TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$162,740
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$172,477

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,740 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Under43c20,000$8,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,599.9754539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb743…c116backed Under1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002245.5%10 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-34%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over54c7,059$3,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,266.4843542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under48c6,372$3,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,064.492,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc934…5551backed Under1c6,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc461…83dbbacked Under1c6,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Over43c6,000$2,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,409.9416633.7%56 W · 110 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over57c5,258$3,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,238.3951354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over53c4,815$2,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,278.221,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7537…801dbacked Under1c4,800$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd501…b86ebacked Under68c4,120$2,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,813.33748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over57c4,114$2,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,769.026,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8de7…f96dbacked Under1c3,500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4080%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb91e…b045backed Under1c3,500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…6c3abacked Under1c3,500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under11c3,463$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.453,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4de1…22a0backed Under1c3,100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3750%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c3,030$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,403.885,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over39c2,580$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,579.618536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c2,558$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.524,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over43c2,548$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.812,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Under4c2,500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029810.4%31 W · 267 L+22.5wins+0.08per pick3cpaid+230.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over30c2,483$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,729.5750241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over57c2,411$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.153,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa5b8…99f3backed Under1c2,400$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick4cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e62…b31cbacked Under5c2,200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under43c2,088$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.034,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under58c2,038$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.911,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb726…0664backed Under71c2,037$1,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,437.151250%6 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x78bf…7300backed Under2c2,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308540%34 W · 51 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+52%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Under75c2,000$1,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,491.782548%12 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8c6…9211backed Over57c1,884$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.1914847.3%70 W · 78 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Over60c1,596$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.9328554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Under37c1,550$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.3885742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd92a…8936backed Under3c1,520$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.61118.2%2 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick6cpaid+218.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under70c1,392$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.961,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6da…2b66backed Under3c1,320$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431816.7%3 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick8cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under51c1,238$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.6740243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19ee…a073backed Under71c1,098$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.193661.1%22 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff25…960cbacked Under2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201533.3%5 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.24per pick10cpaid+421.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over52c930$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.41,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Over55c910$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.520846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over56c902.33$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39712536%45 W · 80 L-13.0wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Under62c900$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55820651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb295…e601backed Over37c787.3$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.394259.5%25 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under62c718$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.161,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over57c706.88$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.092,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x860e…a06dbacked Under62c670$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.952433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over59c640$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.531,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Over52c584$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.3217243%74 W · 98 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under52c554.39$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.833,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under47c521.63$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.171,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35067921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Under8c500$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3930224.8%75 W · 227 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+43.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over31c476.8$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.9952052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over36c469.94$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.4691846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over57c468.31$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.371,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under59c459.13$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.9790357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Under65c455.26$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.2621743.8%95 W · 122 L-14.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed Over22c454.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.555156.9%29 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb568…14d4backed Under45c444$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.827747.7%132 W · 145 L-20.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Under48c418.13$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021950.2%110 W · 109 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over68c417.51$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.6832952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over50c400.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.87334.2%25 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Over69c388.64$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.6447651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under45c372.77$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.514,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Over38c358.56$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.384553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x07a0…7a80backed Over39c353.95$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.912763%17 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under46c333.93$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.142,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over39c292.46$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.2720536.6%75 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Over53c291.1$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.3344821.4%96 W · 352 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Under64c270$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.9161939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Under64c267$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.4138540.3%155 W · 230 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Under44c265$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.635843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over57c250$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.532450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Over57c250$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.545646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e03…b448backed Over39c250$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.52853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Under62c248$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.7846940.3%189 W · 280 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Under63c246$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.5430840.9%126 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Over26c237.06$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.5217844.4%79 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Under43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10069049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7447…c413backed Over44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.272352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d4c…41c4backed Over59c210.81$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.432070%14 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+40.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc9b8…01eebacked Over36c205.56$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.561258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+72.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf08…dea4backed Under54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under47c194.34$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.3491148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under46c185.39$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.952,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under47c175.91$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.643,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c175.62$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.238,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over31c173.15$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.0976653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3af5…caebbacked Over59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4911850%59 W · 59 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over57c168.61$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.51,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed Over60c167.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2324358%141 W · 102 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over57c164.63$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.791,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c1…18c7backed Over48c149.99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2914042.9%60 W · 80 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d1f…48a4backed Over54c142.93$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1210948.6%53 W · 56 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93a4…6bdbbacked Over35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.865932.2%19 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Under67c142.15$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2437848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under45c139.59$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.955,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Over50c135.87$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1337652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.