South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-04-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02bcbede51d3b7421e813ad85e0f30e6b7313d18a87a30ae6cc9f1720254b645
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed No | 55c | 7,524$4,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,348.27 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 45c | 7,480$3,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,342.11 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed Yes | 0c | 7,065$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…e195backed Yes | 13c | 6,220$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.64 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed No | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.78 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Yes | 47c | 2,060$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.2 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 5c | 1,999$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.95 | 71 | 25.4%18 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…53ebbacked Yes | 50c | 1,932$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.13 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 49c | 1,700$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes | 40c | 1,392$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.89 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 10c | 1,107$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.68 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e01…271fbacked Yes | 21c | 1,079$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.05 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c4…2d95backed Yes | 16c | 900.54$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.55 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed No | 52c | 799.9$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.95 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 51c | 714.36$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 77c | 451.86$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.3 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Yes | 47c | 412$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.64 | 132 | 57.6%76 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…855ebacked Yes | 52c | 295.93$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…1a89backed Yes | 15c | 284.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 26c | 251.24$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.38 | 109 | 22%24 W · 85 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5462…fe43backed Yes | 39c | 247.03$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 51c | 230.19$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.42 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4756…d776backed Yes | 50c | 225.04$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 63c | 215.25$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked No | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc389…6b32backed Yes | 49c | 177.34$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.45 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Yes | 22c | 165.04$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 46c | 156.06$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.27 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 15c | 155.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 21c | 138.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 48c | 100.76$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 53c | 99.41$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.68 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x560b…59f1backed Yes | 29c | 97.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Yes | 47c | 96.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 53c | 94.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa457…5a49backed Yes | 47c | 94.8$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95d3…b2aebacked Yes | 15c | 91.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…1100backed No | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 47c | 82.32$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 48c | 80.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Yes | 48c | 80.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…698cbacked Yes | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed No | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8b…8cb3backed Yes | 41c | 79.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 16c | 71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Yes | 48c | 70.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 22c | 68.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 48c | 67.29$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44cb…feb2backed Yes | 34c | 65.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c26…1694backed Yes | 40c | 61.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa426…540dbacked No | 60c | 56.68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa485…a7d5backed Yes | 49c | 51.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Yes | 47c | 51.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Yes | 47c | 49.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 39c | 45.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d2…d1aabacked Yes | 48c | 42.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…4db8backed Yes | 49c | 40.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa1…8e42backed Yes | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 75c | 37.78$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076e…a6a4backed Yes | 41c | 31.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked No | 59c | 31.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…cfffbacked No | 59c | 31.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Yes | 48c | 30.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 82 | 65.9%54 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Yes | 47c | 30.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…ba82backed Yes | 48c | 30.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 53c | 26.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2893…dadebacked Yes | 49c | 26.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0155…a580backed No | 59c | 24.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e83…4bd3backed Yes | 48c | 24.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed Yes | 47c | 24.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 52c | 23.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Yes | 47c | 21.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa77b…2012backed Yes | 48c | 21.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-04-08?this page
- Will Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?No won
- Will Academia Puerto Cabello win on 2026-04-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.