619…2108backed Under43c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.22751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked Under44c59.92$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.559044.4%40 W · 50 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Over55c59.35$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6424450%122 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under45c56.6$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1323248.7%113 W · 119 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa36b…aec4backed Under43c54.88$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.28580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+48.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5f5…bb11backed Under47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.555953.1%297 W · 262 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Over24c49.89$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.831,44550.3%727 W · 718 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under48c48.44$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.191,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Over55c46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.349649.8%247 W · 249 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under69c35.96$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.172,54645.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L-74.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5754…cefbbacked Under56c34.77$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.39646.9%45 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under79c33.53$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.146,30548.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under44c33.15$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.561,05750.2%531 W · 526 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Over41c30.37$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.451,37454.2%745 W · 629 L+16.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Under69c28.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8222554.7%123 W · 102 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8f7…9817backed Under43c27.05$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.47742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under44c27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.121,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bbd…98f2backed Under45c25.14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8318751.3%96 W · 91 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Under79c21.5$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.481,14948.9%562 W · 587 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6efb…01afbacked Over57c20.51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.694553.3%24 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28a3…8620backed Over57c20.51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6932153.9%173 W · 148 L-10.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02ec…5412backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013348.1%64 W · 69 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07c0…5dd2backed Under71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.818458.2%107 W · 77 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over54c19.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.561,00157.3%574 W · 427 L+2.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfff…3d0ebacked Under62c19.54$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4326553.2%141 W · 124 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.