Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Marist Red Foxes vs. Merrimack College Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67c2aae8e43aaba4a6083f6c1a8dd0c5c8ef3def9f6190134dc8ef85cbf12e32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Merrimack College Warriorsof Marist Red Foxes, Merrimack College Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 74c | 2,008$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.52 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Merrimack College Warriors | 50c | 1,797$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.54 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 79c | 1,052$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.61 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0a…24a9backed Marist Red Foxes | 11c | 891.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Marist Red Foxes | 38c | 860$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.68 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Merrimack College Warriors | 57c | 695$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.85 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Marist Red Foxes | 43c | 670$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.1 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Marist Red Foxes | 43c | 515$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.4 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Marist Red Foxes | 43c | 514.18$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.23 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Merrimack College Warriors | 57c | 505$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.15 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Marist Red Foxes | 34c | 503.21$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.01 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Marist Red Foxes | 49c | 450$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.5 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Marist Red Foxes | 40c | 410$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.21 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Marist Red Foxes | 29c | 385.65$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.24 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Marist Red Foxes | 62c | 364.62$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.74 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Marist Red Foxes | 40c | 357.69$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.45 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Marist Red Foxes | 32c | 217.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.39 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Marist Red Foxes | 38c | 199.62$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.44 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cc…015bbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 67c | 189.83$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.47 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 57c | 163.93$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.45 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Marist Red Foxes | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Merrimack College Warriors | 59c | 108.35$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.6 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Merrimack College Warriors | 60c | 106$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Marist Red Foxes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Merrimack College Warriors | 53c | 84.03$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Marist Red Foxes | 38c | 75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Merrimack College Warriors | 61c | 64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Marist Red Foxes | 27c | 61.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x31ca…ae4abacked Marist Red Foxes | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb858…7dc3backed Merrimack College Warriors | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Marist Red Foxes | 44c | 52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed Marist Red Foxes | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Merrimack College Warriors | 53c | 48.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Marist Red Foxes | 37c | 41.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 40c | 41.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Merrimack College Warriors | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6e…b1a7backed Merrimack College Warriors | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Marist Red Foxes | 39c | 30.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Merrimack College Warriors | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Merrimack College Warriors | 57c | 25.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Merrimack College Warriors | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Merrimack College Warriors | 45c | 23.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Merrimack College Warriors | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Marist Red Foxes vs. Merrimack College Warriorsthis page
- Marist Red Foxes vs. Merrimack College Warriors: O/U 129.5Over won
- Marist Red Foxes vs. Merrimack College Warriors: O/U 130.5Over won
- Marist Red Foxes vs. Merrimack College Warriors: O/U 131.5Over won
- Spread: Merrimack College Warriors (-3.5)Merrimack College Warriors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.