La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x143c9558a0f309b4d16ee51f19c14b83169ee0a2946efbc7e373d93833661995
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Club Atlético de Madridof Sevilla FC, Club Atlético de Madrid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ff…35ccbacked Sevilla FC | 37c | 2,011$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.96 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…ef38backed Sevilla FC | 21c | 1,670$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.64 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 78c | 1,333$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.89 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Sevilla FC | 21c | 907.24$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.52 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7030…195ebacked Sevilla FC | 36c | 534.22$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked Sevilla FC | 21c | 453.62$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.26 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Sevilla FC | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Sevilla FC | 26c | 277.96$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.27 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Sevilla FC | 23c | 198.62$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Sevilla FC | 21c | 195.52$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 73c | 170.85$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 69c | 164.32$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 69c | 157.16$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Sevilla FC | 19c | 150.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4c…f557backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 70c | 140.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 78c | 116.74$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa695…c8a4backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8e…57fdbacked Sevilla FC | 24c | 99.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +90%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Sevilla FC | 30c | 92.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Sevilla FC | 23c | 88.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Sevilla FC | 41c | 86.36$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94ab…83f5backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 79c | 62.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 48 | 77.1%37 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f34…ba6ebacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 79c | 62.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 79c | 59.64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 117 | 69.2%81 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f62…a825backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 79c | 49.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Sevilla FC | 27c | 37.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1e…ca41backed Sevilla FC | 37c | 33.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 69c | 31.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Sevilla FC | 34c | 30.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2720backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 66c | 27.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c26…1694backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 62c | 26.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8c…880abacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 80c | 24.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 75c | 19.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 68c | 19.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 79c | 16.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)this page
- Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)Sevilla FC won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)Sevilla FC won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-2.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.