TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Petra Marcinko

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sasnovichof Sasnovich, Marcinko
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$93,995
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$103,315

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,995 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b5c…126ebacked Sasnovich75c17,482$13,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,300.5480938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Marcinko29c8,966$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60028444.7%127 W · 157 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbcb9…4734backed Marcinko27c8,563$2,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,345.9711943.7%52 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Sasnovich72c8,310$5,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,353.082,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a0a…24a9backed Marcinko27c7,390$1,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,995.22825%7 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+48.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Marcinko34c6,716$2,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,283.4155646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Sasnovich73c6,426$4,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,745.735247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Sasnovich71c6,154$4,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,814.952,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Sasnovich73c2,871$2,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.3881349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Marcinko35c1,907$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66930131.9%96 W · 205 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Marcinko26c1,806$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46511530.4%35 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Marcinko17c1,735$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.0967836%244 W · 434 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Sasnovich57c1,641$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.0265647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Marcinko22c1,598$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.1196035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7750…a3f3backed Marcinko25c1,591$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.6211215.2%17 W · 95 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Marcinko6c1,581$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Marcinko28c1,571$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.839431%122 W · 272 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Marcinko33c1,558$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.6422641.6%94 W · 132 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Marcinko43c1,471$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.111,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sasnovich71c1,441$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.18,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Marcinko29c1,285$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.261,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Marcinko28c1,230$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.424340.3%98 W · 145 L-11.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Sasnovich68c847.8$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.7349143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45d9…a89abacked Marcinko25c847.56$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.8911123.4%26 W · 85 L-8.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x93c8…adffbacked Sasnovich64c781.89$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.8926847%126 W · 142 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Sasnovich67c762$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.561,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Marcinko27c709$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.41,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Marcinko16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Sasnovich71c595.03$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.032,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ab9…5b82backed Marcinko44c533.52$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.759135.2%32 W · 59 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Sasnovich75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12546553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cde…6040backed Sasnovich80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10016665.7%109 W · 57 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Sasnovich68c437.74$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.072,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Sasnovich58c409$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.511,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Marcinko26c343.89$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbab8…2e4ebacked Marcinko32c317.09$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.4720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5ed…d25fbacked Sasnovich59c255.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.165853.4%31 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Sasnovich56c250$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11012450.8%63 W · 61 L+11.1wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Sasnovich78c243.72$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7269350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe9e…7505backed Marcinko26c234.62$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6113052.3%68 W · 62 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd785…0d7ebacked Sasnovich66c216.69$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.0142558.8%250 W · 175 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Marcinko43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xef80…7654backed Marcinko31c195.87$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.693033.3%10 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44a3…121fbacked Marcinko45c190.82$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.873256.3%18 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick63cpaid+1.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Sasnovich76c186.44$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.882,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Marcinko24c183.15$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.29248.9%45 W · 47 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd120…19fcbacked Sasnovich67c178.91$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9113652.9%72 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Marcinko26c156.38$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.933,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Marcinko44c154.5$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9876146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed Sasnovich66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.525267.3%35 W · 17 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5baf…3e56backed Marcinko44c144.52$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5965840.9%269 W · 389 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Marcinko44c136.5$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.067644.7%34 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Marcinko31c129.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4057349.6%284 W · 289 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Sasnovich77c124.27$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.732,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Sasnovich58c122.12$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8715343.8%67 W · 86 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Marcinko44c119.55$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.61,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f97…a9b3backed Marcinko30c116.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3526227.9%73 W · 189 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dd1…7040backed Marcinko44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023256.9%132 W · 100 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Sasnovich72c102.81$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.666,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Marcinko41c100.31$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.791,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x91c0…e4ccbacked Marcinko17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1751539.8%205 W · 310 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Marcinko32c87.5$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Marcinko42c86.63$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.396141%25 W · 36 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Marcinko26c85.81$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.723,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xd3de…3842backed Marcinko35c85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.752536%9 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3da…c91fbacked Sasnovich77c84.79$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.595164.7%33 W · 18 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+22.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5700…a854backed Marcinko31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2525544.3%113 W · 142 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e25…db26backed Marcinko45c77.78$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3582560.5%499 W · 326 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Sasnovich56c76.79$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.791,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Sasnovich80c75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x907c…85c8backed Sasnovich57c75$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.25580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+44.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a33…237dbacked Sasnovich75c70.83$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.711145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39cb…09d6backed Marcinko29c69.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207852.6%41 W · 37 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7fe…f111backed Sasnovich67c64.02$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.046963.8%44 W · 25 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Marcinko44c63.5$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.941,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb14…bd17backed Sasnovich55c62.09$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.841266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Marcinko28c57.12$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.274,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Marcinko27c54.66$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6153752.3%281 W · 256 L+2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7158…99a0backed Marcinko45c54.04$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58f9…5d31backed Sasnovich56c51$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed Sasnovich71c50.06$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7411547%54 W · 61 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Marcinko43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.534154.3%185 W · 156 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5699…418dbacked Marcinko25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.57644.7%34 W · 42 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5778…86c0backed Marcinko28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146533.8%22 W · 43 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Marcinko30c44.8$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.662,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50f6…b8c6backed Sasnovich71c42.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3913338.3%51 W · 82 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4a0…993dbacked Marcinko44c38.84$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.094951%25 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d79…a4e0backed Marcinko28c38.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.651442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-36.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf7b4…96a4backed Sasnovich78c36.45$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.961936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-37%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee26…3798backed Sasnovich58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.486258.1%36 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b48…c530backed Sasnovich58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.485066%33 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Sasnovich58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.482,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abc…509cbacked Sasnovich59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…06c5backed Sasnovich56c33.71$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.833369.7%23 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Sasnovich70c32.38$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8519550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Marcinko40c30.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1243749%214 W · 223 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7fe…1e42backed Marcinko41c28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.341050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0ae…106cbacked Sasnovich59c27.53$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.292955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Sasnovich67c27.22$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9810348.5%50 W · 53 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5fc…a83bbacked Sasnovich79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.322250%11 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.