TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Jazz, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,041,194

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,041,194 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbd37…7f8fbacked Jazz0c730,000$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Jazz42c400,000$167,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167,736.3554539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Kings60c128,302$76,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,320.8448343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Kings60c83,333$50,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,333.243542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Kings59c81,834$48,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,554.841,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Kings58c80,000$46,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,40012639.7%50 W · 76 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Jazz42c72,560$30,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,47536549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Jazz40c70,000$28,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,00087144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2580…1d56backed Jazz37c65,790$24,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,110.8611737.6%44 W · 73 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Jazz41c59,999$24,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,599.7140446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Kings59c57,309$33,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,782.311,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Jazz9c56,575$4,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,916.63,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Kings63c45,671$28,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,903.64,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Kings56c41,608$23,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,121.3334851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa491…3177backed Jazz41c40,025$16,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,512.685959.3%35 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Jazz43c39,953$17,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,206.0845850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Jazz41c38,485$15,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,778.9232540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Kings71c37,996$27,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,841.1859646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Kings66c37,803$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,803.4920352.7%107 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Kings59c37,785$22,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,492.044845.8%22 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Jazz21c32,161$6,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,664.9448352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…b386backed Jazz41c31,885$13,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,1583946.2%18 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+24.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Jazz42c30,000$12,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,60056646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Jazz32c29,748$9,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,391.191,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16c6…4bd8backed Jazz31c29,445$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,00030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Kings58c26,450$15,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,1091,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Jazz39c26,000$10,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,2241,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Kings58c25,000$14,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,499.971,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Kings58c23,917$13,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,111.362,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f3b…0cf9backed Kings60c23,575$14,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,486.1822159.7%132 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Kings68c22,492$15,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,161.141,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Jazz34c21,188$7,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,108.8726353.6%141 W · 122 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef1b…8697backed Jazz41c20,789$8,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,5051844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Jazz40c20,000$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,00017250.6%87 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Jazz40c20,000$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,0001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jazz31c19,520$6,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,005.355,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Kings66c17,540$11,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,933.8620744%91 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Jazz6c17,261$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.321,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4afd…4d18backed Jazz10c16,861$1,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,680.772030%6 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kings58c16,246$9,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,806.454,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcae4…e479backed Kings72c13,861$9,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,876.893151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Jazz42c13,000$5,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,46035547.3%168 W · 187 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Kings58c12,500$7,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2501,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Kings58c12,500$7,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,25077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Kings66c12,172$8,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,160.7976850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Jazz40c11,963$4,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,805.071,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Jazz42c11,918$5,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,019.5147043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Kings58c11,823$6,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,965.641,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce8b…6bc7backed Kings59c11,586$6,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,781.337864.1%50 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked Jazz18c11,477$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1008452.4%44 W · 40 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8d1…553ebacked Kings54c10,901$5,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,014.433438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7792…b63bbacked Jazz46c10,900$5,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,013.994940.8%20 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Kings68c10,541$7,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,331.693,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Jazz41c10,386$4,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,291.3189444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d35…4354backed Jazz0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Kings66c9,605$6,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,235.327865.8%183 W · 95 L+25.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+10.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb8dc…d647backed Kings47c9,440$4,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,003.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99c5…a13abacked Jazz53c9,430$4,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,997.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3453…2a6fbacked Jazz53c9,430$4,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,997.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7350…c642backed Kings47c9,420$4,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,992.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dc0…96f8backed Jazz53c9,410$4,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,987.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x207d…563bbacked Jazz53c9,410$4,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,987.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f1…d6f4backed Kings47c9,400$4,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e3c…ebcebacked Kings47c9,229$4,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,891.592100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+138%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Jazz40c9,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,599.9758449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c8c…c7b4backed Jazz36c8,959$3,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,23335650%178 W · 178 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Kings58c8,906$5,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,740.5217550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d43…ce68backed Jazz29c8,646$2,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,514.7717247.7%82 W · 90 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Kings59c8,475$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,474.589743.3%42 W · 55 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Kings78c8,390$6,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,848.6520963.2%132 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a84…ffbbbacked Kings57c8,356$4,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,566.339330.1%28 W · 65 L-9.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Jazz34c8,318$2,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,832.861,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Jazz41c8,099$3,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,292.5127163.5%172 W · 99 L+0.9wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Jazz32c8,056$2,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,561.5885344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Jazz42c8,000$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,36032039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Jazz29c8,000$2,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,319.9972241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Jazz17c7,963$1,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.4836023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Kings71c7,777$5,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.3314753.1%78 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Kings58c7,744$4,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,244.362,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Jazz20c7,561$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.889018.9%17 W · 73 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…4638backed Jazz38c7,543$2,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8705038%19 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc95d…f13bbacked Kings69c7,163$4,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,201.413961.5%24 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Jazz41c7,140$2,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,923.0330840.9%126 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kings58c7,133$4,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,000.454,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaac…ff10backed Kings63c7,045$4,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,579.6612454.8%68 W · 56 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Kings58c6,885$3,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,891.711335.4%40 W · 73 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xccea…a8ebbacked Kings58c6,600$3,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,771.9823348.1%112 W · 121 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c1d…3846backed Kings56c6,500$3,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8606943.5%30 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfec6…f355backed Jazz44c6,500$2,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,859.973847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Kings72c6,362$4,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,781.2447856.5%270 W · 208 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jazz36c6,325$2,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,260.078,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Jazz41c6,000$2,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,480.0186641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Jazz42c6,000$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,52066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Jazz40c6,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4001,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Kings69c5,993$4,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,829.792,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Jazz12c5,945$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.7938740.3%156 W · 231 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Kings69c5,813$4,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,781.1329547.5%140 W · 155 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Kings59c5,777$3,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,363.1523257.8%134 W · 98 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Kings58c5,631$3,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,365.081,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kings59c5,574$3,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,264.829,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.