NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0607e3f5731c44ab41ae98da47b554cbebaac941ef73dda28b553d3bea3cad9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oilersof Oilers, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $401,513
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $406,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $401,513 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 348 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Kings | 50c | 102,072$51,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,035.83 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Oilers | 50c | 88,784$44,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,391.91 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bd…238ebacked Kings | 48c | 71,585$34,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,360.89 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Oilers | 52c | 34,170$17,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,401.51 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Oilers | 52c | 31,974$16,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,401.88 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Oilers | 52c | 23,892$12,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,369.09 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kings | 48c | 15,484$7,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,355.84 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Oilers | 50c | 14,069$7,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,034.5 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Kings | 48c | 11,690$5,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,611.39 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…f93bbacked Kings | 9c | 11,483$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.06 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4219…7855backed Oilers | 53c | 10,718$5,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,026.56 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd40c…2d0fbacked Oilers | 52c | 9,196$4,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,414.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Oilers | 75c | 7,192$5,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,778.93 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kings | 30c | 6,715$2,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,023.26 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Kings | 49c | 6,693$3,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,279.37 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Kings | 48c | 5,584$2,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,654.64 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Kings | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.98 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Kings | 1c | 4,854$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Kings | 50c | 4,804$2,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,423.02 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kings | 36c | 4,528$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.17 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kings | 3c | 4,300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.87 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Kings | 30c | 4,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Oilers | 54c | 3,681$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.77 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…4638backed Kings | 21c | 2,807$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Oilers | 50c | 2,689$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.18 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kings | 25c | 2,656$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.36 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Kings | 13c | 2,457$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.43 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Oilers | 52c | 2,191$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.55 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Kings | 1c | 2,171$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Kings | 43c | 2,150$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.44 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Oilers | 52c | 1,991$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.68 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Oilers | 50c | 1,945$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.76 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Oilers | 56c | 1,843$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.22 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Kings | 27c | 1,770$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.47 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Kings | 46c | 1,742$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.32 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Oilers | 78c | 1,715$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.7 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Oilers | 51c | 1,702$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.63 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Kings | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.16 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc339…ba5bbacked Oilers | 52c | 1,615$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.46 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Kings | 47c | 1,606$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.03 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Oilers | 51c | 1,589$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.74 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f69…23cbbacked Kings | 2c | 1,555$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Oilers | 53c | 1,515$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.05 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…13b6backed Kings | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.95 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kings | 35c | 1,482$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.91 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Oilers | 51c | 1,471$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.59 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Oilers | 49c | 1,372$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.94 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…3b61backed Kings | 30c | 1,317$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Kings | 33c | 1,311$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.72 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kings | 12c | 1,276$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.22 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd94a…2728backed Kings | 1c | 1,260$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Kings | 47c | 1,239$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.3 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa00…18b1backed Oilers | 50c | 1,214$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f2…718bbacked Kings | 49c | 1,180$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Oilers | 51c | 1,173$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.7 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…7263backed Oilers | 52c | 1,170$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…5a9dbacked Oilers | 52c | 1,160$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6536…3b48backed Kings | 49c | 1,150$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Kings | 48c | 1,101$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.31 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Oilers | 50c | 1,100$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.73 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa464…252dbacked Oilers | 52c | 1,055$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.49 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Oilers | 51c | 1,022$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.57 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Oilers | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Kings | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Kings | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…1b42backed Oilers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Kings | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…a08abacked Kings | 49c | 999.94$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Oilers | 54c | 925.97$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.97 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Oilers | 51c | 911.5$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.64 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee28…8266backed Kings | 17c | 870$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.7 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Oilers | 65c | 818.75$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.53 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 12c | 776.76$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a7…c94bbacked Kings | 6c | 773.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Oilers | 50c | 763$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.37 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Oilers | 51c | 750$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.5 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Oilers | 51c | 700$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4649…4500backed Oilers | 52c | 633.88$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.26 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…bbc7backed Kings | 51c | 628.75$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.66 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Oilers | 51c | 599.98$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.99 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a27…e9dabacked Oilers | 52c | 599.21$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.62 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…abe1backed Kings | 51c | 584.06$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.87 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Oilers | 52c | 578.1$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.49 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Oilers | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa627…167cbacked Oilers | 52c | 553.42$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.64 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8950…e096backed Kings | 50c | 548.2$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Oilers | 53c | 544.85$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.72 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Kings | 47c | 524.89$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.7 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd058…0613backed Oilers | 53c | 514.96$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.63 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee7…6532backed Kings | 50c | 506.16$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.08 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Kings | 25c | 503.03$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Kings | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Oilers | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Kings | 33c | 454.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 369 | 48%177 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Kings | 31c | 450$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.41 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac8…d52bbacked Kings | 42c | 439.97$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Kings | 20c | 421.3$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.68 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1a…89e5backed Kings | 46c | 405.33$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.45 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f64…a0fabacked Oilers | 52c | 404.06$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.95 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Kings | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 202 | 45%91 W · 111 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oilers vs. Kingsthis page
- Oilers vs. Kings: O/U 4.5Over won
- Oilers vs. Kings: O/U 5.5Over won
- Oilers vs. Kings: O/U 6.5Over won
- Oilers vs. Kings: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Oilers won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Oilers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.