TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Lakers (-12.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lakersof Lakers, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$652,837
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$673,108

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $652,837 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Kings50c412,293$206,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206,090.5587451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Lakers50c199,973$99,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99,986.662,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Lakers50c137,005$68,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68,502.351,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Lakers52c91,869$47,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,329.991,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Kings48c52,000$24,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,96029650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lakers50c36,011$18,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,007.454,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Lakers52c20,000$10,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,60020758%120 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Kings50c16,617$8,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,314.134,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd752…a1c5backed Lakers51c12,312$6,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,012.32142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Kings48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaccb…61dcbacked Lakers51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,899.983171%22 W · 9 L+5.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+33.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Kings48c7,514$3,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,606.6235450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Kings49c7,255$3,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5551,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Kings49c6,696$3,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,278.442,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Kings50c5,838$2,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,91970246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd2b…7f04backed Kings46c5,350$2,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,460.978348.2%40 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Kings49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,45029748.1%143 W · 154 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Kings48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a3…1943backed Lakers50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5003050%15 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Kings48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Kings49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.9787750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Lakers51c4,924$2,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,412.636359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Kings48c4,745$2,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,277.631,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Lakers52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9201,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Lakers49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.981,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9331…4b41backed Kings48c3,939$1,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,888.794245.2%19 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Lakers50c3,400$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,70033945.1%153 W · 186 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kings49c3,368$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,640.45,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Lakers50c3,333$1,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.514753.1%78 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Lakers49c3,045$1,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,552.9932540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Lakers52c2,404$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.8565750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Kings48c2,375$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.9964944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Lakers51c2,358$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.643,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00f5…7b42backed Lakers52c1,928$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.263043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ac1…a0f2backed Lakers52c1,918$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.1511051.8%57 W · 53 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Lakers52c1,742$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.0846346.4%215 W · 248 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Kings48c1,702$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.193,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe584…e6e2backed Lakers52c1,647$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.553250%16 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Kings48c1,464$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.486,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Kings50c1,400$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69980737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Lakers51c1,373$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.558751.7%45 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Lakers50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6002,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Lakers54c1,111$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.1125945.6%118 W · 141 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Kings48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024050.8%122 W · 118 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Kings48c1,032$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.9152844.7%236 W · 292 L+1.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Kings17c1,013$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.21,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Lakers53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47033146.2%153 W · 178 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Lakers50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5004146.3%19 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Lakers50c996.08$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.085964.4%38 W · 21 L+9.8wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+30.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Lakers60c927.79$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.668,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Kings49c864.47$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.042,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Kings48c849.41$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.3620536.6%75 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a9d…69fbbacked Lakers51c644.02$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.571942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bde…3800backed Lakers61c614.59$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.596755.2%37 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Lakers54c602.91$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.979842.9%42 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Kings50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b805backed Kings40c599.99$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2409958.6%58 W · 41 L+9.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Lakers49c599.99$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.9966645.9%306 W · 360 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Lakers51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.241,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Lakers52c580$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.6536643.2%158 W · 208 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3af…0b21backed Lakers53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.04633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-36.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Lakers52c505.17$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.1746258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Kings47c492.47$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.393,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x23d5…1232backed Kings51c491.73$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd72f…2806backed Lakers60c430$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1722842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Kings40c422$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.82,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Kings48c416.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018147%85 W · 96 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Lakers64c411.7$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.734852.3%182 W · 166 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Lakers54c401.85$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.8556154.5%306 W · 255 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8f3…9576backed Kings48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1922556%14 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+25%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Kings48c379.12$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.753,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb742…af56backed Lakers54c355.89$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Lakers63c318.45$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.971,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Kings51c309.8$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15821950.2%110 W · 109 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Lakers51c306.11$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.4889050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1452…3c00backed Lakers52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1444447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c16…0272backed Lakers50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15018233%60 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Kings50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Lakers60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12011245.5%51 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc048…94b3backed Kings50c282.69$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.3520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Kings48c280.48$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.272,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Kings17c247.06$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4214636.3%53 W · 93 L+16.4wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+58.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x718e…c203backed Lakers52c235.22$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.91650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Kings51c230.72$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.8630641.8%128 W · 178 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1351…bebcbacked Lakers53c227.87$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.116552.7%87 W · 78 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcac0…7fe9backed Lakers51c220$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1083063.3%19 W · 11 L+5.2wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+37.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Kings49c219.96$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.7862351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9408…a584backed Lakers51c214.88$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.291553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ab…7a08backed Kings49c208.33$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.08966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xddad…bce1backed Lakers53c207.55$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.5521657.9%125 W · 91 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Lakers51c205.88$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.885147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Kings49c205$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4578652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Kings36c204.95$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.513,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Kings49c204.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10066046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4383…3d32backed Kings49c200.85$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.42520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-68.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Kings48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9622850.9%116 W · 112 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x954b…eb22backed Lakers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10011044.5%49 W · 61 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Kings48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9628348.8%138 W · 145 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Kings47c199.99$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9952242.7%223 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c86…d939backed Kings50c195.41$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.715655.4%31 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.