TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$117,392
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,749

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,392 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 262 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Under45c13,451$6,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,398.2554539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Under44c10,928$4,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,119.679440.4%38 W · 56 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Over51c10,548$5,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,379.5232653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over51c9,019$4,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,607.7243542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over54c4,392$2,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,367.043,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Over55c4,004$2,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,202.2923147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00026637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Over49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,96012745.7%58 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over56c3,531$1,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,967.576,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0d6…7832backed Under49c3,467$1,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,768.17250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under50c3,380$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,680.3941649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Under48c3,222$1,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,66522648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c2,053$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.835,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over54c1,786$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.692,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over55c1,695$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.954,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fa3…172fbacked Under49c1,583$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.333831.6%12 W · 26 L-6.6wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-36%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Over2c1,404$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0729810.4%31 W · 267 L+22.5wins+0.08per pick3cpaid+230.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Under52c1,163$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.6315450.6%78 W · 76 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under46c945$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.31,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Under46c908.99$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.8631455.1%173 W · 141 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Over52c800$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41627246.7%127 W · 145 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32e5…d066backed Over50c736$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4546…a2c2backed Under52c726.87$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.91747.1%8 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe3…f36dbacked Under50c722$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d2b…4f66backed Under50c710$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7917…b38bbacked Over50c696$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d0b…c760backed Over50c694$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x70a1…eec3backed Under50c692$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3463100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xae3c…a7f5backed Over50c692$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29fb…0362backed Over50c688$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7119…30f2backed Under50c688$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+26.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc4b…5842backed Over50c688$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Over51c686.27$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35020945.5%95 W · 114 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x383a…f35cbacked Over50c684$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0a1…a0b0backed Over50c682$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9231…929dbacked Over50c682$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over55c672.15$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.893,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7566…236abacked Over50c672$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf695…930abacked Under50c670$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x78bf…e623backed Under50c670$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3351100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…458ebacked Under50c662$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3312100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24f8…e89dbacked Under50c662$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff7a…6561backed Under50c662$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0162…05abbacked Over50c660$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a77…7005backed Over50c660$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab28…c41dbacked Under50c658$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34d7…9de3backed Over50c658$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bcf…763ebacked Under50c656$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3282100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9c9…7773backed Under50c656$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd26…9772backed Over50c654$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37be…e4aabacked Over50c654$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60da…5ef3backed Over50c652$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfb4…820cbacked Under50c652$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3262100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3b5…6724backed Under50c646$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3231100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6405…7709backed Under50c646$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3233100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x312e…c47dbacked Under50c638$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31b9…9604backed Over50c638$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb043…c2e1backed Over50c636$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x519a…8376backed Under50c634$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x621f…e97dbacked Over50c628$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1392…f761backed Over50c626$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92b4…f40dbacked Over50c622$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x791c…9e72backed Over50c620$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a7d…4251backed Under50c620$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfab7…01a8backed Under50c616$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadb4…b0d7backed Over50c616$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e1e…5189backed Under50c602$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05c5…f51dbacked Under50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3003100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a1a…d865backed Under50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe410…187fbacked Under50c594$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2971100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd888…d3ccbacked Under50c594$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2971100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa20f…56bdbacked Under50c594$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2971100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ee…332fbacked Under50c587$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b6f…a1ccbacked Over50c584$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x086b…283dbacked Under50c584$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2922100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00c2…e3babacked Under50c584$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b84…8e08backed Under50c580$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under49c579.59$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.5927746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23d5…1232backed Under52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.921850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc9d…6d6abacked Over50c575$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35c7…ef2fbacked Over50c574$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb49…a694backed Under50c572$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b46…518cbacked Under50c572$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2861100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5147…f9a5backed Over50c568$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3624…81f4backed Over50c567$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d68…1d6bbacked Under50c567$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eb8…f3b8backed Over50c556$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b21…1c6abacked Under50c556$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a5e…d730backed Over50c552$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72e1…cbc2backed Under50c550$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd24b…ca27backed Under50c550$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc7b…d8d8backed Over50c549$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75fb…4c28backed Over50c548$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ced…902abacked Under50c546$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d97…42d0backed Over50c546$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa867…a211backed Over50c546$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x398d…3911backed Under50c545$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7385…1ef5backed Under50c544$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x506a…9a5bbacked Under50c542$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01d1…fca6backed Over50c542$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.