NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70c9f926cb0dec86321bc83acebf92ab3412e57fbf7d9376caab978ea691f658
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,697
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,697 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 47c | 36,000$16,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,079.98 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 49c | 9,340$4,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,570.91 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…da92backed Over | 54c | 9,245$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Over | 53c | 6,390$3,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,386.7 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 53c | 5,986$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.53 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 50c | 5,846$2,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,895.74 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 53c | 5,154$2,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,716.82 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Over | 53c | 4,107$2,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,176.87 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 45c | 3,926$1,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.12 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Under | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 55c | 3,715$2,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,043.28 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Over | 51c | 3,222$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.75 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x305a…1775backed Under | 51c | 2,349$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Under | 51c | 2,328$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.09 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 47c | 2,100$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 53c | 2,051$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.06 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 48c | 1,453$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.87 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Under | 51c | 1,436$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.64 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…a369backed Under | 51c | 1,166$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.2 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Under | 53c | 948.06$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.06 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Over | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 70c | 715.17$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.17 | 463 | 46.4%215 W · 248 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x322f…65a5backed Over | 53c | 616.98$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 579.31$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.67 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Under | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Under | 50c | 500.41$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.21 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 50c | 399.95$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.98 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7e…cbbdbacked Over | 53c | 358.49$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 258 | 46.9%121 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 56c | 265.35$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.59 | 205 | 36.6%75 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x451f…7301backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 198.58$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.35 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 49c | 196.56$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.31 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Under | 51c | 195.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.26 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 46c | 191.3$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 50c | 131.46$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.69 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Under | 51c | 123.59$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.56 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91f3…0d57backed Over | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 60c | 100.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +29.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 96.13$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…595cbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 53c | 87.01$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 42c | 55.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Over | 35c | 39.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed Under | 55c | 36.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 52c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 49c | 34.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f5…c002backed Over | 55c | 33.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2599…9218backed Under | 60c | 33.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 45c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe609…4eaabacked Under | 51c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x971c…f72cbacked Under | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…7ea3backed Under | 51c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Over | 52c | 21.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f15…315bbacked Under | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 54c | 20.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 533 | 49.3%263 W · 270 L | -28.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 69c | 18.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-7.5)Lakers won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Kings vs. LakersLakers won
- Kings vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Kings vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Under won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 32.5No won
- Marcus Smart: Points O/U 7.5Yes won
- Precious Achiuwa: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Russell Westbrook: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Spread: Lakers (-12.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-13.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.