TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,938
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,083

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,938 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcb40…d463backed Over38c526.32$200 inLost-$20030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over67c395.35$265 inLost-$265.378,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under62c382.51$237 inWon+$145.351,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under64c291$186 inWon+$104.762,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under30c281.03$83 inWon+$198.074,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under62c201$125 inWon+$76.383,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7cd…093abacked Over30c199.59$60 inLost-$59.8828822.6%65 W · 223 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ce…fa8dbacked Under78c199.02$155 inWon+$44.0223554.9%129 W · 106 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over22c175.82$39 inLost-$38.682,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…8d97backed Under64c156.25$100 inWon+$56.252556%14 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under70c145.94$102 inWon+$43.7834249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under43c140.99$61 inWon+$80.142,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under48c130.95$63 inWon+$68.022,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over36c106.73$38 inLost-$38.423,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb83e…9f42backed Under51c103.96$53 inWon+$51.335271.2%37 W · 15 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under54c89.33$48 inWon+$41.351,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Over26c57.31$15 inLost-$14.957252.4%300 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e30…4764backed Over38c52.63$20 inLost-$203836.8%14 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over30c49$15 inLost-$14.671,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5401…7fabbacked Under64c46.88$30 inWon+$16.881650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over29c40$12 inLost-$11.62,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under63c27.03$17 inWon+$102,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.