TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3297…43cd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Asian League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jazz vs. Kings: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.2
Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$195.59
Julius Randle: Points O/U 17.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.95
Suns vs. Bucks: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$318.68
1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$100.45
Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$37.4
Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+104.1%+$53.23
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+78.6%+$160.24
Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20.14
Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$60.93
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 114.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.88
Devin Carter: Assists O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$19.12
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Lamar Cardinals (W)backed Lamar Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.74
Texas Southern Tigers vs. Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$177.28
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Pittsburgh Panthers: O/U 138.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+104.1%+$12.24
Oral Roberts Golden Eagles vs. Omaha Mavericks: O/U 150.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+92.3%+$31.32
Tulane Green Wave vs. Memphis Tigers (W)backed Memphis Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$25.48
Spread: Florida A&M Rattlers (-1.5)backed Alcorn State Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$13.59
Spread: Northwestern State Demons (-1.5)backed Northwestern State Demons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+104.1%+$12.95
Manhattan Jaspers vs. Niagara Purple Eagles: O/U 136.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+96.1%+$184.27
Evansville Aces vs. Southern Illinois Salukis: O/U 140.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$18.24
VCU Rams vs. La Salle Explorers: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$12.41
San Francisco Dons vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+104.1%+$64.71
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Senators: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.72
KHL: Sibir Novosibirsk vs. CSKA Moscowbacked CSKA Moscow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.89
Sharks vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$98.08
KHL: Admiral Vladivostok vs. Neftekhimik Nizhnekamskbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$127.1
Canadiens vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+53.8%+$35.94
KHL: Avangard Omsk vs. Metallurg Magnitogorskbacked Avangard Omsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+85.2%+$31.77
Oilers vs. Kings: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$19.02
KHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. Metallurg Magnitogorskbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+185.7%+$29.07
KHL: Sibir Novosibirsk vs. HC Sochibacked Sibir Novosibirsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+44.9%+$4.8
All 9 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+60.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gabby Williams: Points O/U 14.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$12.52
Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 168.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.91
Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-3.5)backed Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$37.71
All 3 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Anyang vs. Jeju SK FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$226.19
Spread: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC (-1.5)backed Bucheon FC 1995 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$23.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.54
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+69.9%+$30.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.02
UD Las Palmas vs. Granada CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$14.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keir Starmer say "Ukraine" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$24.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Birmingham City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$124.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Fnatic vs BBL Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Schalke 04 vs. Hannover 96: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KKS Lech Poznań vs. Kuopion PS: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$156.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Le Havre AC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20.43
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.