TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

West Ham United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,716

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,716 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under44c27,588$12,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,421.126,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under39c6,357$2,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,863.052,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over61c6,049$3,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,689.7916753.3%89 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x158d…9c64backed Over62c5,447$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,40010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over51c5,396$2,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,758.724,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Over57c5,314$3,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,036.191662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+32.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under40c2,219$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,331.3512949.6%64 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab90…5793backed Over70c2,141$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.932552%13 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.17per pick69cpaid-25.9%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xa313…1f26backed Over30c1,878$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.51827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-16.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under44c1,758$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.92,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bc2…8564backed Over57c1,751$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00120%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over60c1,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002832.1%9 W · 19 L-5.6wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-42.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under38c1,500$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.964736.2%17 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over67c1,499$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007245.8%33 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over76c1,316$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.439446.8%44 W · 50 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa26e…d280backed Over64c1,180$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.8510031%31 W · 69 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x14b1…afbdbacked Over62c1,154$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9df…2d62backed Under65c1,106$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.291353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over39c1,100$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4302245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+41.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over60c1,033$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62035428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over65c999.28$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.5326548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c992.16$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.441,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under32c953.39$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.3174156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Under40c899.99$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5407357.5%42 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Over61c899.84$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.910838.9%42 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under14c740.07$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.0872142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under37c612.66$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.611,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Under38c592.97$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.6411449.1%56 W · 58 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under76c585.63$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.084143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over62c577$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.515534.2%53 W · 102 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee6…1678backed Over59c538.86$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.51020%2 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-59.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xecf9…9372backed Over59c510.39$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.13250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Over61c502.15$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.573767.6%25 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over52c480.77$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25028654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003953.8%21 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under34c459.41$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.422335.4%79 W · 144 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Over42c446.83$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.672142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under38c438.45$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.4530050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over33c403$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.993735.1%13 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over30c400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Over57c350$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.52948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bbe…1559backed Over43c348.84$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509345.2%42 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under78c326.31$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9743241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed Under43c324.51$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.971973.7%14 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.23per pick51cpaid+46.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4f8b…e16abacked Over57c324.51$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.97757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over62c322.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cc0…65a2backed Over63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005940.7%24 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over61c305.33$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18520644.7%92 W · 114 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4815740.8%64 W · 93 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Over60c300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1809953.5%53 W · 46 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2109…55bfbacked Over56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1682653.8%14 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed Under38c299.99$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.994360.5%26 W · 17 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+34.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under43c298$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.3549753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under38c285.67$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.1296443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked Over62c285.55$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.043852.6%20 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+72.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over45c270$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.51741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Under38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.165152.9%27 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over59c262.71$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15517161.4%105 W · 66 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7250…f52fbacked Under16c249.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.996829.4%20 W · 48 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over53c228.3$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1216248.4%30 W · 32 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Over62c210$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.26953.6%37 W · 32 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-18.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2596…fd5abacked Under60c206.83$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.73666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+23.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over50c201.96$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004969.4%34 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x54fe…5850backed Over53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1063234.4%11 W · 21 L-4.8wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-32.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11410252.9%54 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over62c196$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.5230143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over52c192.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.859339.8%37 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb80a…1a43backed Over44c179.91$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.16728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under39c171.26$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.4752454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf824…0fdabacked Over72c167.34$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over65c160.77$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.6461143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57dc…01ffbacked Over63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002759.3%16 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Under20c150$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.5520425%51 W · 153 L+0.4wins0.00per pick25cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9a5…9445backed Over60c147.41$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.452748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over66c147$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7496645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over60c146.03$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.625935.6%21 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over58c143.85$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.15056%28 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef2e…10c3backed Over63c137.98$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.93837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-33.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Over47c126$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.683129%9 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over20c124.49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510939.4%43 W · 66 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5833…4893backed Over63c118.19$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.464654.3%25 W · 21 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over60c110$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6632164.5%207 W · 114 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under39c107.21$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.811,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Under48c106.29$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.356240.3%25 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb22f…804dbacked Over39c104$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.56520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4659645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Over62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6245224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4554128.3%153 W · 388 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x817c…9e7cbacked Over60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601030%3 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick61cpaid-56.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed Under51c99.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494161%25 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over61c99.96$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9855654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under42c99.9$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.946750.7%34 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over60c95$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5740841.9%171 W · 237 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under40c94.01$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4172249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaebc…41f2backed Over60c91.67$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554050%20 W · 20 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under40c90.42$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.251,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509549.5%47 W · 48 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under66c87.61$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4889152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.