TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Bruno Fernandes: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,582
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,919

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,582 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6bf1…294fbacked Yes37c11,882$4,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,396.521051%107 W · 103 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No63c11,480$7,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,252.3719252.1%100 W · 92 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No65c10,115$6,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,578.1346464.9%301 W · 163 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No63c6,000$3,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,219.9329646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6340…e272backed No63c5,758$3,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,123.519161.5%56 W · 35 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Yes37c5,405$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00011555.7%64 W · 51 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed No59c4,560$2,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,873.264235.7%15 W · 27 L-5.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked Yes36c4,278$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,540.197545.3%34 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Yes39c3,853$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50027433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No61c3,686$2,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,437.4237959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes36c3,100$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11635036.3%127 W · 223 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x045b…9ab6backed Yes41c2,897$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.222218.2%4 W · 18 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-44.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes35c2,158$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.12,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No63c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74029250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed No64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72011654.3%63 W · 53 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Yes36c2,000$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.3823942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No63c1,695$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.122,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No64c1,681$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.2170750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No66c1,635$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.0411256.3%63 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x45e4…3c69backed Yes38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009649%47 W · 49 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3507034.3%24 W · 46 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdac1…baddbacked No63c999.96$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.9831171.4%222 W · 89 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No60c849.24$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.752,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eef…83aabacked Yes35c831.78$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.97639.5%30 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes33c818.1$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.982,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed No61c749.94$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.4833350.5%168 W · 165 L+24.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes38c601.28$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.138,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Yes35c569.94$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.4819713.7%27 W · 170 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7985…0129backed Yes35c561.43$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.5922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-68.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b54…d382backed Yes37c551.62$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.12343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dbb…352fbacked Yes37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016441.5%68 W · 96 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Yes38c523.81$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012429%36 W · 88 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8a8…be88backed Yes37c502.11$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.784353.5%23 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19054917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Yes36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18023251.7%120 W · 112 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x655c…1a00backed No63c473.22$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.094261.9%26 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a9d…de77backed Yes42c309.52$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1308149.4%40 W · 41 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x071c…bab9backed Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008127.2%22 W · 59 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6590…cf07backed Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003531.4%11 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c27…f2aabacked Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014637.7%55 W · 91 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1878…47a9backed Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030321.5%65 W · 238 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc843…32b7backed Yes39c277.03$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1083928.2%11 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaea4…106ebacked Yes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017436.2%63 W · 111 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcae4…cc88backed Yes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked No60c269.33$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.7316564.2%106 W · 59 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb413…adc3backed Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003231.3%10 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6220…36f4backed Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2461…f240backed Yes35c250$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.514445.8%66 W · 78 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d29…5111backed No63c249.91$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.376256.5%35 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No63c244.98$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.1928873.3%211 W · 77 L+21.7wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4fa9…7633backed Yes42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016825.6%43 W · 125 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a3e…01f8backed Yes42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd050…c915backed Yes37c218.84$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806860.3%41 W · 27 L+11.5wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+39.1%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x9253…0baebacked Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008055%44 W · 36 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c0…722ebacked No64c216.6$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.982576%19 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+52.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked Yes14c205.05$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8314116.3%23 W · 118 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82ce…dbd6backed Yes37c202.7$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751540%6 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed No63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7415648.1%75 W · 81 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f5d…946ebacked Yes37c189.19$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703250%16 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb014…a357backed No63c184.43$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.2415642.9%67 W · 89 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Yes38c184.21$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7066745%300 W · 367 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99c9…4c22backed Yes37c172.97$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6416032.5%52 W · 108 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No72c169.19$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.282,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25c7…9179backed Yes35c158.51$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.487528%21 W · 54 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc6c…a22bbacked No65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.853043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+39.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x421b…8982backed Yes41c152.44$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.53641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a88…0296backed Yes23c151.02$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3422627.9%63 W · 163 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed Yes35c150$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.516655.4%92 W · 74 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe346…9040backed Yes37c148.65$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510525.7%27 W · 78 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2463…e21bbacked Yes37c148.65$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5526836.9%99 W · 169 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf029…a292backed Yes35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509942.4%42 W · 57 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa76c…dc83backed Yes35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016016.3%26 W · 134 L-11.0wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-47.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x770d…ca11backed Yes35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504325.6%11 W · 32 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-51.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9f06…6203backed Yes37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501540%6 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-30.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16f8…31e9backed Yes37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509534.7%33 W · 62 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Yes37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5029138.5%112 W · 179 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes34c130$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.21,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed No63c125$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2521850.5%110 W · 108 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46a6…0c24backed Yes41c122$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf47d…da66backed Yes33c117.22$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.438626.7%23 W · 63 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed No69c116.56$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2437971.2%270 W · 109 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xedc0…7ce4backed Yes36c111.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0767…ce17backed Yes40c107.6$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.047140.8%29 W · 42 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Yes43c104.91$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4522919.2%44 W · 185 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55e3…b615backed Yes39c102.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4063229.3%185 W · 447 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf58e…a0b0backed Yes38c102.26$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.519643.4%85 W · 111 L-0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2f9…f703backed No65c102$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.74158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No63c101.47$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.063,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Yes36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3610841.7%45 W · 63 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed No63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3757252.4%300 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f4c…f3bfbacked Yes37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3716418.9%31 W · 133 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…77f0backed Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359315.1%14 W · 79 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+28.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37ec…2032backed Yes46c86.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4028149.8%140 W · 141 L+19.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8297…5ac4backed Yes36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308631.4%27 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb105…2e1abacked Yes36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65fa…389fbacked Yes36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e79…9076backed Yes37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3041339%161 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f74…64f1backed Yes37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed No63c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.61,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 49 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.