TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6c26…1694

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
108
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Champions League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT3033.3%10 W · 20 L-4.3wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-29.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clube do Remo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$33.1
Clube do Remo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cruzeiro EC vs. Fluminense FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+105.8%+$42.34
Cruzeiro EC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Cruzeiro EC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Clube do Remo vs. São Paulo FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
CR Flamengo vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$26.04
SE Palmeiras vs. CS Cristal: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.53
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)backed SE Palmeiras · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.31
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.12
Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)backed Fluminense FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.39
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.08
Fluminense FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.05
Cruzeiro EC vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$16.81
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.15
Cruzeiro EC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Santos FC vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.63
EC Vitória vs. São Paulo FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.66
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.62
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+205.1%+$41.02
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.81
Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$15.29
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$29.81
Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+75.6%+$9.07
Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H Moneylinebacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$24.32
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 209.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+89.6%+$18.08
Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$11.53
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 24.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$48.77
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Knicks vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Gui Santos: Assists O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$13
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$42.9
Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Brandon Miller: Assists O/U 2.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+97.1%+$25.25
Precious Achiuwa: Rebounds O/U 8.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.67
Brandon Miller: Points O/U 20.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.73
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$13.29
Bulls vs. Kingsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will João Cancelo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+130.2%+$167.29
Will Miguel Almirón score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Luka Modrić score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Casemiro score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+223.4%+$113.94
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Cody Gakpo: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Cody Gakpo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.83
Luis Suárez: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.78
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.71
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.67
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+141.8%+$69.49
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+246.2%+$32
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Will Spain win on 2026-03-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.62
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.23
All 21 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.11
Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$10.18
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.36
Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+90.7%+$30.83
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.76
Kylian Mbappe: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.47
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.34
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.45
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$12.79
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+27.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-29.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New England Revolution vs. D.C. United SC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.