Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6cad322945d352499f597d79794469bbba3260af0426007cdbb258384fb1217

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: West Ham United FCof Manchester City FC, West Ham United FC
Resolved: Mar 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $180,124

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,124 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd9c4…6f95backed Manchester City FC	34c	90,778$30,857 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,856.9	160	40.6%65 W · 95 L	-12.9wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8372…5223backed West Ham United FC	66c	37,149$24,518 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,630.51	68	57.4%39 W · 29 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked West Ham United FC	66c	19,964$13,176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,787.76	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	+3.2wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked West Ham United FC	65c	11,662$7,624 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,037.47	517	50.1%259 W · 258 L	+19.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Manchester City FC	35c	8,293$2,904 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,903.58	155	34.2%53 W · 102 L	-9.7wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed West Ham United FC	66c	7,000$4,620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,380	92	72.8%67 W · 25 L	+20.5wins	+0.22per pick	51cpaid	+47.1%equal weight	69+0.17 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed West Ham United FC	66c	6,820$4,518 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,302.37	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked West Ham United FC	66c	5,938$3,904 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,033.6	175	57.1%100 W · 75 L	+10.7wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed West Ham United FC	66c	5,000$3,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,700	330	57%188 W · 142 L	+17.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked West Ham United FC	65c	4,277$2,772 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,505	2,550	47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Manchester City FC	34c	4,200$1,428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,428	137	48.2%66 W · 71 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Manchester City FC	34c	4,133$1,405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,405.22	212	53.8%114 W · 98 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed West Ham United FC	66c	4,000$2,640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,360	142	58.5%83 W · 59 L	+11.0wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked West Ham United FC	66c	4,000$2,640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,359.99	183	62.3%114 W · 69 L	+17.5wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed West Ham United FC	66c	3,229$2,131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,097.83	1,283	48%616 W · 667 L	-5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1fd0…93acbacked Manchester City FC	35c	1,514$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Manchester City FC	34c	1,421$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490.2	162	32.1%52 W · 110 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked West Ham United FC	65c	1,369$885 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$483.74	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked West Ham United FC	67c	1,202$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$401.99	52	55.8%29 W · 23 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed West Ham United FC	66c	1,000$660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340	72	68.1%49 W · 23 L	+13.8wins	+0.19per pick	49cpaid	+42%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed West Ham United FC	66c	999.47$660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$339.82	321	58.9%189 W · 132 L	+13.6wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked West Ham United FC	66c	800$528 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$272	369	56.9%210 W · 159 L	+20.6wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked West Ham United FC	66c	795$525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270.3	210	56.7%119 W · 91 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed West Ham United FC	66c	768.32$504 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$264.53	524	54.2%284 W · 240 L	+14.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Manchester City FC	33c	674.52$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.79	223	35.4%79 W · 144 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cbb…c561backed Manchester City FC	37c	667.57$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.13per pick	35cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd708…b9d2backed West Ham United FC	68c	606.82$410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.82	39	56.4%22 W · 17 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9055…12cebacked Manchester City FC	36c	600$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216	40	30%12 W · 28 L	-2.9wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked West Ham United FC	65c	599.95$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.98	232	58.2%135 W · 97 L	+13.9wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Manchester City FC	34c	588$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.92	81	44.4%36 W · 45 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Manchester City FC	26c	576.92$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	192	44.3%85 W · 107 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Manchester City FC	35c	571.43$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	121	43%52 W · 69 L	+8.4wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Manchester City FC	31c	508.33$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158	288	24.7%71 W · 217 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Manchester City FC	35c	451$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.42	301	43.9%132 W · 169 L	-16.2wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Manchester City FC	34c	450$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.21per pick	39cpaid	+57.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5b0…f879backed Manchester City FC	35c	428.57$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-2.8wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Manchester City FC	35c	428.57$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	354	28.5%101 W · 253 L	-20.1wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Manchester City FC	34c	395$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.3	108	38.9%42 W · 66 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked West Ham United FC	67c	360$241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.8	193	57.5%111 W · 82 L	+16.3wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Manchester City FC	35c	342.86$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-11%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7030…195ebacked Manchester City FC	35c	342.86$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.24per pick	43cpaid	+44%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Manchester City FC	34c	341.42$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.08	390	52.6%205 W · 185 L	+19.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x81b0…5159backed Manchester City FC	35c	302.31$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.48	99	40.4%40 W · 59 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed West Ham United FC	66c	300$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	655	57.7%378 W · 277 L	+26.0wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked West Ham United FC	66c	300$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	350	56.9%199 W · 151 L	+20.9wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+14%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked West Ham United FC	66c	300$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	599	58.9%353 W · 246 L	+26.4wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked West Ham United FC	66c	300$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	605	57.5%348 W · 257 L	+25.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x42df…bb2fbacked Manchester City FC	34c	299.99$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	37	16.2%6 W · 31 L	-3.8wins	-0.10per pick	27cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5d3…91aabacked Manchester City FC	35c	285.86$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.05	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-2.2wins	-0.17per pick	40cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3542…24f0backed Manchester City FC	36c	277.