TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Madrid Open: Tomas Machac vs Francisco Comesana

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tomas Machacof Tomas Machac, Francisco Comesana
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$500,893
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$605,393

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $500,893 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 377 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde9f…b8f7backed Tomas Machac69c43,306$29,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,468.7913754.7%75 W · 62 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Francisco Comesana40c19,243$7,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,675.388,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Francisco Comesana42c17,205$7,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,194.256,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Francisco Comesana31c16,548$5,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,129.8580938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ebb…cb1abacked Tomas Machac49c15,555$7,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,924.1330056.7%170 W · 130 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Francisco Comesana51c14,932$7,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,560.7834136.4%124 W · 217 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Tomas Machac69c9,944$6,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,076.2514757.1%84 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Tomas Machac64c9,563$6,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,489.7829241.8%122 W · 170 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa99…f152backed Tomas Machac67c8,987$5,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,002.9373458.6%430 W · 304 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7002…395cbacked Tomas Machac67c8,503$5,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,791.622252.7%117 W · 105 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Francisco Comesana48c8,370$3,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,985.624,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Francisco Comesana39c8,311$3,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,203.017,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Tomas Machac65c7,620$4,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,667.953,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Francisco Comesana52c6,940$3,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,613.634,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Francisco Comesana31c6,840$2,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,111.1678536.1%283 W · 502 L+36.6wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Francisco Comesana31c6,430$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,997.6776140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Tomas Machac39c5,780$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,530.0618337.7%69 W · 114 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42d6…01ccbacked Tomas Machac70c5,776$4,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,705.651,07762.8%676 W · 401 L-27.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Francisco Comesana31c5,391$1,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,644.44,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Francisco Comesana31c5,391$1,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,671.0857939.7%230 W · 349 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9451…c3f9backed Tomas Machac68c5,288$3,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,690.086723.9%16 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-34.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Francisco Comesana31c5,103$1,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,581.941,68150%841 W · 840 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Francisco Comesana31c4,840$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.4329952.2%156 W · 143 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Francisco Comesana39c4,700$1,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,817.4711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Francisco Comesana32c4,512$1,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,458.9672452.6%381 W · 343 L+34.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Tomas Machac67c4,366$2,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,424.7879855.9%446 W · 352 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Tomas Machac46c4,232$1,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,296.8748851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Tomas Machac64c4,000$2,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4601,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Tomas Machac67c3,989$2,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,316.348060%48 W · 32 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Francisco Comesana33c3,945$1,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,321.1758232%186 W · 396 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e85…788bbacked Francisco Comesana35c3,843$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,328.3419845.5%90 W · 108 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Tomas Machac60c3,319$2,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.3346473.3%340 W · 124 L+27.0wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa58f…ee1abacked Tomas Machac66c3,275$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.716454.7%35 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-0.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Francisco Comesana33c3,030$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.81,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Francisco Comesana32c3,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.954436.4%16 W · 28 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x874f…a13dbacked Francisco Comesana35c2,747$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.994520%9 W · 36 L-7.4wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-47.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Francisco Comesana34c2,562$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.9920040%80 W · 120 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2a…5ae1backed Francisco Comesana34c2,498$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.062334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Tomas Machac47c2,486$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.789737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Tomas Machac66c2,474$1,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.11,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Tomas Machac66c2,449$1,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.6630542.6%130 W · 175 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Tomas Machac59c2,308$1,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.1221957.1%125 W · 94 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Francisco Comesana59c2,095$1,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.812,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Francisco Comesana33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.9958734.6%203 W · 384 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x820a…ca12backed Francisco Comesana34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.9733442.5%142 W · 192 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Francisco Comesana33c1,826$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.152,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0ce…99f6backed Tomas Machac42c1,727$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.5917936.9%66 W · 113 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Francisco Comesana53c1,723$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.154345.3%246 W · 297 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcbf…d37fbacked Tomas Machac41c1,708$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.7513631.6%43 W · 93 L-11.