South American Leagues · resolved market
Cruzeiro EC vs. Fluminense FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x786dc0d0b9557ae835279c77b4f0f68b29b9fd4fee8df270896da43637568cb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed No | 52c | 5,223$2,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,701.47 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 48c | 1,425$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.86 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Yes | 48c | 1,420$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.91 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 47c | 983.75$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.39 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 974$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.55 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8583…3f3cbacked Yes | 49c | 845.27$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 51c | 582.91$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.91 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed No | 52c | 466.54$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.47 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 371.65$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.12 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…f138backed Yes | 66c | 286.36$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.36 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 49c | 254.98$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.94 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked No | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 49c | 222.84$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.95 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…aa69backed Yes | 50c | 212$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57bb…9302backed Yes | 51c | 197.51$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.78 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 51c | 195.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.89 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 47c | 125$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 51c | 123.53$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 51c | 122$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.78 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 36c | 120.28$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.77 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b24…6a9cbacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…c6bbbacked Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…e4cbbacked Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 51c | 96.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 51c | 87.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.77 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 47c | 85.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.25 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c26…1694backed Yes | 49c | 82.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.34 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf9…dde4backed Yes | 65c | 72.31$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked No | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…d6f5backed Yes | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 51c | 53.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 49c | 53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yes | 49c | 49.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8123…f127backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84e…b520backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Yes | 48c | 39.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 59c | 37.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…ad2fbacked Yes | 76c | 31.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0614…ff8bbacked Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x562e…922bbacked Yes | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed No | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 54c | 24.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 67c | 22.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6618…3733backed Yes | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5649…e5bebacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab5…a2a0backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cruzeiro EC vs. Fluminense FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Cruzeiro EC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)Fluminense FC won
- Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-2.5)Fluminense FC won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)Cruzeiro EC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.