TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7a0a…24a9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
95
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST4513.3%6 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-38.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Alcorn State Bravesbacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,676Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,676.13
Hampton Pirates vs. William & Mary Tribebacked Hampton Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$4,765Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$4,765.21
Georgetown Hoyas vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked Georgetown Hoyas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$99.61
Connecticut Huskies vs. St. John's Red Storm (W)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Acesbacked Evansville Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$101.91
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Wisconsin Badgers (W)backed Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$360
Tulane Green Wave vs. South Florida Bullsbacked Tulane Green Wave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$2,139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,138.64
Texas Longhorns vs. Alabama Crimson Tide (W)backed Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Akron Zips vs. Ball State Cardinalsbacked Ball State Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$534Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$534.44
California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Valley Wolverinesbacked California Baptist Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$710Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$710
Hampton Pirates vs. Hofstra Pridebacked Hampton Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. UT Arlington Mavericksbacked Utah Tech Trailblazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000.29
IU Indy Jaguars vs. Wright State Raidersbacked IU Indy Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,726Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$1,725.64
Troy Trojans vs. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawksbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,288Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$1,287.69
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Alabama A&M Bulldogsbacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,799Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$1,798.65
Kansas State Wildcats vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Kansas State Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,706Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$1,706.03
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Akron Zipsbacked Massachusetts Minutemen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,221Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$1,220.96
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Loyola Chicago Ramblersbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Yale Bulldogs vs. Dartmouth Big Greenbacked Dartmouth Big Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,842Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$2,842.18
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. UC Riverside Highlandersbacked UC Riverside Highlanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$364.93
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. Bakersfield Roadrunnersbacked Bakersfield Roadrunners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$1,200
Utah Valley Wolverines vs. Utah Tech Trailblazersbacked Utah Tech Trailblazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,520Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+175.9%+$2,672.97
Little Rock Trojans vs. Western Illinois Leathernecksbacked Western Illinois Leathernecks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,870Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$1,870.04
Marist Red Foxes vs. Merrimack College Warriorsbacked Marist Red Foxes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Valparaiso Beacons vs. Illinois State Redbirdsbacked Valparaiso Beacons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST2825%7 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+48.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Akasha Urhobo vs Taylor Townsendbacked Akasha Urhobo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,385Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,385.29
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Katie Boulter vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintsevabacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,510Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+614.3%+$9,274.91
Kigali: Marco Trungelliti vs Garrett Johnsbacked Garrett Johns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,253Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,253.39
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Darja Semenistaja vs Whitney Osuigwebacked Darja Semenistaja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$944Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+310%+$2,925.7
Qatar Total Open: Maria Sakkari vs Karolina Muchovabacked Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,494Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$1,493.98
Rotterdam Open: Alex de Minaur vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,993Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$2,993.18
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Petra Marcinkobacked Marcinko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,995Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$1,995.2
Rotterdam Open: Ugo Humbert vs Christopher O'Connellbacked O'Connell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$5,004Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$5,003.56
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Gabriela Rusebacked Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Tereza Valentova vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,409Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+842.1%+$11,868.64
Qatar Total Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Magda Linettebacked Linette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,031Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$2,030.51
Rotterdam Open: Luka Pavlovic vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Pavlovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,972Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$1,972.04
Qatar Total Open: Emma Navarro vs Tatjana Mariabacked Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$933Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$932.59
Qatar Total Open: Xinyu Wang vs Emiliana Arangobacked Arango · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$3,241Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$3,241.11
Qatar Total Open: Linda Noskova vs Maya Jointbacked Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$8,488Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$8,488.44
Rotterdam Open, Qualification: Hamad Medjedovic vs Luka Pavlovicbacked Pavlovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$3,023Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+484.2%+$14,635.97
Qatar Total Open, Qualification: Tereza Valentova vs Ella Seidelbacked Seidel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$3,589Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$3,588.8
Qatar Total Open, Qualification: Storm Hunter vs Camila Osoriobacked Hunter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$5,294Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$5,293.54
Transylvania Open: Emma Raducanu vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$4,544Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$4,543.67
Qatar Total Open, Qualification: Aleksandra Krunic vs Storm Hunterbacked Krunic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$2,492Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$2,492.2
Qatar Total Open, Qualification: Magdalena Frech vs Berfu Cengizbacked Cengiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$3,426Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$3,425.88
Qatar Total Open, Qualification: Tereza Valentova vs Arina Rodionovabacked Rodionova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$6,455Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$6,455.5
Qatar Total Open, Qualification: Moyuka Uchijima vs Rebecca Sramkovabacked Uchijima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,933Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+648.4%+$12,536.63
Ostrava Open: Caty McNally vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,320Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+314.8%+$4,154.19
Transylvania Open: Emma Raducanu vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$5,242Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$5,242.25
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+43.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Hornetsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$2,626Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$2,626.38
Kings vs. Lakersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$2,004.59
Grizzlies vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$689.7
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,334Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+181.2%+$4,227.9
76ers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$5,707Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+194.7%+$11,110.61
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+300.6%+$12,022.46
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$952Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$952.01
Wizards vs. Pistonsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$2,319Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+643.5%+$14,924.09
Kings vs. 76ersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$763Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$763.14
Suns vs. Pistonsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Grizzlies vs. Magicbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$331.69
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Sharksbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$938Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$937.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$6,006Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$6,006.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Liquid vs ULF Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked ULF Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$3,006Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$3,005.92
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.