NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1457d47f7a8b6ffba68f1d24b80ff38b556a2516690c109f93c22484ee6e7e8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,389
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,389 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Over | 49c | 13,490$6,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,610.09 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 50c | 7,920$3,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,931.43 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…9adabacked Under | 51c | 6,586$3,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,227.32 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 51c | 2,549$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Over | 50c | 1,989$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.34 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 1,086$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.94 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 51c | 991.66$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.91 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Under | 51c | 713.29$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.51 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 50c | 199.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.99 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Under | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-7.5)Lakers won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Kings vs. LakersLakers won
- Kings vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Kings vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Under won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 32.5No won
- Marcus Smart: Points O/U 7.5Yes won
- Precious Achiuwa: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Russell Westbrook: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Spread: Lakers (-12.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-13.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.