NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b97d03e7c5e68ab7e3b80cd1f73ccc6d0bfc387a8a662c124b4fbce9c29a9bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $200,196
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $202,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,196 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 49c | 136,020$66,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,570.34 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Over | 51c | 40,437$20,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,631.68 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Under | 49c | 29,452$14,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,020.52 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 51c | 17,260$8,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,802.6 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Over | 52c | 12,998$6,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,759 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 51c | 11,463$5,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,846 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Over | 51c | 10,892$5,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,555 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Over | 51c | 9,981$5,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,090.31 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 51c | 7,435$3,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,791.98 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 50c | 7,108$3,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,563.25 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Over | 51c | 6,439$3,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,284 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 51c | 6,192$3,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,172.18 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Over | 52c | 5,953$3,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,095.61 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…da92backed Over | 51c | 4,865$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Over | 51c | 4,806$2,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,451 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 53c | 4,500$2,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,384.99 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Over | 51c | 4,153$2,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,118 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9895…ea0dbacked Over | 51c | 4,123$2,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,102.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Over | 51c | 3,333$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Over | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 2,973$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.01 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6990…6185backed Over | 51c | 1,986$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 51c | 1,970$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.7 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Over | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 49c | 1,842$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.95 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 61c | 1,750$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.87 | 360 | 45%162 W · 198 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Over | 52c | 1,699$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.56 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 51c | 1,239$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.51 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 51c | 846.97$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Over | 54c | 686.67$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.8 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 51c | 679.39$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.03 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 17c | 626.87$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.3 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 49c | 548$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.4 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x044a…1acebacked Under | 75c | 536.52$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.52 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 448.9$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.92 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 49c | 447.09$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.64 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 49c | 445.35$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.64 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 27c | 436.74$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.01 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 51c | 388$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.88 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 63c | 327$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.6 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 47c | 314$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.42 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Over | 53c | 313.21$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 47c | 307.36$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.41 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over | 53c | 297.74$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.8 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -17.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 65c | 272.16$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.43 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 47c | 265.58$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.89 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 46c | 245.62$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.63 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 49c | 237.57$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.16 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…720fbacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…5d07backed Over | 25c | 199.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…a62ebacked Over | 53c | 190.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 53c | 189.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9945…57febacked Over | 32c | 186.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Over | 46c | 182$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.72 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Under | 54c | 182$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.72 | 187 | 43.3%81 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35ca…6b09backed Under | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…9bb2backed Under | 49c | 160$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Over | 53c | 158$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.74 | 239 | 46.4%111 W · 128 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7b…9716backed Under | 65c | 153.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a32…2fcdbacked Over | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db1…d726backed Over | 50c | 138.65$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.51 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Under | 49c | 132$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.32 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f3…0d57backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 115.79$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.37 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 29c | 113.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Over | 25c | 108.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 122 | 27%33 W · 89 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c77…bde7backed Under | 74c | 108.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Under | 49c | 106.12$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 290 | 40.3%117 W · 173 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Under | 47c | 104.17$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.21 | 233 | 49.4%115 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Over | 47c | 103$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 293 | 52.6%154 W · 139 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b8…01eebacked Under | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9e…cb21backed Over | 53c | 94.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…41adbacked Over | 37c | 86.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Over | 50c | 74.29$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Under | 56c | 66.85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…e660backed Over | 53c | 65.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd6…bf96backed Over | 51c | 60.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 230 | 51.3%118 W · 112 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb8…de01backed Under | 48c | 60.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…686fbacked Over | 24c | 52.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 244 | 9.4%23 W · 221 L | -27.5wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5aeb…42d4backed Over | 33c | 50.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…857ebacked Under | 77c | 50.74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 355 | 51.3%182 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Over | 51c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 47c | 47.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 181 | 50.3%91 W · 90 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Under | 47c | 46.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c3…466cbacked Under | 62c | 45.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe851…9471backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb8…766dbacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb231…0363backed Over | 39c | 38.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Over | 51c | 38.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…cd81backed Under | 69c | 35.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-7.5)Lakers won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Kings vs. LakersLakers won
- Kings vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Kings vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Under won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 32.5No won
- Marcus Smart: Points O/U 7.5Yes won
- Precious Achiuwa: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Russell Westbrook: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Spread: Lakers (-12.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-13.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.