TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Qatar Total Open: Maria Sakkari vs Jasmine Paolini

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sakkariof Sakkari, Paolini
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,835
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,444

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,835 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Sakkari58c12,763$7,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,357.922,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Paolini60c10,082$6,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,063.376140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Sakkari40c8,888$3,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,332.699545.3%43 W · 52 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Paolini69c7,690$5,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,297.991,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Sakkari46c5,104$2,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,759.617,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Paolini20c5,005$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00035247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb5ed…d25fbacked Paolini62c4,814$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0005853.4%31 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Paolini32c4,000$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,28044360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Sakkari73c2,208$1,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.862,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Paolini69c1,609$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.3738652.3%202 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d9…a89abacked Sakkari40c1,500$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90011123.4%26 W · 85 L-8.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Paolini22c1,443$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31555646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Sakkari38c1,329$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.831,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Sakkari39c1,282$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.0539431%122 W · 272 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed Paolini62c1,256$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77915862.7%99 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Paolini12c975$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1179737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Paolini5c945.24$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4712722%28 W · 99 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+55.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Paolini66c878.78$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57959151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0866…a1d5backed Paolini66c841.51$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.3416339.3%64 W · 99 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Sakkari45c716.34$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.093,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Paolini21c684.62$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1451,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Sakkari70c617$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18869249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Paolini16c616.88$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4596035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Paolini37c616$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.9217867.4%120 W · 58 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cd9…96f0backed Paolini26c598.13$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1567236.1%26 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Sakkari39c593.73$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.0817933%59 W · 120 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Sakkari48c560.23$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.6452037.7%196 W · 324 L-30.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Sakkari49c531.01$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.032,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b46…bb95backed Paolini62c515.76$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.392878.6%22 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick65cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Paolini45c511.13$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.658,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Sakkari40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30057645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc5…a45bbacked Paolini58c441.98$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25810757.9%62 W · 45 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Sakkari56c438.18$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.612,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Paolini62c435.48$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27078152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb16…96b5backed Paolini23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10044448.9%217 W · 227 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Paolini62c400$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24846649.8%232 W · 234 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb74…1a99backed Sakkari39c400$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2449630.2%29 W · 67 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf74d…9930backed Paolini63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026158.2%152 W · 109 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Paolini66c303.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20037444.1%165 W · 209 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Sakkari47c302.04$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.081,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Sakkari39c300$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18340141.9%168 W · 233 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1ee…0267backed Paolini61c281.73$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.953633.3%12 W · 24 L-8.0wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-43.1%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Paolini60c251.35$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.91,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Sakkari37c250$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.54,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Paolini42c225.06$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.949143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Sakkari37c222$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.8695140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Sakkari33c211.18$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.491,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76ef…561cbacked Paolini60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Paolini18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Paolini32c187.5$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6018932.3%61 W · 128 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Sakkari75c180$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.827755.6%154 W · 123 L-1.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Paolini62c162.28$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.611,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Paolini62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042046.9%197 W · 223 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b2a…bc9bbacked Paolini62c160.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004346.5%20 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb75e…1737backed Paolini27c156.27$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4224446.3%113 W · 131 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Sakkari38c148.31$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.41,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x623f…a4cdbacked Paolini71c140.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57c3…3201backed Sakkari39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2118957.7%109 W · 80 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Paolini32c125$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Sakkari53c122.64$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6469350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b6b…b355backed Paolini41c122.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504122%9 W · 32 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick31cpaid+7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d3d…189dbacked Paolini56c116.8$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.714351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Sakkari37c110$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.358753.7%315 W · 272 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Sakkari45c105$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.182,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Sakkari57c102.75$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.686,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3477…ea61backed Paolini63c100.86$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…540bbacked Paolini32c99.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327936.7%29 W · 50 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Sakkari37c99.98$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.991,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Sakkari39c95.9$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4715343.8%67 W · 86 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75cd…61a6backed Sakkari41c92.76$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.193357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f97…a9b3backed Paolini31c84.41$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5126227.9%73 W · 189 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d80…07d4backed Paolini63c79.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508065%52 W · 28 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+11.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x45f4…35c6backed Paolini65c77.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Paolini31c75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.617941.8%33 W · 46 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99d5…2149backed Paolini32c72$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0418540%74 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Paolini35c67$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.399044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bee…590cbacked Paolini61c65.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401850%9 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74d0…f39ebacked Paolini31c60.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bbf…f4e6backed Sakkari80c60$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1214257%81 W · 61 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc13…83b8backed Paolini41c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.652138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-27.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Paolini50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Paolini45c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2739850%199 W · 199 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57e0…3878backed Paolini32c56.25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186842.6%29 W · 39 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Sakkari66c55.95$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9553752.3%281 W · 256 L+2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e9b…8b7dbacked Paolini39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.526837.3%100 W · 168 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd785…0d7ebacked Paolini20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1042558.8%250 W · 175 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Sakkari39c49.74$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.531,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Sakkari38c45.28$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0711045.5%50 W · 60 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Paolini60c43.9$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.341,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Paolini30c43.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.013,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Sakkari38c42.11$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1121243.9%93 W · 119 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb06…4ababacked Sakkari72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6728754%155 W · 132 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8666…a368backed Sakkari38c40.03$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.826327%17 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59cf…71dabacked Paolini58c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2185.6%1 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.22per pick27cpaid-92.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x399d…bf83backed Paolini63c39.68$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252528%7 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-34.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x285d…f500backed Paolini54c36.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.631844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-28.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Paolini60c33.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2930254.3%164 W · 138 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa785…8d3dbacked Paolini63c33.06$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1214…2848backed Paolini61c32.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.92646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a88…7902backed Paolini62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202650%13 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.