TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$200,196
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$202,112

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,196 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Under49c136,020$66,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69,570.3454539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Over51c40,437$20,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,631.6844352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Under49c29,452$14,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,020.5219954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over51c17,260$8,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,802.648352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Over52c12,998$6,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,75929347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over51c11,463$5,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,84638946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Over51c10,892$5,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,55521943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Over51c9,981$5,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,090.3123147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over51c8,000$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0801,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over51c7,435$3,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,791.981,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under50c7,108$3,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,563.252,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over51c6,439$3,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,28437747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over51c6,192$3,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,172.1851354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Over52c5,953$3,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,095.6129650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc8…da92backed Over51c4,865$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5002646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Over51c4,806$2,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,45130446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over53c4,500$2,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,384.9965750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Over51c4,153$2,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,11815141.1%62 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9895…ea0dbacked Over51c4,123$2,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,102.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Over51c3,333$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70038750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Over51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53016633.7%56 W · 110 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c2,973$1,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,549.014,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over51c2,941$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6990…6185backed Over51c1,986$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.84933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over51c1,970$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.71,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Over51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010847.2%51 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under49c1,842$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.953,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Over61c1,750$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.8736045%162 W · 198 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Over52c1,699$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.5638251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over51c1,239$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.513,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under51c846.97$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4183,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a84…0e54backed Over54c686.67$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.814248.6%69 W · 73 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over51c679.39$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.034,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under17c626.87$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.320837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under48c600$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3123,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Under49c548$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.417243%74 W · 98 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x044a…1acebacked Under75c536.52$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.523959%23 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c448.9$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.925,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over49c447.09$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.6450241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under49c445.35$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.6487744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over27c436.74$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.0176653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over51c388$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.881,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under63c327$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.62,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under47c314$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.422,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Over53c313.21$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16625452.8%134 W · 120 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over47c307.36$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.4191846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over53c297.74$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.818241.2%75 W · 107 L-17.6wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under65c272.16$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.431,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under47c265.58$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.892,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under46c245.62$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.631,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under49c237.57$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.161,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca38…720fbacked Under49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1028757.5%50 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed Over25c199.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505156.9%29 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked Over53c190.04$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021748.4%105 W · 112 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under53c189.36$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9945…57febacked Over32c186.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Over46c182$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.7215543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Under54c182$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.7218743.3%81 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35ca…6b09backed Under62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.291136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-40.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2886…9bb2backed Under49c160$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.610945%49 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Over53c158$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.7423946.4%111 W · 128 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e7b…9716backed Under65c153.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.841650%8 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a32…2fcdbacked Over53c141.51$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-45.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9db1…d726backed Over50c138.65$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.513423.5%8 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-45.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Under49c132$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.3254351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91f3…0d57backed Over50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609348.4%45 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under47c115.79$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.372,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over29c113.36$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0288057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Over25c108.81$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3912227%33 W · 89 L-0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c77…bde7backed Under74c108.26$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.265969.5%41 W · 18 L-0.2wins0.00per pick70cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Under49c106.12$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1229040.3%117 W · 173 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Under47c104.17$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2123349.4%115 W · 118 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Over47c103$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4129352.6%154 W · 139 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5039435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9b8…01eebacked Under80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+72.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5066046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b9e…cb21backed Over53c94.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.14425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xacae…41adbacked Over37c86.3$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.81450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Over50c74.29$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1583158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Under56c66.85$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6713950.4%70 W · 69 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf2d…e660backed Over53c65.77$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8611343.4%49 W · 64 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bd6…bf96backed Over51c60.65$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9323051.3%118 W · 112 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb8…de01backed Under48c60.42$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.422100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Under51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8237852.9%200 W · 178 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8c…686fbacked Over24c52.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.32449.4%23 W · 221 L-27.5wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-72.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5aeb…42d4backed Over33c50.92$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1727539.6%109 W · 166 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x569b…857ebacked Under77c50.74$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.624257.1%24 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked Under51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0235551.3%182 W · 173 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked Over51c49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.996746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under47c47.66$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2665630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518150.3%91 W · 90 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92aa…0341backed Under47c46.81$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8115949.7%79 W · 80 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61c3…466cbacked Under62c45.67$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.37560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa00e…73fabacked Under51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.616951.5%87 W · 82 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe851…9471backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb8…766dbacked Under51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-51.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb231…0363backed Over39c38.66$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Over51c38.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4720144.8%90 W · 111 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8af5…cd81backed Under69c35.81$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.091770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.