Tennis · resolved market
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Tereza Valentova vs Kimberly Birrell
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3b89bc0547e532e34fe067f4f57362dc80a429f5ae4eb35b872370cf26596bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Birrellof Valentova, Birrell
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $139,146
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $174,043
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,146 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Valentova | 21c | 16,255$3,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,363.5 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0a…24a9backed Birrell | 11c | 13,278$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,868.64 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Birrell | 25c | 9,000$2,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,710 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Valentova | 52c | 8,158$4,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,278.46 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Valentova | 74c | 7,816$5,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,810.33 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Birrell | 36c | 5,369$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,439.28 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1809…0d24backed Birrell | 23c | 4,383$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,383.02 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +138.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb936…0a66backed Valentova | 0c | 3,125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Valentova | 21c | 2,295$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Birrell | 78c | 1,987$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.18 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9206…42a6backed Valentova | 69c | 1,803$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.34 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bc…b904backed Valentova | 6c | 1,755$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Birrell | 27c | 1,613$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.49 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Birrell | 28c | 1,546$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.32 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Valentova | 76c | 1,516$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.29 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeed0…dd5ebacked Valentova | 37c | 1,504$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.04 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Valentova | 61c | 1,384$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.08 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Birrell | 25c | 1,229$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.89 | 278 | 36.3%101 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Birrell | 73c | 1,200$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.44 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Birrell | 28c | 711.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.69 | 444 | 48.9%217 W · 227 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Birrell | 70c | 626.87$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.6 | 186 | 63.4%118 W · 68 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Birrell | 38c | 494.74$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.74 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Valentova | 69c | 472.18$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.16 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Valentova | 23c | 469$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.2 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Valentova | 71c | 386.08$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.12 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…8ad7backed Valentova | 38c | 337.53$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.21 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed Valentova | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 479 | 46.3%222 W · 257 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Valentova | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 56.4%75 W · 58 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Birrell | 9c | 222.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.78 | 146 | 13.7%20 W · 126 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4526…783ebacked Birrell | 41c | 221.89$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Birrell | 23c | 217.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.96 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…7654backed Birrell | 28c | 185.28$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.4 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Valentova | 22c | 168.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 425 | 58.8%250 W · 175 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Birrell | 26c | 156.65$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.92 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Birrell | 13c | 151.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.42 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f2…d8b1backed Valentova | 73c | 134.34$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.07 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Valentova | 17c | 112.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Valentova | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Birrell | 27c | 99.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.99 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Valentova | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 217 | 58.1%126 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Valentova | 74c | 88.69$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.63 | 153 | 43.8%67 W · 86 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Valentova | 67c | 84.51$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.74 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Birrell | 65c | 83.11$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Valentova | 75c | 73.41$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.87 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…993dbacked Birrell | 28c | 70.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Valentova | 44c | 64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596b…e891backed Birrell | 75c | 54.44$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Valentova | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f4…335fbacked Valentova | 73c | 52.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 242 | 74%179 W · 63 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…61a6backed Birrell | 69c | 49.75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…09d6backed Valentova | 57c | 43.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebd1…1e86backed Birrell | 29c | 42.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3848…776abacked Birrell | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b48…c530backed Valentova | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…fbedbacked Valentova | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Valentova | 72c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…f07ebacked Valentova | 78c | 23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Valentova | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 164 | 68.9%113 W · 51 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5740…5aa6backed Valentova | 77c | 19.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5aae…d8fcbacked Valentova | 77c | 15.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Valentova | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 210 | 72.4%152 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Valentova | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1039…2914backed Valentova | 72c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 287 | 64.1%184 W · 103 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b4…96a4backed Birrell | 79c | 12.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.