NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc674db92b5457ab3a797258f761d6bd4a6d78a1ee3d0c4e97b1a3b2b6ff0e96c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,963
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,963 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Kings | 53c | 19,573$10,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,373.57 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Lakers | 47c | 15,122$7,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,014.41 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Kings | 45c | 4,431$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Lakers | 47c | 3,737$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,981.51 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c86…d939backed Kings | 55c | 3,236$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.23 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Lakers | 46c | 2,805$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.84 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Kings | 54c | 2,553$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.74 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Lakers | 54c | 2,332$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kings | 53c | 1,708$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.8 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Lakers | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.65 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lakers | 47c | 1,595$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.15 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Lakers | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.81 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 59c | 1,114$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.75 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc920…7914backed Kings | 48c | 1,043$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Lakers | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Kings | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kings | 21c | 972.19$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.86 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Kings | 54c | 925$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.5 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Lakers | 58c | 777.98$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.1 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Lakers | 47c | 767$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.51 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Kings | 54c | 736.65$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers | 47c | 697.87$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.62 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Lakers | 47c | 638.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.29 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Kings | 53c | 481$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.93 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Lakers | 46c | 441.03$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.84 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kings | 52c | 424.53$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.76 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Lakers | 74c | 406.79$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.79 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Kings | 3c | 348.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 286 | 16.4%47 W · 239 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Kings | 41c | 327.82$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.59 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Lakers | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Kings | 46c | 277.87$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.9 | 205 | 36.6%75 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Lakers | 47c | 274.04$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.24 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Kings | 53c | 251.97$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.52 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Kings | 55c | 250$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfab8…a7c8backed Kings | 24c | 249.09$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Lakers | 66c | 237.86$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.95 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Lakers | 47c | 237$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.61 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5330…0bfabacked Lakers | 48c | 232.01$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.64 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Kings | 45c | 221.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Lakers | 46c | 219.24$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.63 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Lakers | 47c | 211.18$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.93 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…6127backed Lakers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…44c1backed Lakers | 47c | 208$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.24 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Lakers | 53c | 207$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.52 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Kings | 51c | 205.25$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.9 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kings | 34c | 204.48$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.82 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Kings | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 448 | 21.4%96 W · 352 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Kings | 54c | 198$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.93 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kings | 52c | 193.52$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.63 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Kings | 52c | 172$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.44 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Lakers | 52c | 163.1$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.89 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd72f…2806backed Kings | 12c | 160$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked Lakers | 47c | 160$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a32…2fcdbacked Kings | 53c | 141.71$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Lakers | 47c | 140.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.72 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Lakers | 46c | 140$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb213…49e1backed Lakers | 62c | 137.86$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.53 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Lakers | 71c | 137.51$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Kings | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Kings | 53c | 120.4$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.87 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Kings | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Kings | 29c | 107.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Kings | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Kings | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcac0…7fe9backed Lakers | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kings | 40c | 99.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Kings | 20c | 98.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 348 | 49.7%173 W · 175 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e24…24fbbacked Kings | 13c | 96.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…c76fbacked Lakers | 79c | 95.12$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Kings | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Kings | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Kings | 54c | 92.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Kings | 16c | 85.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Lakers | 50c | 84.81$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Lakers | 45c | 83.43$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.88 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…1218backed Kings | 54c | 80.96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…686fbacked Lakers | 48c | 80.83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.03 | 244 | 9.4%23 W · 221 L | -27.5wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Kings | 53c | 75.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Kings | 42c | 70.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Kings | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Lakers | 47c | 68.51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.31 | 340 | 47.1%160 W · 180 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Lakers | 47c | 68.51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.31 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…a35cbacked Kings | 30c | 67.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 162 | 30.9%50 W · 112 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x534d…627cbacked Lakers | 71c | 66.15$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Kings | 53c | 65.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Kings | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Lakers | 52c | 59.44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da3…1b45backed Kings | 53c | 56.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 222 | 49.5%110 W · 112 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…740abacked Kings | 33c | 54.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Kings | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Lakers | 46c | 53.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb0…3e75backed Lakers | 79c | 52.76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Lakers | 77c | 51.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Lakers | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed Kings | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Kings | 42c | 46.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 178 | 44.4%79 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Lakers | 64c | 45.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Kings | 53c | 45.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 216 | 45.8%99 W · 117 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Kings | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kings | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-13.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-7.5)Lakers won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Kings vs. LakersLakers won
- Kings vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Kings vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Under won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 32.5No won
- Marcus Smart: Points O/U 7.5Yes won
- Precious Achiuwa: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Russell Westbrook: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Spread: Lakers (-12.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.