Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Akasha Urhobo vs Taylor Townsend
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4550c4a62f2eb1ffdaf1dadfc1cf90ee55ba2ed28213b977862b089f9ae444c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Taylor Townsendof Akasha Urhobo, Taylor Townsend
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a0a…24a9backed Akasha Urhobo | 15c | 8,965$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.29 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Akasha Urhobo | 16c | 5,008$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.1 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Akasha Urhobo | 13c | 2,594$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.58 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Akasha Urhobo | 3c | 1,863$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.83 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Akasha Urhobo | 2c | 1,134$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Akasha Urhobo | 13c | 769.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Akasha Urhobo | 15c | 699.96$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…ba75backed Akasha Urhobo | 16c | 685$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.6 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Akasha Urhobo | 15c | 666.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Akasha Urhobo | 17c | 575.78$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4720…007bbacked Akasha Urhobo | 15c | 548.74$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.31 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Akasha Urhobo | 11c | 330.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Akasha Urhobo | 12c | 274.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Akasha Urhobo | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Akasha Urhobo | 9c | 174.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Akasha Urhobo | 10c | 171$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Akasha Urhobo | 15c | 100.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Akasha Urhobo | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 609 | 43.3%264 W · 345 L | -24.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Akasha Urhobo vs Taylor Townsendthis page
- Urhobo vs. Townsend: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.