TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Kings: O/U 230.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$262,398

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $262,398 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a57…2afabacked Under50c120,000$60,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,0008944.9%40 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Over50c71,170$35,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,584.9760351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f95…70a9backed Over0c31,996$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326165.6%40 W · 21 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over50c30,812$15,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,405.871,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59a0…9a09backed Over51c19,315$9,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,868.023560%21 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c75…329abacked Over52c19,200$9,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,983.985750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over50c14,185$7,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,092.54,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under49c13,504$6,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,863.9637747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Under48c10,008$4,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,204.1624045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c9,831$4,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,073.259,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c6,924$3,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,530.614,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under48c5,248$2,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,728.952,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Over51c3,550$1,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,822.7427455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under49c3,425$1,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,743.353,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under46c2,993$1,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,613.833,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under46c2,701$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,460.782,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over50c2,656$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3281,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Over51c2,200$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12282442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Under56c2,138$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.559140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Over51c2,126$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.7548751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Over54c1,723$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.529842.9%42 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Over58c1,368$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80020963.2%132 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf606…440abacked Under49c1,296$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.968754%47 W · 40 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd2b…4090backed Under78c1,231$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.335364.2%34 W · 19 L+6.1wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over51c1,020$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.1821247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Over51c1,010$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.1541947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Over51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50022447.8%107 W · 117 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over55c965.26$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.5428537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Over52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a5…2cbdbacked Under49c900$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc952…3c89backed Over51c900$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4591040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc444…2851backed Over66c795.93$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.311741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over66c768.12$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.762254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over52c709.95$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.7557650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Over2c700$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151236.5%8 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-89.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Over51c696.86$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.430453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under52c562.06$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.091,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over51c527.22$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.8889853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4630…1968backed Over51c522.64$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.5512650%63 W · 63 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Over52c515$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.826553.2%141 W · 124 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Over40c500.13$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038432.6%125 W · 259 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Over53c376.08$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19938453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93f1…b99dbacked Over52c375$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19514466%95 W · 49 L+17.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc9dc…038ebacked Over51c343$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.936550.8%33 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under74c323.91$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.9165872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15680737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15312536%45 W · 80 L-13.0wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7715…ada4backed Over51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1536344.4%28 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ccc…585fbacked Over50c291.02$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.55141.2%21 W · 30 L-5.6wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b42…62afbacked Over51c286.32$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.325850%29 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf73e…f800backed Over50c280$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf906…b98ebacked Over24c276.85$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Over52c263.58$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.0631354.6%171 W · 142 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under49c254.9$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13045542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Over18c230.01$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8820837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over36c221.29$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.8590357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Over33c205.43$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.531151.1%159 W · 152 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3582…8fc6backed Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.087332.9%24 W · 49 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Under50c198.04$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.044468.2%30 W · 14 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x17b5…ae57backed Over52c193.98$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.876946.4%32 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x852d…c3dfbacked Under53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.688749.4%43 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Over39c182.79$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.988937.1%33 W · 56 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under45c180$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under65c154.46$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.4695452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Over33c152.73$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509654.2%52 W · 44 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under48c149.97$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.9922453.1%119 W · 105 L+29.4wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+29.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Over51c140.08$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4483158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Over47c130$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.115534.2%53 W · 102 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Under19c120.45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.1612227%33 W · 89 L-0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa028…0031backed Over52c113.06$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7930654.6%167 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under49c104.51$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.671,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb3c…b4f5backed Under48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.172450%12 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Under50c100.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.420847.1%98 W · 110 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Under31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6923649.2%116 W · 120 L+28.6wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+27.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Over45c99.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9938242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Under50c98.2$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.522154.8%121 W · 100 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Over51c96.15$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0423349.4%115 W · 118 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94c4…2a41backed Over51c95.59$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7522953.3%122 W · 107 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x584c…0da9backed Over51c90$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.911847.5%56 W · 62 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over47c89.63$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.742,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeac9…4092backed Over52c86.56$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0120554.6%112 W · 93 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf9…dde4backed Over46c86.32$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405850%29 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9094…dcabbacked Over51c86$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8623655.5%131 W · 105 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8213…48a3backed Over70c85.25$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2886…9bb2backed Under53c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.610945%49 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under44c79.38$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.161,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d9f…77aebacked Over52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d38…71efbacked Over26c76.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202544%11 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x30ab…f338backed Over52c72.19$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5227350.2%137 W · 136 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed Over49c72$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9229556.6%167 W · 128 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa4c…0398backed Over51c71.08$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.256251.6%32 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b20…62cbbacked Over52c67.17$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9319659.7%117 W · 79 L+17.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe23…e72bbacked Over51c66$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6611946.2%55 W · 64 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under48c65.81$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.081,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ca…b3cdbacked Over53c64.75$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.321346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Under49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2229351.9%152 W · 141 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbecc…f560backed Over51c60.72$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9725153.8%135 W · 116 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e4a…7045backed Over51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.622748.9%111 W · 116 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf12…cbd9backed Under76c60$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.43842.1%16 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.