NBA · resolved market
Spread: Kings (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60133596370aa558b945c24f5c32f384672ae0a93a23b790dce719b67c3d0843
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Kings, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,835 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Kings | 49c | 13,154$6,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,708.54 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jazz | 50c | 13,001$6,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,527.92 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Jazz | 52c | 11,000$5,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,720 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Jazz | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.99 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Jazz | 51c | 8,417$4,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,292.77 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Kings | 49c | 8,368$4,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,273.8 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Kings | 48c | 8,342$4,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,337.83 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Kings | 48c | 7,718$3,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,987.7 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Jazz | 51c | 7,700$3,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,927 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Jazz | 54c | 6,948$3,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,746.91 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Kings | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Jazz | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,119.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kings | 47c | 5,929$2,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,160.25 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Kings | 49c | 4,504$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,304.36 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Jazz | 51c | 3,910$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.09 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Kings | 48c | 3,711$1,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.86 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jazz | 50c | 3,649$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817.97 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Jazz | 51c | 3,649$1,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860.77 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Kings | 49c | 3,102$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.04 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Kings | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Kings | 48c | 2,573$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.13 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kings | 57c | 2,339$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.69 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbc…c413backed Jazz | 50c | 2,018$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4db9…14f5backed Kings | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…cbaabacked Kings | 50c | 1,997$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.7 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…c6afbacked Kings | 56c | 1,791$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.46 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Kings | 46c | 1,329$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.45 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Kings | 49c | 1,320$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.19 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…acdebacked Jazz | 51c | 1,275$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Kings | 79c | 1,139$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.8 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Kings | 49c | 1,132$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.32 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Jazz | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kings | 49c | 899.92$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.39 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Kings | 49c | 827.22$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.88 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Kings | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.16 | 210 | 45.2%95 W · 115 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Jazz | 50c | 792.9$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.45 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Jazz | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Jazz | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 161 | 62.7%101 W · 60 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Jazz | 51c | 584.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe905…0efbbacked Kings | 48c | 507.66$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.98 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…a6c5backed Jazz | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Jazz | 42c | 472.62$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.16 | 448 | 21.4%96 W · 352 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Kings | 48c | 445.39$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.74 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Kings | 46c | 442.26$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.71 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x451f…7301backed Kings | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Kings | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Jazz | 51c | 380.51$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.33 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Jazz | 52c | 345.48$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.65 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…e032backed Jazz | 54c | 343.61$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.55 | 190 | 45.8%87 W · 103 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Jazz | 18c | 343.23$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.76 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Jazz | 22c | 329.45$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.27 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +32.5wins | +0.23per pick | 16cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed Jazz | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Jazz | 60c | 299.69$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.26 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb451…37f3backed Jazz | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Kings | 48c | 276.45$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.76 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Kings | 54c | 273.07$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.55 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09c0…9740backed Jazz | 52c | 251.92$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…24f0backed Jazz | 52c | 240.69$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92c4…ffc4backed Kings | 50c | 231.24$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.61 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Jazz | 39c | 221.48$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.65 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +12.3wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9087…457bbacked Jazz | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…c7bebacked Jazz | 57c | 212.74$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.77 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kings | 48c | 209$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.2 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Kings | 49c | 209$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.59 | 239 | 46.4%111 W · 128 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd350…8ae8backed Kings | 49c | 204.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.29 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…0272backed Kings | 50c | 200.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.1 | 182 | 33%60 W · 122 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2e…0d9ebacked Kings | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41d4…a401backed Kings | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Kings | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 290 | 40.3%117 W · 173 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed Kings | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 305 | 44.6%136 W · 169 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Jazz | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3d…6542backed Kings | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Kings | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…c0c2backed Kings | 49c | 199.98$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…676ebacked Jazz | 51c | 194$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Jazz | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Jazz | 54c | 174.09$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.55 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x449d…88cfbacked Kings | 50c | 171.02$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.02 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Jazz | 52c | 166.03$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.88 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea3…a8aebacked Kings | 50c | 155$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Jazz | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Jazz | 43c | 142.55$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.69 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…020dbacked Kings | 50c | 140.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.73 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…a62ebacked Jazz | 54c | 138.3$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.68 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Kings | 48c | 135.93$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.68 | 405 | 46.9%190 W · 215 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Jazz | 51c | 130.69$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.65 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Jazz | 53c | 128.3$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Kings | 47c | 119.45$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.82 | 487 | 39.8%194 W · 293 L | -21.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Jazz | 43c | 115.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 463 | 46.4%215 W · 248 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Jazz | 51c | 110$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Jazz | 52c | 104$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 282 | 43.3%122 W · 160 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Jazz | 49c | 103$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 574 | 44.1%253 W · 321 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f9…cc6dbacked Kings | 47c | 102.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.13 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Jazz | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +28.6wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Jazz | 53c | 99.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Jazz | 52c | 98.27$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 181 | 43.1%78 W · 103 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b89…f3a9backed Kings | 55c | 91.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.15 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…fdc8backed Jazz | 59c | 88.31$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Jazz | 23c | 84.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eca…6882backed Kings | 50c | 84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kings (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Kings (-0.5)Kings won
- Brice Sensabaugh: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Brice Sensabaugh: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- DeMar DeRozan: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jazz vs. KingsKings won
- Jazz vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineKings won
- Jazz vs. Kings: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Kings: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Kings: O/U 230.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Kings: O/U 231.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Kings: O/U 232.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Kings: O/U 233.5Under won
- Maxime Raynaud: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Nique Clifford: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Nique Clifford: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Precious Achiuwa: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Russell Westbrook: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Russell Westbrook: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Russell Westbrook: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Russell Westbrook: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Kings won
- Spread: Kings (-2.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.