TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x266a…3579

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
76
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT3732.4%12 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-34%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+131.9%+$648.12
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs TYLOO (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Luminosity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
Counter-Strike: B8 vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+69.9%+$129.27
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+77.1%+$83.23
Counter-Strike: 9z vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs NEW VISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked Lilmix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+130.1%+$62.47
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs ECHO (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$296
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs ECHO - Map 1 Winnerbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.73
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$643Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$724.58
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.41
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs 9INE - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.94
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$387.3
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.52
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.89
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winnerbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.32
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Map Handicap: ex-RUBY (-1.5) vs Infinite (+1.5)backed ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$191.97
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$67.3
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.1
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT3542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+52.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.49
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$110.49
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Ecuador · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$98.11
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.67
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$189.23
Netherlands vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Japan leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+525%+$528.62
South Africa vs. Canada: Canada 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.39
Jordan vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$391.16
Panama vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.18
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+203%+$188.23
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.81
England vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$224.56
France vs. Iraq: France 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.74
Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.31
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.32
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$270.38
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$212.96
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$177.41
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$103
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.17
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.