TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Cruzeiro EC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$230,764
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$237,371

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,764 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed Over44c159,999$70,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70,205.7118352.5%96 W · 87 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc72d…fc21backed Under56c51,511$28,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,525.624858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c21,334$12,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,847.018,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under56c18,468$10,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,147.0810741.1%44 W · 63 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under56c13,257$7,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,833.0842962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under56c11,252$6,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,938.693,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ce…944bbacked Over45c10,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50060%0 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under56c9,700$5,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,26817049.4%84 W · 86 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under55c6,439$3,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,897.588153.1%43 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under56c3,200$1,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40824855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Under56c3,139$1,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,381.294143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over18c3,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54012940.3%52 W · 77 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under70c2,872$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.6411055.5%61 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over4c2,491$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6420036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under56c2,383$1,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.6465058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under56c2,010$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.191,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Under56c2,006$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.696350.8%32 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under56c1,850$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.9416653.6%89 W · 77 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over37c1,754$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.763,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under70c1,611$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.612,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under56c1,581$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.748955.1%49 W · 40 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Under56c1,400$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61623057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under56c1,400$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61616558.2%96 W · 69 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Over46c1,300$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.1920046%92 W · 108 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under56c1,204$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.5733560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under56c1,200$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52824053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over33c1,142$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.8411338.9%44 W · 69 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Over19c1,106$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.9621538.1%82 W · 133 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over33c1,076$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.832,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44019559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4406056.7%34 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Over26c924.09$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.222744.4%12 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under56c839.65$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.11,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Over44c837.64$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.223549.4%116 W · 119 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under56c800$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35228851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under56c800$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35223056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under66c762.82$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.828556.5%48 W · 37 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Under63c634.92$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.921050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over44c625.95$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.851,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over39c622.42$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.651,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under56c608.06$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.511,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under56c600$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26424956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under56c600$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2644452.3%23 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under56c600$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2644254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under56c600$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26418358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under56c587$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.2822853.1%121 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x266a…3579backed Over44c535.25$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.5130%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under56c520$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.816559.4%98 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under56c520$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.815857.6%91 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under66c513.67$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.951,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x733d…cc26backed Over44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over38c408.16$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.117440.2%70 W · 104 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebfd…cba6backed Over47c408$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.762642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefa3…d08bbacked Under75c325$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.251675%12 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under56c320$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.821358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under56c312$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.2821657.9%125 W · 91 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under56c312$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.2820360.6%123 W · 80 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over37c310.81$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11513833.3%46 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Under57c306.13$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.647350.7%37 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2779…239abacked Under75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-38%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1324850%24 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under56c285.16$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.4733266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over16c281.25$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4511127%30 W · 81 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under56c280$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.222058.6%129 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under56c274.36$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.7211551.3%59 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Under56c270$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.83652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under54c262$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.211,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Under56c260.92$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.811858.5%69 W · 49 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa69c…890ebacked Over38c253.47$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.321631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under56c247$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.762,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Over46c239.13$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.31per pick49cpaid-65%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Over45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x707b…5c3abacked Over46c217.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.991040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-40%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over28c214.35$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.61,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004647.8%22 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8824257%138 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8815560%93 W · 62 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8818959.3%112 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over44c199.97$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.99728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under56c195.88$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1978756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under58c193.63$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.638046.3%37 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf12d…0fddbacked Under56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.576031.7%19 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf3f…1365backed Under64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Under56c152.46$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.087761%47 W · 30 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under56c151.8$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.799826.5%26 W · 72 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+5.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under56c150.79$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.3517251.7%89 W · 83 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over8c148$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4935246.9%165 W · 187 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Over36c147.23$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.43458.8%20 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Under56c145$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.89124.2%22 W · 69 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under56c144.89$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.7527053%143 W · 127 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcff1…f8debacked Over43c139.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under53c130.35$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.931,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Under66c127$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.081154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under72c125.81$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.622,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under54c124.78$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.787549.3%37 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Over36c116.93$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.698818.2%16 W · 72 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick22cpaid+38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under56c109.84$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3333365.5%218 W · 115 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Over32c109.38$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353528.6%10 W · 25 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-41.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over33c106.98$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4825147.8%120 W · 131 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.