NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Kings: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57cd0f596b155aab1225ed94d6cb5f6293940c507048da1ede19b15e86cb4097
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,686
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 65c | 6,474$4,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.55 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 36c | 1,316$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.35 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 36c | 402.94$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.94 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x877a…7de2backed Over | 65c | 309.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.23 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Over | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 252 | 58.3%147 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Over | 62c | 306.35$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.35 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 35c | 290.85$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.8 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 36c | 200$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb11d…3706backed Over | 64c | 165.15$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…f103backed Over | 63c | 145.89$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Under | 39c | 124.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 68c | 102.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 35c | 101.54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb557…7f28backed Under | 36c | 83.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe43c…ccd5backed Under | 36c | 81.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 62c | 80.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 35c | 78.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 59c | 68.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3297…43cdbacked Under | 37c | 51.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Under | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e1…d4d9backed Under | 37c | 47.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…3e44backed Under | 37c | 46.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +71%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 37c | 41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Over | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 260 | 59.6%155 W · 105 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oilers vs. Kings: O/U 5.5this page
- Oilers vs. KingsOilers won
- Oilers vs. Kings: O/U 4.5Over won
- Oilers vs. Kings: O/U 6.5Over won
- Oilers vs. Kings: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Oilers won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Oilers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.