South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-04-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x156334f03cc714186c75b2665eb1a20878517d2240e63bf09a032698b8c790fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,774
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe5b…a75bbacked Yes | 34c | 18,893$6,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,377.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 15,570$9,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,304.07 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b83…f841backed Yes | 59c | 4,960$2,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,924.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 3,477$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.71 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 40c | 3,313$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972.22 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 59c | 3,306$1,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950.8 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6395…d69dbacked No | 45c | 2,171$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.79 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 41c | 2,122$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.52 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked Yes | 77c | 1,841$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.36 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +8.1wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +29%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 48c | 1,829$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.73 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc00…b850backed Yes | 58c | 1,575$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 52c | 1,448$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.74 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 41c | 1,096$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.12 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…53ebbacked Yes | 45c | 1,074$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.5 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0afd…b9c9backed Yes | 64c | 1,013$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.8 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Yes | 61c | 999.7$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.82 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked No | 36c | 961.69$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.07 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked No | 43c | 897.29$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.46 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 45c | 892.93$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.88 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 59c | 883.32$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.16 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 63c | 843.99$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.29 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes | 58c | 840.34$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.4 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 21c | 827.4$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.65 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x767d…7631backed No | 43c | 804.51$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 54c | 795.71$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.16 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed No | 42c | 778.37$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.45 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -7.0wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 41c | 704.69$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.11 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 41c | 688.64$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.58 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 37c | 638.56$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.3 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…cb26backed Yes | 58c | 594.63$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.88 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 55c | 545.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.68 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 43c | 540.53$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.51 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Yes | 58c | 504.21$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.44 | 132 | 57.6%76 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ce…c264backed Yes | 58c | 448.09$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.89 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 11c | 424.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61e…a10bbacked Yes | 30c | 416.41$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…0e0bbacked Yes | 59c | 363.97$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +134.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed No | 54c | 360.15$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 37c | 356.53$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.61 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5462…fe43backed Yes | 57c | 342.97$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.49 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x516f…3dc8backed Yes | 57c | 341.82$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.84 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Yes | 57c | 339.18$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.9 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 42c | 334.31$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.05 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc0…6139backed Yes | 58c | 331.1$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.04 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Yes | 59c | 330.64$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.08 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 49c | 330.52$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.28 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Yes | 60c | 325.33$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.2 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed Yes | 59c | 315.85$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.35 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf445…703ebacked Yes | 59c | 315.82$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +134.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 6c | 314.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53fa…83f9backed No | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…f8dfbacked No | 20c | 299.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.99 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 63c | 287.96$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.45 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 42c | 249.16$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.43 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Yes | 60c | 241.04$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.37 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4c…1940backed Yes | 72c | 223.6$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.11 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed No | 21c | 221.4$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.91 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x740d…c6a9backed Yes | 56c | 220.8$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 62c | 217$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.54 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb051…2481backed Yes | 64c | 213.46$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 41c | 211.55$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.93 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2f…4520backed Yes | 62c | 201.68$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.2 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 62c | 201.6$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.89 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 62c | 201.35$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.72 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 67c | 192$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.52 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 67c | 192$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.52 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…3c98backed Yes | 54c | 173.92$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa770…24a6backed Yes | 59c | 173.59$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed Yes | 58c | 171.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 43c | 168.45$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.02 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 16c | 158.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 41c | 157.62$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.59 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7eb…a668backed Yes | 59c | 156.06$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.08 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…aaf4backed No | 42c | 148.6$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.48 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 42c | 147.68$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.65 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Yes | 13c | 146.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 42c | 144.52$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.29 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95da…f58bbacked No | 41c | 143.19$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1efbbacked No | 37c | 133.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.37 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5cdebacked No | 47c | 129.9$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.85 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked No | 47c | 129.9$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.85 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 41c | 128.79$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.93 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…9732backed Yes | 57c | 128.18$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.07 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…cfffbacked No | 47c | 127.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed No | 62c | 124.67$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.57 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…18dfbacked Yes | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed No | 22c | 112.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.75 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 771 | 51.4%396 W · 375 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6b…aaa3backed Yes | 31c | 106.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed No | 21c | 104.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.71 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 39c | 104.09$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.31 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bee…590cbacked Yes | 57c | 102.55$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 61c | 99.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.49 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Yes | 57c | 99.13$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked No | 41c | 97.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-04-15?this page
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-04-15?Yes won
- Will Fluminense FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.