TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-04-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$335,833
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$368,729

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $335,833 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed No48c205,196$98,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98,027.329446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes52c116,993$60,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,321.353,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc72d…fc21backed Yes50c30,136$15,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,059.714858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4956…e2c7backed Yes57c21,432$12,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,215.937950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No50c6,790$3,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3954339.5%17 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed No48c6,658$3,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,195.782548%12 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No72c6,472$4,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,661.082,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd705…fb7cbacked Yes40c5,423$2,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,253.52634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No62c5,062$3,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,153.391,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4d3…c2f0backed Yes45c4,267$1,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,338.092254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9c5…f860backed Yes21c4,036$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,203.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick22cpaid+200.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e01…0875backed Yes50c3,880$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9401957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes52c3,642$1,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,731.9850746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes66c3,443$2,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.8782434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes46c3,130$1,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,678.359562.1%59 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes55c2,701$1,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.4422853.1%121 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Yes49c2,590$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,318.582657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No64c2,475$1,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,578.858,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked Yes61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7804544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Yes51c1,997$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.1314540%58 W · 87 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked No39c1,973$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.43633.3%12 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed No56c1,968$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.038337.3%31 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Yes47c1,483$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.466654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes53c1,458$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.127441.9%31 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No60c1,441$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.231,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Yes51c1,235$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.227244.4%32 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes52c1,112$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.331,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes47c1,030$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.93762.2%23 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+20.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1cc0…6139backed Yes19c999.99$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8101546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef46…b0eabacked Yes53c998.5$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+32.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Yes25c973.39$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.2815326.1%40 W · 113 L+0.7wins0.00per pick26cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes52c971.2$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.1823057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Yes50c970$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4853754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ac…0e0bbacked Yes19c949.31$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+134.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf445…703ebacked Yes19c949.31$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+134.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7abf…8dd3backed Yes51c948.17$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.813953.8%21 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes53c854.21$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.4813049.2%64 W · 66 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Yes44c804.44$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.262548%12 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+18.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes58c798.71$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.811,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43ce…c264backed Yes40c770.21$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.327732.5%25 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa204…bf99backed Yes13c729.08$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick20cpaid+235.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Yes20c715.65$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.852839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes51c707.42$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.6312541.6%52 W · 73 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b85…a3e9backed Yes55c694.4$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.481136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd752…ce7fbacked Yes40c693.57$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.142347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes43c640.12$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Yes15c634.88$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.069344.1%41 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes59c600.46$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.872,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes71c582.38$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.7384943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes55c569.03$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.751,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes43c561.51$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.063650%18 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No59c537.61$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.995,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b08…aaf4backed Yes51c537.22$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.212564%16 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1901,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ac…5018backed Yes39c494.05$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.373560%21 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Yes59c492.96$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.2713257.6%76 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa179…258ebacked Yes45c488.48$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.471266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No38c481.4$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.931,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes50c469.31$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.063,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes54c444.11$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.731,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5734…698bbacked Yes39c427.49$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.83837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes59c402.56$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.321,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yes51c394.82$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.4317251.7%89 W · 83 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes39c377.42$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.532634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Yes52c373.54$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.310750.5%54 W · 53 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Yes55c371.74$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.8917560.6%106 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e6e…99eabacked Yes61c363.93$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.93837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c50…14dfbacked Yes52c352.99$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.44650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No37c334.11$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.6213545.2%61 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdf6e…c865backed Yes50c319.62$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.812161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe732…04a8backed Yes19c300.44$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.361435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes40c292.86$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.5141256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef5c…6ababacked No63c258.13$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.256274.2%46 W · 16 L+8.7wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+19.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes54c252.59$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.41,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Yes39c247.03$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.693727%10 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb94…7bc0backed No66c237.5$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.721464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+26.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes22c236.45$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.838540%34 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99ec…0da5backed Yes44c229.7$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.63966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+45.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Yes43c225.56$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.992941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Yes60c224.01$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.4633266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes60c223.7$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.4816534.5%57 W · 108 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No44c219.64$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6431745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Yes51c214.86$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.1811849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57c3…44b8backed Yes46c210.35$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.594242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802070%14 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9055…12cebacked Yes40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1209428.7%27 W · 67 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0687…77bfbacked Yes35c195.92$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.453923.1%9 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e9f…5403backed Yes51c194.89$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.153773%27 W · 10 L+6.8wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+32.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x533d…ceeebacked No13c192$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.963010%3 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick11cpaid+8.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes15c189.8$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.3318140.3%73 W · 108 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed Yes60c187.84$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.61573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+44.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes16c178.05$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.5625625%64 W · 192 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed Yes57c170.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4916262.3%101 W · 61 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c07…5feabacked Yes57c170.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.494753.2%25 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked Yes60c165.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.372060%12 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bee…590cbacked Yes52c162.49$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.99944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked No49c157.53$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.145844.8%26 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x292d…1321backed Yes19c157.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+136%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7853…abe7backed Yes45c151.69$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.61616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-62.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c50…89b6backed Yes39c148.22$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.412462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.