NBA · resolved market
Spread: Kings (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99a59bab7e0882aaba49a8d38bbf55da8137ec32abf8ee13f507367ca003570f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Kings, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,806
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,806 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Kings | 52c | 1,857$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.92 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Jazz | 44c | 1,246$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.4 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jazz | 47c | 1,077$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.43 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kings | 53c | 1,044$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.28 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kings | 54c | 843.88$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.31 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Kings | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Jazz | 45c | 513.77$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.19 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Jazz | 48c | 399.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.99 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kings | 51c | 349.61$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.93 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…9c14backed Kings | 57c | 347.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.85 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jazz | 46c | 326.7$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.14 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Jazz | 44c | 320$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.8 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Jazz | 41c | 305.03$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.06 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Jazz | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kings | 60c | 230.31$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.9 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Jazz | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Jazz | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Jazz | 50c | 204.2$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.08 | 95 | 24.2%23 W · 72 L | -9.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Jazz | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9d…9e33backed Kings | 57c | 191.23$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.23 | 116 | 63.8%74 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…e977backed Kings | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Jazz | 38c | 174.94$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.37 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Jazz | 36c | 172.09$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.81 | 487 | 39.8%194 W · 293 L | -21.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Jazz | 43c | 163.98$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.21 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Jazz | 44c | 160$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…22b8backed Kings | 51c | 157.84$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.84 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Kings | 57c | 155.24$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.13 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…76f5backed Kings | 70c | 152$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Kings | 53c | 150$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.87 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…0df5backed Kings | 57c | 135.09$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.09 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Jazz | 38c | 105.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Jazz | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Jazz | 43c | 100.84$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.36 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…eaf5backed Kings | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Jazz | 49c | 93$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.57 | 360 | 45%162 W · 198 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Jazz | 46c | 92.6$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe856…4711backed Jazz | 44c | 89.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…274bbacked Kings | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd447…378bbacked Jazz | 44c | 82.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Jazz | 34c | 81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +12.3wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Jazz | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 340 | 47.1%160 W · 180 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…81e0backed Kings | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Jazz | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…c67dbacked Kings | 73c | 65.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Jazz | 41c | 64.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Kings | 52c | 59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Jazz | 46c | 54.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kings | 50c | 51.46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Kings | 48c | 43.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…4492backed Kings | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Jazz | 48c | 42.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Jazz | 44c | 39.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca8…ddddbacked Kings | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 278 | 46.8%130 W · 148 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Jazz | 45c | 32.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…9664backed Kings | 57c | 30.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…0f05backed Kings | 49c | 28.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…e2febacked Kings | 67c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +135.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Kings | 56c | 25.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 192 | 45.3%87 W · 105 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee3…bf37backed Kings | 53c | 22.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Kings | 70c | 22.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6242…c0d1backed Kings | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Kings (-0.5)Kings won
- Brice Sensabaugh: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Brice Sensabaugh: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- DeMar DeRozan: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jazz vs. KingsKings won
- Jazz vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineKings won
- Jazz vs. Kings: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Kings: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Kings: O/U 230.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Kings: O/U 231.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Kings: O/U 232.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Kings: O/U 233.5Under won
- Maxime Raynaud: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Nique Clifford: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Nique Clifford: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Precious Achiuwa: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Russell Westbrook: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Russell Westbrook: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Russell Westbrook: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Russell Westbrook: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Kings (-2.5)Kings won
- Spread: Kings (-3.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.