TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

West Ham United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,020

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,020 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under63c13,739$8,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,071.486,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed Over39c3,561$1,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,388.9416040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over38c2,632$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016753.3%89 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over39c2,425$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9342832.1%9 W · 19 L-5.6wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-42.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under62c1,793$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.0751750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf277…9a5fbacked Under65c1,544$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.022272.7%16 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under62c1,363$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.9472249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over35c1,222$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.064,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Under62c1,111$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.076550.8%33 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Under63c999.97$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.997357.5%42 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Over38c923.97$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.1110838.9%42 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over36c867.35$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.983953.8%21 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over38c717$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.7915534.2%53 W · 102 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over27c699.69$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.926160.7%37 W · 24 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under60c676.5$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.64736.2%17 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Over39c637.88$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507847.4%37 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over37c600$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2203938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf60…79c5backed Over40c592.28$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.911030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-39.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Over37c508.19$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.032142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Over52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2603063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e00…d969backed Under49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under62c478.84$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.9652454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under55c453.33$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.841,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa26e…d280backed Over38c434.21$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16510031%31 W · 69 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a4a…044ebacked Over38c395.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.191070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over38c394.74$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15035428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over36c387.88$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.1216232.1%52 W · 110 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+19.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over52c386.38$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.9229343.7%128 W · 165 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006145.9%28 W · 33 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-22.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x076b…dbfabacked Under62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+46%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12037342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b84…2f73backed Under68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.122373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over38c276$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.8130143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under61c259.74$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.0522335.4%79 W · 144 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Over59c254.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15019244.3%85 W · 107 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under60c220$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.87565.3%49 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d6…b213backed Over49c204$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.961553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3279…a922backed Over37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744854.2%26 W · 22 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over28c189.81$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.522,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf343…fba6backed Over38c181.53$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.981553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe175…a1b3backed Over52c177.33$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.211369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Under64c171.88$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.8832164.5%207 W · 114 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over36c170.56$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4585048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over36c155.95$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1861143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef2e…10c3backed Over59c147.56$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.06837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-33.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010046%46 W · 54 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e5f…6cecbacked Over38c135$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.32245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df4…4eacbacked Over40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick51cpaid-55.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over24c118.91$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.840821.8%89 W · 319 L-53.7wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-49.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x99a0…75bdbacked Over39c113.95$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.44633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+83.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011229.5%33 W · 79 L-9.8wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-25.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Under43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579645.8%44 W · 52 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Under58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.882050%10 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+77.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128516.5%14 W · 71 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dbe…b1b1backed Under60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4012250%61 W · 61 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5055654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under64c97.41$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0149753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over52c96.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.938959.6%53 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb253…26febacked Under68c86.34$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.63560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over38c78.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040841.9%171 W · 237 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb27e…29d4backed Under64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.13875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+33.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under61c66.92$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.139052.6%205 W · 185 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over39c64.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.151,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Under78c60$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.254128.3%153 W · 388 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over49c59.23$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.216544.2%73 W · 92 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0339…1394backed Over40c57.5$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb47f…d792backed Over49c55$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.952759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031746.1%146 W · 171 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbe…4d88backed Over38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6e7…884cbacked Over35c49.24$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.232475%18 W · 6 L+6.7wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+63.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under52c49$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3811753%62 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2b4…01fdbacked Under64c47.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1213561.5%83 W · 52 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over48c41.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9773258.5%428 W · 304 L+46.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over58c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.220143.8%88 W · 113 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under62c39.41$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9811850%59 W · 59 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c26…1694backed Over59c38.98$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2340%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd25c…fe19backed Over40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c05…639ebacked Over40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x788c…4a44backed Over40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over40c36.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4522834.2%78 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over37c33.06$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.151,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Over39c31.9$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.448536.5%31 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-1.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Under48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.66251.6%32 W · 30 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1266031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over41c29.95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2219356%108 W · 85 L+21.4wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbca3…483abacked Under61c29.52$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.511872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under66c28.24$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5742658%247 W · 179 L+24.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x641f…049abacked Over40c27.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-41.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under53c27.35$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9141343.3%179 W · 234 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x03c0…14c1backed Over54c26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed Over39c26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1441040.5%166 W · 244 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa684…ca71backed Over40c25.85$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.34540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60e3…08a6backed Over40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1025057.6%144 W · 106 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22bb…f7f8backed Over40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Under61c24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3614258.5%83 W · 59 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under60c23.09$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3320758%120 W · 87 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under61c22.27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6323250.9%118 W · 114 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6573…4dabbacked Over46c21.8$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.