Fifa International · resolved market
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x073b8be6fac6e1242f99bd0b18bf738c456481f30ec59bc16a00dd5d0d0d34a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $507,690
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $596,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $507,690 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 751 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 40c | 139,162$55,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,664.69 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Yes | 60c | 50,000$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000 | 239 | 42.3%101 W · 138 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Yes | 59c | 44,830$26,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,380.11 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Yes | 59c | 41,932$24,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,192.06 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 60c | 39,187$23,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,802.2 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed No | 41c | 25,550$10,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,475.5 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 40c | 24,999$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.68 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Yes | 59c | 24,616$14,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,190.27 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 41c | 18,190$7,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,410.62 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 41c | 17,744$7,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,204.91 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 41c | 12,660$5,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,190.57 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 41c | 10,038$4,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,116.69 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 41c | 9,979$4,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,091.22 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Yes | 60c | 9,258$5,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,703.33 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…f99bbacked Yes | 60c | 9,203$5,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,681.06 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14eb…2e34backed Yes | 63c | 7,974$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,973.78 | 274 | 33.9%93 W · 181 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de2…772fbacked No | 41c | 6,902$2,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,829.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…e272backed No | 40c | 6,666$2,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,666.4 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe467…593abacked Yes | 60c | 6,537$3,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,614.9 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…9adabacked Yes | 60c | 6,339$3,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,535.74 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…1956backed Yes | 60c | 5,948$3,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,379.23 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 37c | 5,296$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.57 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Yes | 59c | 5,085$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.75 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Yes | 63c | 5,005$3,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.49 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.97 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed No | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.97 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed No | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.9 | 240 | 58.8%141 W · 99 L | +19.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…a5eebacked No | 41c | 4,900$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 41c | 4,784$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.53 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba87…3de4backed Yes | 60c | 4,549$2,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 16c | 4,251$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.71 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…4c55backed Yes | 60c | 4,167$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.67 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…d621backed Yes | 60c | 4,087$2,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.67 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…2be9backed No | 1c | 4,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Yes | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 379 | 55.7%211 W · 168 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.97 | 128 | 25.8%33 W · 95 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes | 59c | 4,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.95 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed No | 41c | 3,934$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612.94 | 176 | 42%74 W · 102 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed No | 37c | 3,914$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.19 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc087…dbbabacked Yes | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.83 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 58c | 3,324$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.06 | 361 | 23.5%85 W · 276 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Yes | 60c | 2,833$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.33 | 205 | 47.3%97 W · 108 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa608…1b35backed Yes | 63c | 2,710$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.69 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc5…45c1backed Yes | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed No | 40c | 2,500$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.95 | 98 | 19.4%19 W · 79 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +146.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…7147backed No | 41c | 2,463$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf595…bfb5backed Yes | 60c | 2,250$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37f4…49afbacked No | 41c | 2,222$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.02 | 190 | 37.4%71 W · 119 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed No | 41c | 2,200$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.02 | 280 | 25%70 W · 210 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 38c | 2,156$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.23 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb48b…04ebbacked No | 41c | 2,084$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.4 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…89debacked Yes | 60c | 2,000$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.96 | 403 | 43.7%176 W · 227 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…273ebacked Yes | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.95 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 40c | 1,950$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.98 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf2…1e5bbacked No | 42c | 1,872$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.16 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c8…7cc8backed No | 40c | 1,860$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.97 | 122 | 41%50 W · 72 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…352fbacked Yes | 63c | 1,665$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.4 | 164 | 41.5%68 W · 96 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc33…eb35backed Yes | 60c | 1,647$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.65 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc54…db0ebacked Yes | 60c | 1,624$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.5 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked No | 41c | 1,522$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…fd5bbacked Yes | 59c | 1,510$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.94 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed No | 43c | 1,500$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 237 | 29.1%69 W · 168 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…0002backed No | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.99 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked No | 40c | 1,399$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.49 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcf…80acbacked Yes | 60c | 1,340$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48d…a64dbacked Yes | 60c | 1,333$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.33 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Yes | 60c | 1,293$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.33 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…fefcbacked No | 39c | 1,284$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 24c | 1,255$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.67 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…9fd3backed No | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfad3…edc9backed Yes | 62c | 1,200$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c6…502cbacked Yes | 60c | 1,160$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.86 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22df…9ef0backed No | 42c | 1,152$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Yes | 60c | 1,135$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed No | 41c | 1,100$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…0353backed Yes | 60c | 1,079$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.46 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +8.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed No | 15c | 1,055$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.1 | 423 | 36.9%156 W · 267 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b77…b4e1backed Yes | 59c | 1,034$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.9 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6d…e72cbacked Yes | 59c | 1,002$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.98 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed No | 41c | 1,001$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.06 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…26e9backed Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea0…68b1backed Yes | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yes | 59c | 999.98$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.99 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 59c | 999.87$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.45 | 414 | 29%120 W · 294 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Yes | 56c | 999.67$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.33 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b65…5489backed Yes | 59c | 998.56$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 40c | 930.93$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.37 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8baa…f299backed Yes | 59c | 920.41$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.19 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…47a9backed No | 42c | 877.07$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.37 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Yes | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 214 | 42.5%91 W · 123 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…3c69backed Yes | 60c | 836.71$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.71 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…4e9abacked Yes | 61c | 833.55$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.63 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b60…85e0backed Yes | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Yes | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x502e…5442backed Yes | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 167 | 46.7%78 W · 89 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 49 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsthis page
- Bernardo Silva: 1+ assistsNo won
- Bernardo Silva: 1+ goalsNo won
- Bernardo Silva: 3+ goalsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 1+ assistsYes won
- Bruno Fernandes: 1+ goalsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 1+ shotsYes won
- Bruno Fernandes: 2+ assistsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 2+ goalsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 3+ goalsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 3+ shotsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ assistsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ assistsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goalsYes won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Francisco Conceição: 1+ assistsNo won
- Francisco Conceição: 1+ goalsNo won
- Francisco Conceição: 3+ goalsNo won
- Francisco Conceição: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Gonçalo Guedes: 3+ goalsNo won
- Gonçalo Guedes: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Gonçalo Ramos: 1+ goalsNo won
- Gonçalo Ramos: 3+ goalsNo won
- Gonçalo Ramos: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- João Félix: 1+ assistsNo won
- João Félix: 1+ goalsNo won
- João Félix: 2+ assistsNo won
- João Félix: 2+ goalsNo won
- João Félix: 2+ shotsYes won
- João Félix: 3+ goalsNo won
- João Félix: 3+ shotsYes won
- João Félix: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Pedro Neto: 1+ assistsNo won
- Pedro Neto: 1+ goalsNo won
- Pedro Neto: 2+ assistsNo won
- Pedro Neto: 3+ goalsNo won
- Pedro Neto: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Rafael Leão: 1+ goalsYes won
- Rafael Leão: 3+ goalsNo won
- Rafael Leão: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Rúben Neves: 1+ goalsNo won
- Rúben Neves: 2+ goalsNo won
- Rúben Neves: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Samu Costa: 3+ goalsNo won
- Samu Costa: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Trincão: 3+ goalsNo won
- Trincão: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.