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Manchester City FC	36c	277.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	61	45.9%28 W · 33 L	-6.9wins	-0.11per pick	57cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x78bb…27c8backed Manchester City FC	36c	277.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed5d…2668backed Manchester City FC	36c	277.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	87	37.9%33 W · 54 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6b8…3539backed Manchester City FC	37c	270.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	68	42.6%29 W · 39 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc40…c795backed Manchester City FC	38c	263.16$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	52	28.8%15 W · 37 L	-4.4wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Manchester City FC	34c	250.34$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.12	232	50.9%118 W · 114 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed West Ham United FC	66c	250$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85	375	57.3%215 W · 160 L	+21.2wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x88ff…fa1bbacked Manchester City FC	38c	250$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed West Ham United FC	66c	250$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85	1,224	42.3%518 W · 706 L	-27.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Manchester City FC	28c	232.24$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.68	721	42.7%308 W · 413 L	+15.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed West Ham United FC	66c	200$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68	466	60.5%282 W · 184 L	+30.3wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed West Ham United FC	66c	200$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68	362	59.1%214 W · 148 L	+23.2wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+14%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4923…6866backed West Ham United FC	66c	200$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+3.0wins	+0.18per pick	47cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed West Ham United FC	66c	200$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68	561	58.6%329 W · 232 L	+29.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa413…1fe0backed West Ham United FC	66c	200$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x993a…09fcbacked Manchester City FC	35c	200$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-4.3wins	-0.24per pick	35cpaid	-73.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe013…1ddcbacked West Ham United FC	67c	199.99$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66	44	77.3%34 W · 10 L	+10.2wins	+0.23per pick	54cpaid	+45.5%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Manchester City FC	36c	196.68$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.77	408	41.9%171 W · 237 L	-8.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked West Ham United FC	64c	191.58$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.88	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddbd…e738backed Manchester City FC	34c	184.28$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.55	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+2.1wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Manchester City FC	38c	183.36$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	378	40.5%153 W · 225 L	-15.8wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed West Ham United FC	66c	180$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.2	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed West Ham United FC	66c	180$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.2	323	57.6%186 W · 137 L	+17.8wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Manchester City FC	35c	171.43$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	76	42.1%32 W · 44 L	-6.4wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed West Ham United FC	65c	168$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.8	722	49.9%360 W · 362 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed West Ham United FC	66c	150$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	815	59%481 W · 334 L	+32.5wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed West Ham United FC	66c	150$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	351	57.8%203 W · 148 L	+18.1wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed West Ham United FC	66c	150$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	207	63.8%132 W · 75 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Manchester City FC	34c	149.99$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.99	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-2.5wins	-0.13per pick	45cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Manchester City FC	29c	149.91$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.7	408	21.8%89 W · 319 L	-53.7wins	-0.13per pick	35cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0xf594…bfc1backed West Ham United FC	63c	145.7$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.23	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad57…b8d3backed West Ham United FC	66c	143.82$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.05	41	63.4%26 W · 15 L	+3.7wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+23%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Manchester City FC	35c	142.86$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	222	42.8%95 W · 127 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe85f…7f69backed Manchester City FC	35c	142.86$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	38	18.4%7 W · 31 L	-7.6wins	-0.20per pick	38cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed West Ham United FC	66c	140$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.6	367	58.3%214 W · 153 L	+23.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+15%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked West Ham United FC	67c	139.08$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.9	492	54.9%270 W · 222 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2702…a103backed Manchester City FC	36c	138.89$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+10%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Manchester City FC	36c	138.89$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	100	29%29 W · 71 L	-9.5wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x15cc…6268backed Manchester City FC	36c	138.89$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x686e…9dc3backed Manchester City FC	37c	135.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	+75.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed West Ham United FC	67c	133$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.4	207	58%120 W · 87 L	+11.9wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Manchester City FC	36c	125.36$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.13	46	30.4%14 W · 32 L	-5.1wins	-0.11per pick	42cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf25a…d724backed Manchester City FC	24c	125$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ce8…63febacked Manchester City FC	24c	125$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-2.9wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked West Ham United FC	66c	120$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.8	331	56.8%188 W · 143 L	+14.8wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked West Ham United FC	66c	120$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.8	322	55.9%180 W · 142 L	+13.4wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked West Ham United FC	66c	120$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.8	330	57%188 W · 142 L	+17.9wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed West Ham United FC	66c	120$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.8	326	56.7%185 W · 141 L	+16.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed West Ham United FC	66c	120$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.8	327	55.7%182 W · 145 L	+13.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed West Ham United FC	66c	120$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.8	383	58.2%223 W · 160 L	+24.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+16%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)this page
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)West Ham United FC won
Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
Spread: West Ham United FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
West Ham United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
West Ham United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
West Ham United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
West Ham United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
West Ham United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event