TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Kings: O/U 233.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,229

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,229 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Under51c13,985$7,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,792.41,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over41c8,730$3,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,556.152,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Over48c8,333$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00038750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under52c8,000$4,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,839.991,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over45c6,172$2,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,788.339,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc920…7914backed Over49c6,122$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0008648.8%42 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under56c5,612$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,462.471,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over42c5,357$2,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,263.894,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under57c4,905$2,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,131.384,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over43c3,838$1,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,659.23,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Over49c3,608$1,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,76812151.2%62 W · 59 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under64c3,395$2,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.33,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,41048054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07d8…9f3fbacked Over48c2,917$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4003240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Over48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00017349.7%86 W · 87 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Over46c1,961$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.0622648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over37c1,723$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.098,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Under53c950.15$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.5714245.8%65 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9175…bd29backed Under52c895.81$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.993060%18 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Over49c867$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.8329347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Under58c862.55$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.2790957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Over48c833.82$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.2617144.4%76 W · 95 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over49c783.02$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.6834851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over14c756.85$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.542,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Under53c534.64$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.1728537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2204,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2a7…7916backed Over42c489.99$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.793250%16 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92de…87eebacked Over43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over44c439.8$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.5150346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf704…bed4backed Under72c419.44$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.4416943.8%74 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over42c419.43$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.725,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Over15c391.55$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4420837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Over41c376.43$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.3245452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x61ad…915dbacked Under54c372.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.744850%24 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x451f…7301backed Under58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.837853.8%42 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over46c330.94$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.282,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Under40c299.97$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.9844821.4%96 W · 352 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Over47c297.87$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14052146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over49c282.96$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.692,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over40c258.43$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.393,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a8c…1977backed Under55c250.93$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.922055%11 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over44c229.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Under55c219.56$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.823446.2%108 W · 126 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029345.7%134 W · 159 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over46c204.71$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.722,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12038242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Under53c179.42$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.5757650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under57c176$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.681,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under47c171.54$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.5495452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Under53c170$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.959650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x852d…c3dfbacked Under61c164.43$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.438749.4%43 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91d5…4ab2backed Under68c160$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.28043.8%35 W · 45 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba4…6de0backed Over47c159.65$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.049524.2%23 W · 72 L-9.2wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-20.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8884…0d12backed Under59c148$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.682556%14 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x890a…1da7backed Over43c148$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.643053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Over47c145$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.1554747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over49c142.85$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7091846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Over48c138$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2462347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under51c130.57$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.981,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over47c129.93$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.072,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over39c125.05$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.311,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under67c122$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.881,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under53c121.36$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4552053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under51c119.26$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.043,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c114.88$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.142,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over60c105.74$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.442,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaffd…c3f5backed Over43c104.65$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over41c104$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6423651.3%121 W · 115 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9376…274bbacked Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb8a…8775backed Under60c92.98$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.981580%12 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+33.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8d27…676ebacked Under56c89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1613954%75 W · 64 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e3…b39ebacked Under59c87.64$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.932560%15 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Over47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010943.1%47 W · 62 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3297…43cdbacked Over45c84.89$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.21250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ed8…6b7fbacked Over45c84.64$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.091764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeeb0…c9f8backed Over45c81.65$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.741752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf10e…4c13backed Over49c78.58$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7920949.3%103 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b3…091cbacked Under56c78$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.328251.2%42 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddbd…e738backed Over44c78$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.327443.2%32 W · 42 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Over44c78$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3210940.4%44 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5c0…d188backed Over16c75.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e4…4bc7backed Under53c75$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.952445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked Under49c60.15$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8110050%50 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdefe…3f87backed Under58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.21361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…d370backed Over46c58.25$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa444…75debacked Over49c55.71$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.31921.1%4 W · 15 L-5.4wins-0.28per pick49cpaid-57%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x0435…cf1dbacked Over49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516947.3%80 W · 89 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8311354.9%62 W · 51 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2478648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x366c…ec19backed Over49c49$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2413748.2%66 W · 71 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Over28c48.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8415663.5%99 W · 57 L+10.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4125…23a9backed Over43c44.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.344245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Under46c44.81$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.216369.9%114 W · 49 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+19.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3aa3…6e41backed Under57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.861546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Over43c42.17$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2345653.5%244 W · 212 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15f4…ee73backed Over56c41.07$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-67.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b56…c7bebacked Over62c40.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252556%14 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under51c40.2$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.641,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over40c37.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.833,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.