TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Iraq: France 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$365,661
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$370,703

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $365,661 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 268 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed Over53c93,756$49,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,25019644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over50c90,000$45,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,00042345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under49c57,777$28,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,64434249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under49c55,716$27,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,19829740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under47c40,795$19,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,621.5974752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Under50c33,651$16,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,825.5121333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa66c…cd67backed Over51c31,242$15,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,872.8918047.8%86 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x332a…c9a2backed Under50c24,677$12,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,252.097237.5%27 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under47c14,191$6,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,478.2637959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Under50c12,841$6,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,420.6325844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,20011443%49 W · 65 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bef…5e49backed Under48c9,999$4,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,189.034544.4%20 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid+13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under49c9,707$4,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,990.383,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over25c8,138$2,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,025.788,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c8,024$3,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,089.992,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under48c3,897$1,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,009.0877845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c3,754$1,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,786.584,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f98…c81abacked Over46c3,426$1,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,583.146134.4%21 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under45c3,070$1,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,673.534,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Under52c2,190$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.032748.1%13 W · 14 L+4.9wins+0.18per pick30cpaid+120.1%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xaf0f…3f10backed Over50c2,165$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.48740.2%35 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Under50c2,125$1,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.58938.2%34 W · 55 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ce6…9469backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+43.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.9564443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Under53c1,989$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.5692038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9343…3f72backed Over50c1,854$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.24728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid+64.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Over59c1,686$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011555.7%64 W · 51 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e20…e3c8backed Under50c1,623$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.54942.9%21 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Over63c1,600$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.9825537.6%96 W · 159 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf0…a1d3backed Under50c1,596$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.8621044.3%93 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35b1…8962backed Under51c1,566$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.045543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f46…9097backed Under50c1,530$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.78247.6%39 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ec…267dbacked Over48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.9827845.7%127 W · 151 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa526…c9f9backed Over50c1,416$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.074161%25 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd1f…3b4dbacked Under50c1,272$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6365352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under52c1,251$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.4585851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6691…5a83backed Under50c1,250$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.226765.7%44 W · 23 L+9.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+22.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over49c1,138$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.382,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe35b…d8d0backed Over51c1,116$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5693243.8%14 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5858…dc6bbacked Over50c1,100$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.156246.8%29 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b9e…d362backed Over51c1,022$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52111436.8%42 W · 72 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50022749.3%112 W · 115 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0547…9926backed Over49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50021443%92 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc386…386fbacked Over31c1,010$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.195127.5%14 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Over50c959.91$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.9645038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7fb0…34ecbacked Under51c943.02$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.023658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd169…8ff6backed Over51c931.37$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47517241.3%71 W · 101 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under48c889.54$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.5622643.4%98 W · 128 L-12.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under50c816.63$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.3146550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1573…9f45backed Over49c816.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-35.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Under52c772$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.5616946.2%78 W · 91 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over49c745$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.461,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Under52c699.92$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.9612947.3%61 W · 68 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x848c…2bf0backed Over48c699.81$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.9122122.2%49 W · 172 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Over51c647.06$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33018742.8%80 W · 107 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Under77c646.37$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.3723353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa622…4448backed Over50c630$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31511325.7%29 W · 84 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cf6…20d7backed Over50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002227.3%6 W · 16 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Over51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2554131.7%13 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under59c499.98$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.9995739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over41c499.78$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.9135424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Over46c498.41$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.272653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e83…4bd3backed Under53c469.81$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.81425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-52.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc390…715cbacked Over49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006134.4%21 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe72e…c780backed Over49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014539.3%57 W · 88 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Over49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19624247.1%114 W · 128 L-1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Over34c399.97$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.9919823.7%47 W · 151 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x50a2…5152backed Over64c390.72$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62e0…32dfbacked Over52c384.9$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017345.1%78 W · 95 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe2c0…b876backed Over50c376.18$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.0910532.4%34 W · 71 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x266a…3579backed Over50c351.26$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.743542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+52.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x655c…1a00backed Under49c350$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.54261.9%26 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc6ea…6ebbbacked Over52c327.38$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.245621.4%12 W · 44 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-42.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51cf…106cbacked Over48c313.85$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015321.6%33 W · 120 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0aaf…d41abacked Over49c310.8$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.294047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33dc…7386backed Over50c310$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1551127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-50.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x070f…ed83backed Over51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15311444.7%51 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under52c299.99$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.111,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb116…c4e1backed Over50c282$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14114953%79 W · 70 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked Under50c265.11$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.1133245.5%151 W · 181 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under48c265$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.852,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under56c264.99$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.693,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under50c264.21$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.311,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under50c264.2$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.282,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0715…c532backed Over43c250$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.52166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+18%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Under55c250$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.532044.1%141 W · 179 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb7b…eac6backed Over57c240$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.817459.8%104 W · 70 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3900…fb4ebacked Over43c233.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023729.5%70 W · 167 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a71…49bcbacked Over64c229.25$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.72742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick64cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdcc…7c07backed Over45c219.98$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.995745.6%26 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5933…ecb7backed Over48c208.42$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013035.4%46 W · 84 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8da1…d39cbacked Over51c207.84$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd220…fc0bbacked Over49c204.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010432.7%34 W · 70 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x54f9…5c3dbacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008259.8%49 W · 33 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10047049.4%232 W · 238 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005545.5%25 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4372…6a96backed Over48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9626921.6%58 W · 211 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad3d…24e5backed Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1044032.5%13 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.