TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Lakers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lakersof Kings, Lakers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,923,962
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,840,567

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,923,962 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 264 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x27cb…169ebacked Kings13c118,931$16,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,047.4727424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Kings14c104,400$14,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,61629245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Kings16c93,750$14,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,538.571,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Kings1c87,390$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.9516919.5%33 W · 136 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Kings14c73,489$10,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,596.1559347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Kings3c56,837$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,452.8628241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Kings0c51,913$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.0526637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Kings15c47,200$7,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,079.9630845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Kings14c36,737$5,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,108.1747028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Kings15c33,200$4,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,979.9828554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Kings14c32,824$4,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,612.0951354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked Kings15c32,461$4,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,869.1513142.7%56 W · 75 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Kings1c27,947$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.328616.4%47 W · 239 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Kings4c23,608$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.511,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Kings5c22,967$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.871,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Kings13c20,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Kings1c20,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.627917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Kings14c20,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8001,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Kings13c20,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.991,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Kings14c17,857$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50042348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Kings13c17,417$2,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,264.2377348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Kings13c15,177$1,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,973.0638251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a0a…24a9backed Kings14c14,319$2,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,004.591233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+43.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Kings14c13,819$1,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,969.214,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Kings5c10,000$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53416633.7%56 W · 110 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Kings15c10,000$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.9939349.1%193 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Kings16c10,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.9946928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd4c9…cd97backed Kings14c8,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1208640.7%35 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Kings14c7,984$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.8664944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Kings7c7,949$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.111,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Kings0c7,694$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.085213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Kings16c7,291$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.5535547.3%168 W · 187 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Kings16c7,244$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.042,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Kings0c7,136$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.398820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c3…c5f8backed Kings14c7,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9802441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Kings1c6,923$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2564517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Kings12c6,732$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.231,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Kings14c6,666$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.2441832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Kings1c6,254$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.489833.7%33 W · 65 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Kings14c5,843$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.982,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c1d…3846backed Kings14c5,500$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.996943.5%30 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Kings14c5,276$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.624330.9%75 W · 168 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x696d…f89dbacked Kings15c5,255$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.089853.1%52 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kings2c5,064$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.981,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Kings13c4,720$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.5918553%98 W · 87 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa18…9869backed Kings16c4,330$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.840%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Kings15c4,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60058740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Kings7c3,594$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.6738046.6%177 W · 203 L-1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Kings14c3,536$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49524831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Kings15c3,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52529748.1%143 W · 154 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4c0…fc65backed Kings3c3,452$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68e3…4844backed Kings3c3,290$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3512…0e4abacked Kings14c3,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd36a…e8b8backed Kings0c3,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125038%19 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-33.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f1b…e748backed Kings14c3,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4202352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+29.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Kings13c3,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39020355.2%112 W · 91 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0441…b3aabacked Kings14c3,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.988441.7%35 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ce6…397ebacked Kings1c2,690$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c0e…35f8backed Kings13c2,648$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.2424846.8%116 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Kings10c2,535$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.3320536.6%75 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeea6…135fbacked Kings8c2,493$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.3345838%174 W · 284 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Kings15c2,242$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.7986641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Kings16c2,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32049142.6%209 W · 282 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Kings14c2,000$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27552844.7%236 W · 292 L+1.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Kings16c1,881$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.9625546.7%119 W · 136 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Kings4c1,835$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.652,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Kings5c1,749$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.462,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7701…34debacked Kings1c1,690$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-73.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kings7c1,686$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.068,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…194bbacked Kings14c1,678$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.912240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Kings6c1,603$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.424,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Kings7c1,577$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.341,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x867b…9fbabacked Kings18c1,498$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Kings15c1,218$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.7165939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Kings14c1,150$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16135744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Kings3c1,034$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3026233.6%88 W · 174 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ecb…ae02backed Kings2c1,022$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0f7…536bbacked Kings3c1,020$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.75263.5%33 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Kings3c1,001$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.310637.7%40 W · 66 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+47.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Kings14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14062539.4%246 W · 379 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c9c…6824backed Kings2c999.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214429.5%13 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf33d…24cabacked Kings2c999.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019432%62 W · 132 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x309d…9d04backed Kings14c999.98$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6271…d844backed Kings5c961.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Kings6c925.59$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5426530.9%82 W · 183 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2f2…8bb7backed Kings11c876.05$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Kings14c800$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1121,19846.8%561 W · 637 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Kings14c800$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11231538.1%120 W · 195 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b3a…df40backed Kings6c726.28$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.439953.5%53 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a60…d8e5backed Kings14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003036.7%11 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick24cpaid+34.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9356…c2ffbacked Kings14c714.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011354.9%62 W · 51 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42f3…1e83backed Kings6c700.07$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3911713.7%16 W · 101 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3447…95d0backed Kings6c685.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.97166.3%1 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick21cpaid-84%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Kings14c683.35$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.671,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88b8…e7cfbacked Kings4c657.9$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.326642.4%28 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbaa…eee2backed Kings5c624.07$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307815.4%12 W · 66 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-40.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Kings16c624$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9273131.1%227 W · 504 L-3.5wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x77b3…487cbacked Kings18c620$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.6650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Kings17c616.18$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.3326043.8%114 W · 146 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed Kings3c613.95$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.512324.4%30 W · 93 L+0.4wins0.00per pick24cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.