TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Birmingham City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$131,547

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,547 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0792…b778backed Over50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0002040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Over51c19,997$10,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,198.493036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3d0…d2f0backed Under49c12,890$6,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,574.411154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,099.9813444.8%60 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Over51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,099.943135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-29.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over51c9,071$4,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,584.2850644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9fd…9d5abacked Under49c8,163$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,163.27250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Under50c7,200$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6003745.9%17 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under49c6,580$3,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3316567.7%44 W · 21 L+12.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+41%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under49c4,649$2,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,371.095455.6%30 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under50c4,278$2,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1395257.7%30 W · 22 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Under50c4,271$2,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,135.33171%22 W · 9 L+7.7wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+53.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xf617…80c9backed Under49c3,327$1,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,696.53875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over51c2,986$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,520.4251750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under50c2,778$1,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3895560%33 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x191a…9d0dbacked Under49c2,776$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,415.51366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under49c2,636$1,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,343.2875850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under49c2,500$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,27513662.5%85 W · 51 L+14.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c2,499$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.546,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Under49c2,438$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.129272.8%67 W · 25 L+20.5wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+47.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Over54c1,883$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0162263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under46c1,782$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.4717557.1%100 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdae0…836abacked Under49c1,429$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.57475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcde4…91b3backed Under50c1,400$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb96e…b3a2backed Under49c1,388$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.76742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc1d…faffbacked Under49c1,380$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Under49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.413956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52030149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under50c989.31$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.524,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over51c972$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.7213132.1%42 W · 89 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cc9…18c4backed Over50c797.31$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.62540%10 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over45c555.56$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010939.4%43 W · 66 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb888…f103backed Over50c542.67$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4923…6866backed Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+32.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Under49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2557268.1%49 W · 23 L+13.8wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+42%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30026548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f6b…4dcfbacked Over65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1531,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under49c299.97$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.4983459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bf1…796ebacked Under50c293.18$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.593100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3297…43cdbacked Under50c248.73$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over51c229.14$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.3532345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under68c204.61$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.1689152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2109…55bfbacked Over43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862653.8%14 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015772%113 W · 44 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d6…be17backed Over52c194$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.88714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.35per pick49cpaid-68.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.527846.4%129 W · 149 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under48c150$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7865557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.535056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.560557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x87fa…12d0backed Over52c146.83$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.351225%3 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-55.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over47c138.3$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6520644.7%92 W · 114 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Over52c134.19$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.786344.4%28 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed Over50c118.5$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.251154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Over51c117.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604621.7%10 W · 36 L-7.0wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-51.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7baf…99a7backed Over17c117.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.57319.7%3 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-46.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under49c112.17$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6736554.5%199 W · 166 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under47c106.4$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2831849.1%156 W · 162 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under49c103.62$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1381559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Over51c101.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.027440.5%30 W · 44 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over72c101.31$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9425550.2%128 W · 127 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5146660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5136259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4459645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe013…1ddcbacked Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504477.3%34 W · 10 L+10.2wins+0.23per pick54cpaid+45.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x9ca7…0c48backed Under47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+29%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505048%24 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5256158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over47c96.77$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4811866.1%78 W · 40 L+13.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed Over58c93.46$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.218445.2%38 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaad…c739backed Under50c90$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452673.1%19 W · 7 L+4.6wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+38.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under49c90$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.927354.9%150 W · 123 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under48c90$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.832357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c85.23$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.912,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over31c81.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3922335.4%79 W · 144 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c73.42$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.062,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked Over52c71.98$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.433946.2%18 W · 21 L-4.8wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-26.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over47c64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.976749.3%33 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Under48c62.07$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0716544.2%73 W · 92 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e4a…7045backed Over51c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.433056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.626958.4%157 W · 112 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.626158.2%152 W · 109 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.637554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.630554.8%167 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.625456.3%143 W · 111 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.626058.5%152 W · 108 L+15.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.636758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.629057.9%168 W · 122 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.628255.7%157 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.628359.4%168 W · 115 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.238358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under49c59.1$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1410949.5%54 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0da3…1b45backed Over52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304639.1%18 W · 28 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under49c52.07$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.51,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Under55c51.1$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.874658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under77c50.66$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.419455.2%107 W · 87 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.537958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3991…b6c7backed Over51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.59152.7%48 W · 43 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under49c46.4$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7325553.7%137 W · 118 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6330…1444backed Under49c45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.26per pick49cpaid-53.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.