South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3804ca9b59bd54ae899ed85d7de160403b660903b6dbce0a2eea26936bc8640
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,064
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 28c | 1,727$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.72 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 26c | 1,289$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.8 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 1,183$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.63 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 509.38$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c4…2d95backed Yes | 21c | 486.3$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.16 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed No | 72c | 438.94$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.37 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 32c | 388.48$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.31 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…f419backed Yes | 28c | 311.24$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.09 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 26c | 198.65$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 79c | 169.1$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 79c | 169.1$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 76c | 129.34$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 32c | 95.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 70c | 84.45$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 70c | 84.45$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 70c | 84.45$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked No | 70c | 84.45$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 70c | 84.45$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 70c | 84.45$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed No | 70c | 84.45$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 70c | 84.45$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 70c | 84.45$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 70c | 84.45$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 70c | 84.45$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 70c | 84.45$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 70c | 79.77$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a77…4dd8backed Yes | 28c | 67.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 26c | 64.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 59c | 64.09$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf4…8c98backed Yes | 37c | 62.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed No | 70c | 49.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed No | 61c | 40.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 68c | 39.01$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed No | 70c | 35.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed No | 70c | 33.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 78c | 24.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 68c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed No | 70c | 21.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc779…a904backed No | 70c | 18.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 70cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?this page
- Will Academia Puerto Cabello win on 2026-04-08?Yes won
- Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-04-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.