TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1bee…590c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: CS2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT2441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.21
Devin Booker: Points O/U 23.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.35
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$115.59
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.74
James Harden: Points O/U 21.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.01
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.24
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.69
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$111.86
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.1
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$89.62
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$147
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$50.73
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Trail Blazers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$65.45
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+212.5%+$21.25
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+150%+$30
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+100%+$21
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Lakers vs. Cavaliersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$28
All 24 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Tomas Machac vs Francisco Comesanabacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.37
Madrid Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Titouan Droguetbacked Benjamin Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+287.8%+$82.5
Madrid Open: Zizou Bergs vs Marin Cilicbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.53
Busan: Alex Bolt vs Yunchaokete Bubacked Alex Bolt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.1
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.24
Oeiras 3: Valentin Royer vs Joel Schwaerzlerbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$26.43
Busan: Yunchaokete Bu vs Adam Waltonbacked Yunchaokete Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$27.98
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Liudmila Samsonova vs Coco Gauffbacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.9
Tallahassee: Liam Draxl vs Joao Lucas Da Silvabacked Joao Lucas Da Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$51.29
Oeiras 3: Max Houkes vs Dusan Lajovicbacked Dusan Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.87
BMW Open: Alexander Blockx vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42.35
Miami Open, Qualification: Arthur Fery vs Yunchaokete Bubacked Yunchaokete Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Miami Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Leandro Riedibacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$28.76
Miami Open, Qualification: Yunchaokete Bu vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Yunchaokete Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$31.81
Dubai Tennis Championships: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+85.2%+$47.7
Qatar Total Open: Maria Sakkari vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Rotterdam Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Ugo Humbertbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Open Sud de France: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Geabacked Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+127.3%+$17.82
All 18 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.83
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$22.4
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$49.2
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.45
Spread: Santos FC (-2.5)backed Santos FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.48
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$77.99
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$48.53
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-02-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20.16
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+52.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$21.69
US Cremonese vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$22.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.