Tennis · resolved market
Qatar Total Open: Emma Navarro vs Tatjana Maria
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbc80be00842cae44841e6523c7020db3828a50a8439ef9f761673dea4e05450
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Navarroof Navarro, Maria
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,640
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,640 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Maria | 9c | 19,265$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802.12 | 191 | 34%65 W · 126 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Maria | 22c | 8,025$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.2 | 450 | 36%162 W · 288 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Maria | 0c | 7,613$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0a…24a9backed Maria | 18c | 5,181$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.59 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Maria | 9c | 5,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Maria | 15c | 2,238$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.19 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…dd00backed Maria | 19c | 1,543$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.21 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked Maria | 15c | 1,493$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 280 | 39.3%110 W · 170 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Maria | 12c | 1,458$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Maria | 12c | 1,255$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 123 | 13.8%17 W · 106 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Maria | 17c | 1,250$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 223 | 37.7%84 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Maria | 14c | 704.11$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd956…4ea0backed Maria | 16c | 643.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +329.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Maria | 7c | 555.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Maria | 6c | 437.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 127 | 22%28 W · 99 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Maria | 14c | 370.55$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.87 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Maria | 13c | 316.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Maria | 14c | 223.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec06…9d24backed Maria | 19c | 205.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Maria | 14c | 148.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Maria | 12c | 118.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Maria | 17c | 116.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Maria | 19c | 90$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Maria | 14c | 81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Maria | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Maria | 18c | 79.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Maria | 14c | 76.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qatar Total Open: Emma Navarro vs Tatjana Mariathis page
- Navarro vs. Maria: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Navarro vs. Maria: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set Handicap: Navarro (-1.5) vs Maria (+1.5)Navarro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.