TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: France (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Franceof France, Iraq
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,196,258
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,369,078

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,196,258 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 642 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Iraq22c362,669$80,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80,716.494,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed France79c109,928$86,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,339.72,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Iraq22c95,833$20,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,897.53,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02d8…0c91backed France78c92,857$72,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,064.631361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed France79c63,224$49,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,277.0874752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf501…8063backed France78c62,624$49,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,623.611154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-15.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed France77c30,299$23,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,974.797455.4%41 W · 33 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Iraq20c20,000$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,099.9986452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82ba…afeabacked France75c19,991$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,990.5315337.3%57 W · 96 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed France78c16,726$12,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,735.021,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c24…cd38backed France76c14,649$11,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,583.09742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+48.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Iraq16c14,556$2,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,401.411,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed France78c14,543$11,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,209.238,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Iraq22c13,315$2,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,869.571638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Iraq21c12,126$2,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,546.4821836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Iraq20c11,655$2,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,280.653,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked France78c11,578$9,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,524.942,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed France77c11,451$8,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,656.192,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Iraq1c10,280$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.86835.3%24 W · 44 L-0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-31.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf298…ada5backed France77c10,000$7,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3006943.5%30 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Iraq22c10,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20018837.2%70 W · 118 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cc0…5765backed France76c10,000$7,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.996152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0da…1f80backed Iraq23c9,999$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.771330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed France80c9,430$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,930.387153.5%38 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Iraq22c9,131$2,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0461,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Iraq23c9,113$2,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,104.722,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed France77c9,091$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,090.9114246.5%66 W · 76 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7042…c72bbacked France77c8,662$6,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,979.477147.9%34 W · 37 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Iraq23c8,651$1,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,973.111,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5a7…8105backed Iraq23c8,500$1,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,954.992835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x23cd…a835backed France79c7,884$6,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,655.662969%20 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Iraq21c7,169$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,505.492729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+46.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Iraq21c6,713$1,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,392.6674447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked France76c6,652$5,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,606.7458049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed France78c6,410$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.2616947.3%80 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9786…4c55backed France79c6,357$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,357.099549.5%47 W · 48 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Iraq23c6,040$1,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,380.691,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Iraq17c5,828$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.64,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Iraq20c4,880$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.82,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Iraq24c4,796$1,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.851032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Iraq23c4,631$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.961,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd754…5222backed France77c4,541$3,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.521080%8 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+38.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Iraq20c4,444$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.814325.2%36 W · 107 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Iraq23c4,341$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.651,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed France79c4,000$3,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84035446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Iraq16c3,935$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.592,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Iraq23c3,900$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.1629740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed France80c3,891$3,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.8538333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked France77c3,456$2,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.8822943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Iraq23c3,335$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.6892038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea79…584fbacked France80c3,284$2,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.798448.8%41 W · 43 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+37%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb72b…989abacked France77c3,236$2,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.3610456.7%59 W · 45 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed France77c3,000$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6905543.6%24 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked France77c3,000$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6904355.8%24 W · 19 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed France78c3,000$2,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6459266.3%61 W · 31 L+13.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+26.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x1e98…0bbfbacked France77c2,968$2,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.611553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x811e…ce09backed France75c2,667$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.678035%28 W · 52 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x496b…79a8backed France78c2,600$2,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5722365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+3.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x410c…7d2fbacked France77c2,597$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.45855.2%32 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…1f87backed France77c2,597$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.43562.9%22 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe31d…a83dbacked France77c2,597$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.44067.5%27 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+26.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x12a2…0e71backed France80c2,500$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50019158.1%111 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Iraq22c2,500$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.432,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb19…c590backed France79c2,498$1,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.46683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+99.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Iraq21c2,473$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.683,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Iraq21c2,432$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.5385851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Iraq22c2,421$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.4752744.4%234 W · 293 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe544…e7ffbacked France77c2,163$1,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.524766%31 W · 16 L+8.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+42.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa7b4…a4f5backed France76c2,148$1,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.822650%13 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked France77c2,124$1,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.5238734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Iraq2c2,090$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.575335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed France77c2,020$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.5118465.8%121 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaff8…ab4abacked France75c2,016$1,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.11947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x611a…e171backed France71c2,000$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5802948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Iraq23c2,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.9864443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3de…6fe8backed France80c1,966$1,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.12475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick76cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x860d…5648backed France77c1,948$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.0514244.4%63 W · 79 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5550…2e35backed France80c1,791$1,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.13633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2458…df0ebacked France78c1,700$1,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3688425%21 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked France78c1,649$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.3537754.4%205 W · 172 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Iraq27c1,622$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43714231.7%45 W · 97 L-13.4wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Iraq20c1,594$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.758047.5%38 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f70…0ca9backed France77c1,553$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.516355.6%35 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Iraq16c1,537$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.9778234.3%268 W · 514 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a881backed France78c1,410$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.2611647.4%55 W · 61 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7315…aa69backed France75c1,400$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3501513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick10cpaid-46.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b63…bdd3backed Iraq22c1,364$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005616.1%9 W · 47 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick12cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked France76c1,316$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.7930465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf29a…3122backed Iraq23c1,304$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016637.3%62 W · 104 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed France78c1,300$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2867364.4%47 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+1.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Iraq1c1,300$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1325719.1%49 W · 208 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-51.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20c6…45aebacked France77c1,299$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.712736.2%46 W · 81 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fe2…9645backed France77c1,299$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.74065%26 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1a…bc89backed France77c1,298$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.5410959.6%65 W · 44 L+9.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x54f6…b0f2backed France73c1,270$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.914463.2%91 W · 53 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed France79c1,224$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.9811642.2%49 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Iraq21c1,107$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.5825848.4%125 W · 133 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Iraq23c1,105$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.4458029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Iraq19c1,100$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.3674034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Iraq21c1,092$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.2569534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.