Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Sakkari vs Paolini
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x167716c4eeab729ccadcfaa77509dbe01a3995bf0e88d3b755ec735f11834818
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sakkariof Sakkari, Paolini
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,186
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,161
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,186 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Sakkari | 36c | 173.72$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.93 | 179 | 33%59 W · 120 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Paolini | 72c | 142$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.24 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Paolini | 38c | 114.54$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 262 | 27.9%73 W · 189 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Paolini | 54c | 111.8$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Sakkari | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sakkari | 52c | 85.66$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.47 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Sakkari | 41c | 53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79f…6e74backed Sakkari | 41c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Sakkari | 40c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Sakkari | 41c | 43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sakkari | 54c | 37.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcb…5ee0backed Sakkari | 40c | 34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…fd9fbacked Paolini | 60c | 33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2134…e45abacked Paolini | 60c | 33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 61cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c6…7aadbacked Sakkari | 40c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c5…5ff4backed Sakkari | 41c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9fed…23e5backed Paolini | 58c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…def5backed Sakkari | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…f7f9backed Paolini | 59c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2d…ffcebacked Paolini | 59c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6831…08b7backed Paolini | 60c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1090…1503backed Sakkari | 40c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 61cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed89…e68ebacked Sakkari | 41c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a4…7941backed Sakkari | 41c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…528dbacked Paolini | 60c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8004…596dbacked Sakkari | 41c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53c8…408dbacked Sakkari | 42c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…9f7cbacked Paolini | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8610…eba9backed Paolini | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe579…08d0backed Paolini | 59c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked Paolini | 60c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x959a…2325backed Paolini | 60c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…afe6backed Paolini | 60c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c0…6c89backed Paolini | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad0f…0e3cbacked Paolini | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe1…14e5backed Paolini | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…8bf3backed Paolini | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…8e32backed Paolini | 59c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f43…b022backed Paolini | 60c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3419…e404backed Paolini | 60c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.45per pick | 61cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb59…3c6fbacked Paolini | 59c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9783…d484backed Paolini | 59c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +36%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…4833backed Paolini | 61c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285d…f500backed Paolini | 62c | 17.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcece…d26ebacked Paolini | 60c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8b…2f4ebacked Paolini | 60c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73cd…db85backed Paolini | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f45…7e11backed Paolini | 60c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Sakkari vs Paolinithis page
- Qatar Total Open: Maria Sakkari vs Jasmine PaoliniSakkari won
- Sakkari vs. Paolini: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Sakkari vs. Paolini: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set Handicap: Paolini (-1.5) vs Sakkari (+1.5)Sakkari won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.