TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$144,040
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$150,782

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,040 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c15,752$8,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,600.964,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under55c14,213$7,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,453.0682844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed Over38c13,960$5,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,304.93557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over45c13,217$5,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,907.452040%8 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under36c12,183$4,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,743.543,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over62c7,467$4,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,603.726468.8%44 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under56c5,610$3,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,473.26858.8%40 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over45c5,478$2,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,464.883847.4%18 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick32cpaid+51.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under60c4,550$2,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,817.6340357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over36c3,162$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.6912132.2%39 W · 82 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under53c2,812$1,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.921,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under21c2,734$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,160.831,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under58c2,563$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.9123456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Over26c2,500$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6509443.6%41 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over40c2,482$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.3310820.4%22 W · 86 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under55c2,170$1,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.7528357.2%162 W · 121 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over45c2,127$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.294235.7%15 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c45…0ac6backed Over50c2,113$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.33728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-42.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56de…bc32backed Under50c1,668$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.472100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33bb…98b3backed Over30c1,603$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.921450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Under56c1,591$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.86657.6%38 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ddd…bea6backed Under73c1,348$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.871457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Under70c1,339$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.783455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc418…5e1ebacked Under59c1,331$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.96520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-65.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under61c1,305$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.0435759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over20c1,304$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.2910418.3%19 W · 85 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under62c1,086$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.5522446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under46c1,075$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.5992345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under38c1,035$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.791,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Under45c1,024$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.136334.9%22 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under59c825.34$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.5620360.1%122 W · 81 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under59c825.34$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.569164.8%59 W · 32 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under22c769.32$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.241,49738.6%578 W · 919 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under55c738.9$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.2219953.3%106 W · 93 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under59c651.28$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.5790843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Over51c588.96$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.1511140.5%45 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over44c579.8$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.5411819.5%23 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under54c542.93$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.7622758.1%132 W · 95 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Over44c531.52$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.87728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-42.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c80…77b7backed Over80c500$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004854.2%26 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23516149.7%80 W · 81 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c0…19a3backed Under55c497$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.83875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+33.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over54c430.38$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.48041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Under76c412.61$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.4716962.1%105 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb234…5b9ebacked Under61c401.25$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.121250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under53c352.77$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.5113151.1%67 W · 64 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x064a…245dbacked Over16c349.98$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under72c316.36$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.7169350.9%353 W · 340 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Under22c316.17$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.2412964.3%83 W · 46 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over46c315.52$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.145547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under63c310.41$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.8523957.7%138 W · 101 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd254…80a2backed Under53c308.94$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Under65c301.52$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.739348.4%45 W · 48 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1d4…8e51backed Over47c273.03$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.331952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4920…2ef4backed Under74c266.05$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.173053.3%16 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over37c260.64$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.214665.2%30 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over35c220.25$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8817128.1%48 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x672d…97f1backed Over37c201.18$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.44728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-53.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7418…ab9fbacked Over54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1082035%7 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Under72c196.64$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.065461.1%33 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2831…e84dbacked Over68c196.16$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.393953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1703…1ab4backed Over28c181.11$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.714052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over45c176.4$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3744324.2%107 W · 336 L-49.5wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xded4…1e6dbacked Under20c176.12$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.93043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7549…9745backed Over34c170.09$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6230%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under72c166.66$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.665959.3%35 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5258…534ebacked Over29c162.06$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over30c159.67$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.949228.9%142 W · 350 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Under59c158.15$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.523151.6%16 W · 15 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick65cpaid-25.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under62c157.61$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8933161.3%203 W · 128 L+12.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xab90…5793backed Over70c155.1$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.813868.4%26 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under52c147$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1420252%105 W · 97 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed Over34c144.06$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.987636.8%28 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over77c128.08$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6217458.6%102 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under56c126.65$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7974457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over11c124.32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7360732.5%197 W · 410 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Under40c120.5$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.31428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under33c118.78$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.933953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ff…35ccbacked Over12c117.77$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.137936.7%29 W · 50 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68d1…f166backed Over17c113.45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193627.8%10 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over24c111.25$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2816660.8%101 W · 65 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b8f…4812backed Under72c109.24$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.592100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x578a…6f10backed Over72c108.88$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.671553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under50c107.57$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.549660.4%58 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237058.6%41 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257852.6%41 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Over29c99.04$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.725427.8%15 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+58.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x666d…21ecbacked Under30c98.37$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc510…065dbacked Over26c95.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Under73c94.34$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.475156.9%29 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033b…5e3fbacked Under62c91.13$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.44269%29 W · 13 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbaff…eaf6backed Under48c86.81$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.52948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c65…6b11backed Under58c84.03$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.298100%8 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f34…ba6ebacked Under72c81.93$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.94366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa296…743dbacked Over80c81.89$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.192045%9 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid+31.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over23c79.97$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.594235.7%15 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcbd…191dbacked Over30c77.47$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.242352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb71…b5a0backed Over17c76.29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.19944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over31c75.75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4883640%334 W · 502 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.