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-24.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Tomas Machac50c1,644$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.7841251%210 W · 202 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Francisco Comesana60c1,627$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97662545.4%284 W · 341 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Francisco Comesana63c1,545$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.9862061.9%384 W · 236 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Francisco Comesana40c1,517$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.9997141.4%402 W · 569 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Tomas Machac65c1,482$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.851,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Francisco Comesana31c1,452$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.1316552.7%87 W · 78 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd8c…f75abacked Francisco Comesana33c1,441$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.9932763.9%209 W · 118 L+15.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Francisco Comesana31c1,403$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.861,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Tomas Machac66c1,395$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.2858639.6%232 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca0d…2602backed Tomas Machac69c1,339$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.537948.1%38 W · 41 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Tomas Machac37c1,300$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.1768026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x471c…3b43backed Francisco Comesana60c1,282$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.0917549.7%87 W · 88 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Francisco Comesana34c1,263$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.5993055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a80…b808backed Francisco Comesana33c1,221$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.89643.8%42 W · 54 L-10.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-22.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Francisco Comesana32c1,205$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.641,36338.3%522 W · 841 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b4…1e3ebacked Francisco Comesana34c1,200$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40815244.1%67 W · 85 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x019a…f457backed Tomas Machac69c1,139$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.9918557.8%107 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Francisco Comesana38c1,136$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.1785348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Francisco Comesana9c1,119$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.3766139.3%260 W · 401 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8644…ad01backed Tomas Machac61c1,090$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.9426049.2%128 W · 132 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b3…49f8backed Tomas Machac46c1,079$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.9819835.4%70 W · 128 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Francisco Comesana30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022449.6%111 W · 113 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Tomas Machac65c999.99$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34741060.5%248 W · 162 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x72a0…90febacked Tomas Machac65c975.6$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.461435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01ee…6ab0backed Tomas Machac47c966.67$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.3611752.1%61 W · 56 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e26…e4d1backed Tomas Machac38c964.6$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.6610436.5%38 W · 66 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Francisco Comesana35c961$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.3512147.1%57 W · 64 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Tomas Machac48c946.35$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.672,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4523…7adebacked Tomas Machac68c872.61$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.512661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Francisco Comesana33c841$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.5333650.9%171 W · 165 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Francisco Comesana43c830.77$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.632,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fae…0d19backed Tomas Machac35c815.06$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.7942839.7%170 W · 258 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bac…8769backed Francisco Comesana67c767.79$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.617348%83 W · 90 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde1d…44a6backed Tomas Machac67c746.11$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.7121244.3%94 W · 118 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Tomas Machac62c739.91$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.2125446.5%118 W · 136 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Tomas Machac57c714.59$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.311,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Francisco Comesana33c698.59$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.757,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Francisco Comesana33c671.86$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.7189850.1%450 W · 448 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fb5…b009backed Francisco Comesana25c666.55$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.514647.8%22 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+55.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Francisco Comesana25c644.84$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.7335932.6%117 W · 242 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Francisco Comesana33c625.87$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.1397745.2%442 W · 535 L-0.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Francisco Comesana52c623.81$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.381,07660.4%650 W · 426 L+24.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Francisco Comesana31c618.42$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.711,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e3e…7d88backed Tomas Machac39c617.56$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.718236.6%30 W · 52 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Francisco Comesana18c601.97$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9738013.9%53 W · 327 L-38.3wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-55.2%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Francisco Comesana31c597.35$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.23,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfae6…ab69backed Francisco Comesana33c581.7$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.968041.3%33 W · 47 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Tomas Machac43c579.49$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.941,56640%627 W · 939 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Tomas Machac67c579.41$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.247552.4%249 W · 226 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Francisco Comesana32c574.63$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.9828038.2%107 W · 173 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c6e…271bbacked Tomas Machac70c573.9$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.682556%14 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+45%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.